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Leiden vs Limburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#5
Record4-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game84.9
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leiden v Limburg
23 Jan 2027
LEI v LIMB
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
LEI75
LIMB77
05 Oct 2024
LEI66
LIMB86
23 Mar 2024
LEI75
LIMB61
15 Apr 2023
LEI59
LIMB55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Limburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 74
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 74
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
119avg 74
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
76-71
76
71
+5
68avg 74
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
61-77
61
77
-16
46avg 74
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 74
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 74
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
83-96
83
96
-13
72avg 74
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
99-79
99
79
+20
no box
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
25-26
17-15
24-16
26-20
11-11
14-14
22-17
17-25
17-24
22-19
26-25
18-28
27-21
20-26
21-22
31-10
17-20
20-23
17-24
11-15
164.3Avg total
84.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.178.4155.6-1.343%
Season at home (4)75.283.0158.2-7.825%
Season away (3)79.772.3152.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)84.380.0164.3+4.360%
Last 5 (5)80.680.2160.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.986.1160.0-12.210%
vs Similar (9)85.485.3170.8+0.144%
vs Weaker (11)82.276.0158.2+6.273%
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
91-54
91
54
+37
96avg 88
H01/05
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
99-85
99
85
+14
98avg 88
H06/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
82-71
82
71
+11
72avg 88
A09/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
100-109
100
109
-9
94avg 88
H02/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
101-73
101
73
+28
94avg 88
A09/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 88
H16/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
88-83
88
83
+5
89avg 88
A23/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
61avg 88
A31/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
96-73
96
73
+23
no box
A08/11
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
A15/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
22-16
25-6
22-22
22-19
28-22
25-16
24-28
24-15
18-27
22-12
18-17
33-29
20-23
27-29
20-28
26-13
30-16
21-24
24-20
25-17
22-20
21-28
19-15
31-20
26-15
19-20
12-28
19-17
24-22
26-24
11-25
31-10
23-26
19-20
23-17
22-22
23-14
19-25
20-27
171.2Avg total
90.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.984.9175.7+6.057%
Season at home (2)93.594.5188.0-1.050%
Season away (5)89.881.0170.8+8.860%
Last 10 (10)90.880.4171.2+10.470%
Last 5 (5)87.082.4169.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.091.0177.0-5.033%
vs Similar (5)96.092.2188.2+3.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.579.5171.0+12.073%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +8.3+8.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +8.3+8.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
LeidenLimburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H14/11
BNXT League
80.3Avg total
40.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.381.7-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.243.484.6-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.078.4-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.180.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.644.483.0-5.820%-
vs Similar (9)40.242.782.9-2.433%-
vs Weaker (11)39.540.079.5-0.555%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/05
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H06/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H02/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
56-29
56
29
+27
A09/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H16/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A23/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A31/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A08/11
BNXT League
Zwolle
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/11
BNXT League
86.4Avg total
49.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.541.487.9+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (11)47.038.485.4+8.691%-
Last 30 away (19)46.243.289.4+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)49.137.386.4+11.890%-
Last 5 (5)49.236.685.8+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.745.089.7-0.367%-
vs Similar (5)48.046.094.0+2.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.439.986.3+6.568%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.3
54.5%
53.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.5
76.7%
71.0%13.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.024.8
60.5%
53.2%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.7
34.0%
32.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.916.1
80.9%
71.0%16.1
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWLLWLWWWW
Limburg
LWLWWWLWWW
#10
League position
#5
+2.4
Net rating
+16.1
96.4
Offensive rating
105.7
94.0
Defensive rating
89.6
52.5%
Effective FG%
56.6%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.0%
3-point %
34.0%
61.3%
Assist %
67.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 105.7Defence94.0 · 89.6Shooting52.5% · 56.6%3-point %33.0% · 34.0%Ball care15.8% · 13.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Leiden   ■ Limburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leiden wins
4
Limburg wins
DateGameScore
27/03/26Limburg v Leiden89-61
10/01/26Leiden v Limburg75-77
25/04/25Limburg v Leiden74-71
05/10/24Leiden v Limburg66-86
12/04/24Limburg v Leiden66-75
23/03/24Leiden v Limburg75-61
15/04/23Leiden v Limburg59-55
24/03/23Limburg v Leiden70-73
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOostende65-82
07/11/26ABelfius Mons99-79
31/10/26HDonar Groningen83-96
24/10/26ALeuven Bears64-67
17/10/26HOkapi Aalst92-77
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AZwolle84-88
08/11/26ADonar Groningen96-73
31/10/26AAntwerp Giants80-88
23/10/26AKortrijk88-83
16/10/26HRotterdam87-80
09/10/26ACB Liege101-73
02/10/26HMechelen100-109
09/05/26ADonar Groningen82-71
06/05/26HOkapi Aalst99-85
01/05/26HBAL Weert91-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game77.175.279.7
Allowed / game78.483.072.3
Point differential-1.3-7.8+7.3
Avg total155.6158.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Limburg
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %57%50%60%
Points / game90.993.589.8
Allowed / game84.994.581.0
Point differential+6.0-1.0+8.8
Avg total175.7188.0170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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