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Okapi Aalst vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 51-64
16-15 12-16 8-15 15-18
Position#13
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#7
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears
10 Apr 2027
OKAP v LEUV
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
OKAP95
LEUV76
03 Jan 2026
OKAP75
LEUV82
14 Sep 2024
OKAP51
LEUV64
17 Feb 2024
OKAP76
LEUV86
12 May 2023
OKAP81
LEUV75
22 Oct 2022
OKAP83
LEUV74
21 May 2022
OKAP71
LEUV73
23 Oct 2021
OKAP68
LEUV57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#20
W
81-69
81
69
+12
79avg 71
A23/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
54avg 71
A27/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
87-70
87
70
+17
86avg 71
H30/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
103-74
103
74
+29
110avg 71
H06/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 71
A10/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
65avg 71
A13/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
69avg 71
H20/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
103-75
103
75
+28
103avg 71
H26/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
66-67
66
67
-1
61avg 71
A30/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
94-75
94
75
+19
96avg 71
H03/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
22-19
15-18
23-15
18-17
16-22
20-18
9-14
16-17
28-15
27-14
16-24
27-10
31-17
23-32
22-15
25-20
19-23
14-15
15-12
21-24
16-22
15-14
19-15
6-26
24-17
18-13
24-25
30-12
25-20
21-19
27-24
16-23
24-21
10-10
16-13
22-15
19-14
27-23
26-23
154.0Avg total
81.3Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.372.7154.0+8.660%
Last 5 (5)81.274.6155.8+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.382.2155.5-8.918%
vs Similar (11)75.378.1153.4-2.827%
vs Weaker (8)84.671.1155.8+13.588%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#17
W
85-71
85
71
+14
76avg 68
A30/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
71avg 68
H06/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 68
A10/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
91-64
91
64
+27
91avg 68
H12/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 68
A20/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
81-60
81
60
+21
76avg 68
H26/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
81-60
81
60
+21
76avg 68
A01/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
70-85
70
85
-15
66avg 68
A03/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 68
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
69-80
69
80
-11
58avg 68
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
23-18
20-15
24-16
20-21
20-11
14-21
15-16
12-21
19-26
25-19
20-24
25-18
29-18
16-11
21-17
24-12
22-17
15-15
21-21
19-18
20-14
25-17
17-11
22-18
21-12
15-13
23-17
15-23
16-24
15-21
24-17
15-26
20-26
15-18
14-13
20-25
17-18
21-20
11-17
151.2Avg total
77.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.873.4151.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)73.073.6146.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.982.4145.3-19.60%
vs Similar (13)75.077.4152.4-2.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.071.4157.4+14.690%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
Okapi AalstLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A23/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H30/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H06/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A10/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A13/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H26/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A30/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H03/05
BNXT League
79.7Avg total
42.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.479.4+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.437.979.3+3.650%-
Last 30 away (14)38.341.179.4-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.179.7+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.879.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.841.076.8-5.227%-
vs Similar (11)40.539.479.9+1.245%-
vs Weaker (8)44.937.282.1+7.675%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/03
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H06/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A10/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H12/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A20/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H26/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A01/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A03/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
78.5Avg total
39.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.977.0-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.537.476.9+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)36.640.477.0-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.878.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.877.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.743.477.1-9.714%-
vs Similar (13)35.539.274.7-3.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.435.479.8+9.090%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.724.3
52.0%
52.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.1
30.8%
34.1%18.3
🏀 Free throws18.813.8
73.4%
71.9%13.8
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.0
49.3%
52.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.1
33.9%
34.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.612.3
74.1%
71.9%12.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
WLWLLWWWLW
Leuven Bears
LLLWWWWLWW
#13
League position
#7
+11.6
Net rating
+4.6
106.5
Offensive rating
104.3
94.9
Defensive rating
99.7
50.3%
Effective FG%
49.8%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.8%
3-point %
33.9%
62.2%
Assist %
62.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 104.3Defence94.9 · 99.7Shooting50.3% · 49.8%3-point %30.8% · 33.9%Ball care17.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds32.3% · 28.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Okapi Aalst wins
8
Leuven Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/24HDen Helder94-75
30/04/24ALWD Basket66-67
26/04/24HFeyenoord103-75
20/04/24HMechelen72-81
13/04/24ACircus Brussels71-75
10/04/24AQSTA Utd73-70
06/04/24HLWD Basket103-74
30/03/24HKortrijk87-70
27/03/24ALeuven Bears63-71
23/03/24ADen Helder81-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/24HOostende69-80
08/05/24AOostende64-83
03/05/24ABelfius Mons70-85
01/05/24AQSTA Utd81-60
26/04/24HLWD Basket81-60
20/04/24ADen Helder82-65
12/04/24HFeyenoord91-64
10/04/24AMechelen76-90
06/04/24HQSTA Utd79-76 OT
30/03/24ALWD Basket85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Helder110100%75.064.0+11.0
2 Donar Groningen110100%73.064.0+9.0
3 Zwolle110100%89.080.0+9.0
4 Circus Brussels110100%81.076.0+5.0
5 Kortrijk110100%86.084.0+2.0
6 QSTA Utd110100%77.076.0+1.0
7 Feyenoord1010%76.077.0-1.0
8 Leiden1010%84.086.0-2.0
9 Den Bosch1010%76.081.0-5.0
10 BAL Weert1010%80.089.0-9.0
11 LWD Basket1010%64.073.0-9.0
12 Antwerp Giants1010%64.075.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst161281551
Leuven Bears1516151864
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