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Leiden vs Leuven Bears Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game74.6
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leiden v Leuven Bears
20 Feb 2027
LEI v LEUV
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
LEI90
LEUV72
28 Sep 2024
LEI78
LEUV77
03 Jun 2022
LEI81
LEUV59
19 Mar 2022
LEI95
LEUV66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 72
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 72
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
119avg 72
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
76-71
76
71
+5
68avg 72
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
61-77
61
77
-16
46avg 72
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 72
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 72
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
83-96
83
96
-13
72avg 72
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
99-79
99
79
+20
no box
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
25-26
17-15
24-16
26-20
11-11
14-14
22-17
17-25
17-24
22-19
26-25
18-28
27-21
20-26
21-22
31-10
17-20
20-23
17-24
11-15
164.3Avg total
84.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.178.4155.6-1.343%
Season at home (4)75.283.0158.2-7.825%
Season away (3)79.772.3152.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)84.380.0164.3+4.360%
Last 5 (5)80.680.2160.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.986.1160.0-12.210%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.485.3170.8+0.144%
vs Weaker (11)82.276.0158.2+6.273%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 67
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
69-61
69
61
+8
68avg 67
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
70avg 67
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
W
69-65
69
65
+4
45avg 67
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 67
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
72-69
72
69
+3
72avg 67
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
55avg 67
H24/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
54-66
54
66
-12
45avg 67
A31/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
A08/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
68-91
68
91
-23
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
16-28
24-23
25-21
20-17
15-16
10-10
24-18
15-11
16-18
21-15
25-21
20-15
25-17
16-18
8-15
13-11
17-29
23-22
25-19
16-22
26-13
12-23
18-11
11-11
14-14
17-22
25-17
21-16
12-15
18-18
3-17
14-15
33-31
17-19
17-21
25-25
11-23
12-20
20-23
146.6Avg total
72.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.974.6144.4-4.743%
Season at home (4)69.072.2141.2-3.275%
Season away (3)71.077.7148.7-6.70%
Last 10 (10)72.174.5146.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)68.475.2143.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.081.6157.6-5.638%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.275.1149.3-0.945%
vs Weaker (6)83.375.2158.5+8.267%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
LeidenLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H14/11
BNXT League
80.3Avg total
40.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.381.7-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.243.484.6-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.078.4-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.180.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.644.483.0-5.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.242.782.9-2.433%-
vs Weaker (11)39.540.079.5-0.555%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H24/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A08/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/11
BNXT League
73.3Avg total
36.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.877.7+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.136.878.9+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.976.5-1.360%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.273.3-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.073.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.941.682.5-0.754%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.534.971.4+1.555%-
vs Weaker (6)43.735.078.7+8.7100%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.3
54.5%
53.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.5
76.7%
71.0%13.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.2
28.7%
32.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.111.7
61.3%
71.0%11.7
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWLLWLWWWW
Leuven Bears
LLLWWLWWWL
#10
League position
#12
+2.4
Net rating
+1.6
96.4
Offensive rating
84.4
94.0
Defensive rating
82.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.1%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.0%
3-point %
28.7%
61.3%
Assist %
57.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 84.4Defence94.0 · 82.7Shooting52.5% · 50.1%3-point %33.0% · 28.7%Ball care15.8% · 19.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Leiden   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leiden wins
5
Leuven Bears wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26Leuven Bears v Leiden67-64
14/02/26Leuven Bears v Leiden90-73
20/12/25Leiden v Leuven Bears90-72
29/03/25Leuven Bears v Leiden98-63
28/09/24Leiden v Leuven Bears78-77
03/06/22Leiden v Leuven Bears81-59
01/06/22Leuven Bears v Leiden82-68
23/04/22Leuven Bears v Leiden86-57
19/03/22Leiden v Leuven Bears95-66
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOostende65-82
07/11/26ABelfius Mons99-79
31/10/26HDonar Groningen83-96
24/10/26ALeuven Bears64-67
17/10/26HOkapi Aalst92-77
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMechelen68-91
08/11/26ADen Bosch81-86
31/10/26AOostende54-66
24/10/26HLeiden67-64
17/10/26HKortrijk72-69
06/10/26ADonar Groningen78-81
03/10/26HSpirou Charleroi69-65
09/05/26ABAL Weert77-65
06/05/26HZwolle69-61
02/05/26HKortrijk86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game77.175.279.7
Allowed / game78.483.072.3
Point differential-1.3-7.8+7.3
Avg total155.6158.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game69.969.071.0
Allowed / game74.672.277.7
Point differential-4.7-3.2-6.7
Avg total144.4141.2148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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