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LePy W vs Kataja W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Postponed
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game56.5
Allowed / game59.0
LePy W
Finland
vs
Kataja W
Finland
Position#16
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game18.0
Allowed / game105.0
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Leppavaara Sports hall
Women2024-25
Meetings · LePy W v Kataja W
27 Oct 2024
LEPY v KATA
upcoming
08 Oct 2023
LEPY61
KATA55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LePy W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
54-69
54
69
-15
45avg 50
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
16avg 50
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
35avg 50
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
62-85
62
85
-23
46avg 50
A10/03
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
W
82-49
82
49
+33
77avg 50
H17/03
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
81-51
81
51
+30
72avg 50
H21/03
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
L
56-61
56
61
-5
46avg 50
A24/03
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
87-49
87
49
+38
84avg 50
H27/03
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
66-54
66
54
+12
51avg 50
H13/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
47-64
47
64
-17
33avg 50
A20/10
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
17-20
14-17
11-11
7-18
11-2
11-9
4-13
12-14
9-6
7-12
17-6
20-23
13-20
18-15
11-27
18-7
20-12
23-15
21-15
25-10
13-16
18-10
25-15
15-9
16-15
9-15
16-22
22-15
21-15
23-9
21-10
20-13
17-13
12-14
17-14
13-14
15-15
3-21
16-14
117.5Avg total
61.3Scored
56.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)56.559.0115.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)66.054.0120.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)47.064.0111.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)61.356.2117.5+5.150%
Last 5 (5)67.455.8123.2+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)53.966.3120.2-12.430%
vs Similar (10)57.359.7117.0-2.430%
vs Weaker (7)71.157.7128.9+13.486%
Kataja WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
LePy W
#11
L
62-64
62
64
-2
54avg 37
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
42-101
42
101
-59
23avg 37
A11/02
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
58-81
58
81
-23
43avg 37
H18/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
47-59
47
59
-12
30avg 37
A25/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
53-72
53
72
-19
44avg 37
A03/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
63-69
63
69
-6
50avg 37
H10/03
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
W
61-59
61
59
+2
44avg 37
A17/03
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
36-53
36
53
-17
26avg 37
A21/03
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
51-61
51
61
-10
38avg 37
H24/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
18-105
18
105
-87
1avg 37
H13/10
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
20-19
10-16
15-10
13-31
6-24
9-27
14-19
12-17
18-25
19-18
9-21
9-20
14-11
8-10
16-18
15-17
10-20
16-13
12-22
19-23
14-13
19-14
11-19
6-19
23-12
12-14
20-14
9-18
4-11
12-14
11-10
12-17
9-12
8-8
22-24
5-27
9-18
4-26
0-34
121.5Avg total
49.1Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)18.0105.0123.0-87.00%
Season at home (1)18.0105.0123.0-87.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)49.172.4121.5-23.310%
Last 5 (5)45.869.4115.2-23.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)51.169.4120.5-18.27%
vs Similar (1)58.065.0123.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (1)82.043.0125.0+39.0100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -9.1-9.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -6.1-6.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -9.1-9.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -6.1-6.1
LePy WKataja W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
18-20
18
20
-2
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
21-20
21
20
+1
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A10/03
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H17/03
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H21/03
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A24/03
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H27/03
I Divisioona Women
HyPo W
#15
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H13/10
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A20/10
I Divisioona Women
59.4Avg total
31.6Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)31.032.963.9-1.941%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.530.961.4-0.450%-
Last 30 away (13)31.535.066.5-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)31.627.859.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.427.062.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.436.665.0-8.220%-
vs Similar (10)28.930.459.3-1.530%-
vs Weaker (7)37.631.168.7+6.486%-
Kataja WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LePy W
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H04/02
I Divisioona Women
BC Nokia W
#1
L
19-55
19
55
-36
A11/02
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H18/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A25/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A03/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H10/03
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A17/03
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
13-29
13
29
-16
A21/03
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
21-29
21
29
-8
H24/03
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
14-45
14
45
-31
H13/10
I Divisioona Women
61.7Avg total
24.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)26.234.961.1-8.713%-
Last 30 at home (15)27.734.562.2-6.913%-
Last 30 away (15)24.735.360.1-10.613%-
Last 10 (10)24.437.361.7-12.90%-
Last 5 (5)22.034.056.0-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)26.035.161.1-9.011%-
vs Similar (1)29.034.063.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (1)40.022.062.0+18.0100%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 60.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.616.7
39.2%
42.5%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.15.9
21.8%
25.9%17.7
🏀 Free throws15.59.7
62.6%
65.4%9.7
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kataja Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja W: 48.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers21.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.410.6
36.1%
42.5%21.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.25.9
20.2%
25.9%17.7
🏀 Free throws15.49.8
63.6%
65.4%9.8
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LePy W
LWWLWWLWLL
Kataja W
LLLWLLLLLL
#6
League position
#16
+7.3
Net rating
-29.3
78.8
Offensive rating
61.0
71.5
Defensive rating
90.3
36.7%
Effective FG%
33.2%
41.0%
Opp. effective FG%
41.3%
25.9%
Turnover %
32.4%
38.7%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
21.8%
3-point %
20.2%
76.1%
Assist %
58.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence78.8 · 61.0Defence71.5 · 90.3Shooting36.7% · 33.2%3-point %21.8% · 20.2%Ball care25.9% · 32.4%Off. rebounds38.7% · 26.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ LePy W   ■ Kataja W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
LePy W wins
0
Kataja W wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Kataja W v LePy W62-64
08/10/23LePy W v Kataja W61-55
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24ALahti Basketball W47-64
13/10/24HHyPo W66-54
27/03/24HKorihait W87-49
24/03/24AKorihait W56-61
21/03/24HKorihait W81-51
17/03/24HHBA W82-49
10/03/24ABC Nokia W62-85
03/03/24HLahti Basketball W45-38
25/02/24HLappeenranta W33-42
18/02/24APyrinto II W54-69
Kataja Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24HPyrinto II W18-105
24/03/24HPantterit W51-61
21/03/24APantterit W36-53
17/03/24ALappeenranta W61-59
10/03/24HPyrinto II W63-69
03/03/24AJyvaskyla BA W53-72
25/02/24ALahti Basketball W47-59
18/02/24HHBA W58-81
11/02/24ABC Nokia W42-101
04/02/24HLePy W62-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game56.566.047.0
Allowed / game59.054.064.0
Point differential-2.5+12.0-17.0
Avg total115.5120.0111.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kataja W
I Divisioona Women 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game18.018.0-
Allowed / game105.0105.0-
Point differential-87.0-87.0-
Avg total123.0123.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W330100%97.757.3+40.3
2 Turun NMKY W330100%83.769.7+14.0
3 Tapiolan Honka II W220100%74.064.0+10.0
4 Lahti Basketball W32167%76.760.7+16.0
5 Lappeenranta W32167%74.062.7+11.3
6 Jyvaskyla BA W32167%73.765.3+8.3
7 Pyrinto II W21150%84.547.0+37.5
8 LePy W21150%56.559.0-2.5
9 Espoo Team II W21150%63.066.0-3.0
10 PeKa II W21150%59.062.5-3.5
11 Puhuttaret W31233%67.369.3-2.0
12 Pantterit W2020%59.564.5-5.0
13 Oulun NMKY W3030%56.390.0-33.7
14 HyPo W2020%57.593.0-35.5
15 Feeniks Basket W2020%48.084.0-36.0
16 Kataja W1010%18.0105.0-87.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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