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Leiden vs Limburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-77
17-11 26-19 13-25 19-22
Position#10
Record10-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game81.1
Leiden
vs
Limburg 🏆
Position#5
Record7-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game80.9
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 15· Sportcomplex
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leiden v Limburg
23 Jan 2027
LEI v LIMB
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
LEI75
LIMB77
05 Oct 2024
LEI66
LIMB86
23 Mar 2024
LEI75
LIMB61
15 Apr 2023
LEI59
LIMB55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Limburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 75
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
83-108
83
108
-25
68avg 75
A01/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
101-72
101
72
+29
95avg 75
H08/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
98-90
98
90
+8
93avg 75
H15/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 75
A21/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
107-89
107
89
+18
96avg 75
H06/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
80-97
80
97
-17
66avg 75
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 75
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 75
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 75
H27/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
29-13
25-18
10-16
23-23
21-31
26-28
13-26
19-21
31-10
28-22
23-19
21-28
22-27
35-24
20-11
28-16
9-20
25-18
14-28
16-25
27-28
36-22
28-14
22-15
21-25
22-23
15-34
23-18
14-22
19-19
34-13
25-18
24-26
16-18
25-19
27-22
18-35
19-16
25-22
175.2Avg total
89.8Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.981.1173.0+10.971%
Season at home (7)100.682.1182.7+18.486%
Season away (7)83.380.0163.3+3.357%
Last 10 (10)89.885.4175.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)91.286.8178.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.086.4159.4-13.410%
vs Similar (7)86.681.9168.4+4.743%
vs Weaker (13)92.677.5170.2+15.185%
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
94-62
94
62
+32
97avg 79
H07/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
64avg 79
H14/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi 2
#15
W
103-71
103
71
+32
no box
A18/11
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 79
A22/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
82-64
82
64
+18
78avg 79
H05/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
96-74
96
74
+22
104avg 79
H14/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
86-94
86
94
-8
85avg 79
H19/12
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
129-78
129
78
+51
133avg 79
H23/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
98-107
98
107
-9
83avg 79
A26/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#5
W
79-74
79
74
+5
73avg 79
A04/01
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
26-18
23-15
20-15
20-13
24-24
13-21
22-24
25-20
27-18
23-16
28-17
22-20
21-25
16-16
22-24
21-21
22-15
18-13
21-15
28-14
25-19
20-16
23-25
13-25
13-32
34-16
26-21
32-19
34-27
35-18
28-14
26-26
31-32
24-26
17-23
22-23
17-15
24-22
16-14
171.8Avg total
92.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.380.9171.2+9.450%
Season at home (9)91.776.8168.4+14.967%
Season away (5)87.888.4176.2-0.620%
Last 10 (10)92.779.1171.8+13.660%
Last 5 (5)97.685.4183.0+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.389.0173.3-4.733%
vs Similar (5)84.686.0170.6-1.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)87.077.8164.8+9.267%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
LeidenLimburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A01/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H15/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A21/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H27/12
BNXT League
88.4Avg total
44.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.387.3+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.445.691.1-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)42.741.384.0+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.488.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.890.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.146.884.9-8.720%-
vs Similar (7)44.442.186.6+2.357%-
vs Weaker (13)48.241.389.5+6.969%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H07/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi 2
#15
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A18/11
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
26-57
26
57
-31
H19/12
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H23/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A26/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A04/01
Belgian Cup
89.4Avg total
47.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.040.885.8+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.239.283.4+5.071%-
Last 30 away (13)46.042.988.9+3.162%-
Last 10 (10)47.442.089.4+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)48.246.494.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.348.384.7-12.033%-
vs Similar (5)46.645.291.8+1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.538.884.3+6.771%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.9
56.6%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.6
37.6%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.716.2
78.3%
72.4%16.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.324.1
55.7%
54.3%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.8
32.4%
34.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws26.721.3
79.8%
72.4%21.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWWLWLWWLW
Limburg
WLWLWWLWLW
#10
League position
#5
+5.7
Net rating
+13.1
115.0
Offensive rating
117.8
109.3
Defensive rating
104.7
56.5%
Effective FG%
53.3%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.42
37.6%
3-point %
32.4%
57.1%
Assist %
62.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 117.8Defence109.3 · 104.7Shooting56.5% · 53.3%3-point %37.6% · 32.4%Ball care17.7% · 15.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 31.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Leiden   ■ Limburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leiden wins
2
Limburg wins
DateGameScore
25/04/25Limburg v Leiden74-71
05/10/24Leiden v Limburg66-86
12/04/24Limburg v Leiden66-75
23/03/24Leiden v Limburg75-61
15/04/23Leiden v Limburg59-55
24/03/23Limburg v Leiden70-73
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HDen Bosch89-95
23/12/25AZwolle90-81
20/12/25HLeuven Bears90-72
12/12/25ABrussels Basketball80-97
06/12/25HBelfius Mons107-89
21/11/25AKortrijk76-82
15/11/25HOostende98-90
08/11/25HDonar Groningen101-72
01/11/25AOkapi Aalst83-108
25/10/25ADen Helder84-68
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AKortrijk79-74
26/12/25AOkapi Aalst98-107
23/12/25HLWD Basket129-78
19/12/25HAntwerp Giants86-94
14/12/25HSpirou Charleroi96-74
05/12/25HKortrijk82-64
22/11/25AMechelen81-85
18/11/25ASpirou Charleroi 2103-71
14/11/25HDonar Groningen79-82
07/11/25HZwolle94-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game91.9100.683.3
Allowed / game81.182.180.0
Point differential+10.9+18.4+3.3
Avg total173.0182.7163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%71%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Limburg
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %50%67%20%
Points / game90.391.787.8
Allowed / game80.976.888.4
Point differential+9.4+14.9-0.6
Avg total171.2168.4176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants1312192%96.676.9+19.7
2 Oostende1412286%89.481.6+7.8
3 Leiden1410471%91.981.1+10.9
4 Mechelen1410471%81.179.1+1.9
5 Kortrijk149564%86.879.6+7.2
6 Okapi Aalst149564%95.188.4+6.6
7 Den Bosch149564%87.982.6+5.3
8 Brussels Basketball149564%86.681.9+4.8
9 Donar Groningen137654%81.582.5-1.0
10 Limburg147750%90.380.9+9.4
11 Spirou Charleroi136746%82.289.6-7.5
12 Leuven Bears146843%80.980.6+0.3
13 Belfius Mons145936%89.095.0-6.0
14 Zwolle1441029%79.982.6-2.7
15 Den Helder1331023%79.285.5-6.3
16 LWD Basket1331023%87.899.6-11.8
17 Rotterdam131128%77.794.7-17.0
18 BAL Weert141137%67.690.9-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden1726131975
Limburg1119252277
← all games of the day
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