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Limburg vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 66-75
15-20 15-19 21-17 15-19
Position#4
Record17-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game72.4
Limburg
vs
Leiden 🏆
Position#5
Record15-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game70.2
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Alverberg
Other2023-24
Meetings · Limburg v Leiden
23 Apr 2027
LIMB v LEI
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
LIMB89
LEI61
25 Apr 2025
LIMB74
LEI71
12 Apr 2024
LIMB66
LEI75
24 Mar 2023
LIMB70
LEI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
66-84
66
84
-18
53avg 69
A02/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
80-67
80
67
+13
79avg 69
H09/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 69
A14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
61avg 69
H17/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
70-64
70
64
+6
64avg 69
A03/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
W
70-58
70
58
+12
56avg 69
A10/03
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
75-60
75
60
+15
68avg 69
H15/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
61-75
61
75
-14
48avg 69
A23/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
78avg 69
A29/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 69
H05/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
7-9
20-26
16-21
22-23
14-13
25-14
19-17
17-24
20-17
23-25
27-7
15-29
16-24
29-23
11-14
21-8
24-18
15-22
10-16
16-20
16-14
19-17
19-7
13-12
16-19
30-14
16-15
20-17
15-16
15-17
11-25
7-32
37-17
22-30
20-16
26-18
16-17
16-25
22-17
148.9Avg total
74.6Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.172.4149.5+4.668%
Season at home (12)77.471.6149.0+5.867%
Season away (13)76.873.2150.0+3.569%
Last 10 (10)74.674.3148.9+0.360%
Last 5 (5)74.473.0147.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.385.3153.7-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.771.2146.8+4.558%
vs Weaker (14)78.667.4145.9+11.293%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#15
W
72-64
72
64
+8
65avg 70
H27/01
BNXT League
Varese
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 70
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#2
L
57-78
57
78
-21
56avg 70
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#20
W
86-60
86
60
+26
98avg 70
H10/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
82-101
82
101
-19
73avg 70
A17/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
70-45
70
45
+25
72avg 70
H02/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
60avg 70
A16/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
75-61
75
61
+14
78avg 70
H23/03
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
85avg 70
H30/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
63avg 70
A06/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
16-16
23-20
18-15
19-27
27-13
19-18
16-19
15-16
16-25
11-21
15-16
23-15
20-22
20-17
23-6
26-26
19-25
17-18
20-32
11-10
22-11
14-14
23-10
20-17
19-24
19-16
10-18
17-20
16-15
17-15
25-11
24-18
27-18
13-22
20-20
24-23
24-20
16-27
9-15
147.2Avg total
74.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.470.2147.6+7.171%
Season at home (11)77.563.9141.5+13.691%
Season away (10)77.277.2154.4+0.050%
Last 10 (10)74.872.4147.2+2.460%
Last 5 (5)74.068.8142.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)67.479.8147.2-12.420%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.968.6143.5+6.380%
vs Weaker (8)79.672.5152.1+7.175%
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
LimburgLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A02/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H09/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H17/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A03/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A10/03
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#15
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H15/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A23/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H05/04
BNXT League
73.6Avg total
36.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.974.2+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.936.873.6+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)37.737.074.7+0.744%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.573.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.472.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.043.376.3-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.937.275.2+0.742%-
vs Weaker (14)37.935.072.9+2.964%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#15
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H27/01
BNXT League
Varese
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Helder
#20
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A17/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H02/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A16/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H23/03
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H30/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A06/04
BNXT League
77.4Avg total
40.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.635.973.4+1.759%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.934.371.2+2.573%-
Last 30 away (14)38.437.575.9+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.477.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.276.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.240.775.9-5.530%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.432.368.7+4.170%-
vs Weaker (8)40.836.277.0+4.575%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.0
47.6%
52.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.28.2
38.7%
33.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.811.0
65.5%
71.4%11.0
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.9
53.0%
52.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.97.0
37.0%
33.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws13.59.7
71.9%
71.4%9.7
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
WLLWWWLWWL
Leiden
LWWLWLWLWW
#4
League position
#5
-0.1
Net rating
+4.5
103.4
Offensive rating
102.0
103.5
Defensive rating
97.5
51.2%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
17.5%
Turnover %
21.1%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
38.7%
3-point %
37.0%
63.2%
Assist %
68.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 102.0Defence103.5 · 97.5Shooting51.2% · 53.8%3-point %38.7% · 37.0%Ball care17.5% · 21.1%Off. rebounds26.6% · 27.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Limburg   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Limburg wins
3
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
23/03/24Leiden v Limburg75-61
15/04/23Leiden v Limburg59-55
24/03/23Limburg v Leiden70-73
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24HDonar Groningen80-77
29/03/24ADen Bosch86-95
23/03/24ALeiden61-75
15/03/24HBAL Weert75-60
10/03/24ASpirou Charleroi70-58
03/03/24AZwolle70-64
17/02/24HOostende71-90
14/02/24ALeuven Bears87-73
09/02/24HCircus Brussels80-67
02/02/24AAntwerp Giants66-84
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24AAntwerp Giants73-85
30/03/24HLiege84-78
23/03/24HLimburg75-61
16/03/24AOostende68-75
02/03/24HSpirou Charleroi70-45
17/02/24ALWD Basket82-101
10/02/24HDen Helder86-60
07/02/24AChemnitz57-78
31/01/24HVarese81-77
27/01/24HBAL Weert72-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW68%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %68%67%69%
Points / game77.177.476.8
Allowed / game72.471.673.2
Point differential+4.6+5.8+3.5
Avg total149.5149.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%91%50%
Points / game77.477.577.2
Allowed / game70.263.977.2
Point differential+7.1+13.6+0.0
Avg total147.6141.5154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2523292%81.971.0+10.9
2 Den Bosch2118386%82.771.1+11.6
3 Antwerp Giants2620677%82.472.1+10.3
4 Leiden2115671%77.470.2+7.1
5 Limburg2517868%77.172.4+4.6
6 Zwolle2112957%75.870.9+5.0
7 Spirou Charleroi25141156%73.474.9-1.5
8 Liege25131252%79.279.5-0.3
9 Circus Brussels27131448%78.776.7+2.0
10 Mechelen27131448%77.377.1+0.3
11 Donar Groningen21101148%72.071.1+1.0
12 BAL Weert2291341%71.275.3-4.1
13 Leuven Bears27111641%76.078.4-2.4
14 Belfius Mons27111641%77.380.6-3.3
15 Kortrijk28101836%78.581.0-2.5
16 Feyenoord2381535%74.181.3-7.3
17 Okapi Aalst2791833%77.080.1-3.1
18 LWD Basket2371630%77.983.9-6.0
19 QSTA Utd2361726%72.878.9-6.1
20 Den Helder2451921%66.881.2-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limburg1515211566
Leiden2019171975
← all games of the day
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