Libertad vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2017

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 84-73

25-19 23-22 16-20 20-12

Position#9

Record12-15

FormWWWLL

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game80.4

Libertad 🏆

Boca Juniors

Position#19

Record8-19

FormLWWLL

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game81.7

Liga A

Other2016-17

Meetings · Libertad v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#16

82-95

-13

H26/11

Liga A

Regatas

75-84

-9

H04/12

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

76-66

+10

H09/12

Liga A

Ferro

86-92

-6

A13/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

98-77

+21

A14/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

79-75

A17/12

Liga A

Olimpico

89-70

+19

H16/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

94-80

+14

A21/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

67-82

-15

A23/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

73-104

104

-31

A26/01

Liga A

17-29

26-25

22-21

17-20

24-23

13-23

15-13

23-25

21-16

20-14

18-15

17-21

23-19

16-19

22-26

25-28

28-18

21-19

25-21

24-19

21-26

23-13

14-14

21-22

17-13

22-30

25-14

25-13

22-15

26-23

18-22

28-20

18-18

11-25

15-20

23-19

15-22

14-37

21-26

23-19

164.4Avg total

81.9Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	80.6	80.4	161.0	+0.1	44%
Season at home (12)	84.1	79.3	163.4	+4.8	67%
Season away (15)	77.7	81.3	159.1	-3.6	27%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	82.5	164.4	-0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	82.2	162.6	-1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	84.0	95.7	179.7	-11.7	0%
vs Similar (21)	78.8	80.1	158.9	-1.3	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	84.7	76.5	161.2	+8.2	67%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#10

68-74

-6

A29/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

102-82

102

+20

H02/12

Liga A

Argentino

#10

71-69

A06/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

96-97 OT

-1

H09/12

Liga A

Libertad

77-98

-21

H14/12

Liga A

Ferro

67-75

-8

H19/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

101-89

101

+12

A12/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

79-72

H17/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

76-84

-8

A25/01

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

72-96

-24

A27/01

Liga A

16-16

18-16

13-24

21-18

25-19

19-16

25-30

33-17

12-18

18-18

20-15

21-18

24-24

21-22

17-22

21-15

18-28

19-21

21-25

19-24

19-15

6-18

22-26

20-16

28-33

25-23

17-17

31-16

26-15

16-21

22-22

15-14

15-15

22-19

24-25

15-25

23-31

10-27

20-19

19-19

164.5Avg total

80.9Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	75.1	81.7	156.8	-6.5	30%
Season at home (14)	75.9	79.6	155.5	-3.6	36%
Season away (13)	74.3	83.9	158.2	-9.6	23%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	83.6	164.5	-2.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	83.2	162.2	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	77.3	83.3	160.6	-6.0	25%
vs Similar (13)	73.4	76.2	149.5	-2.8	46%
vs Weaker (1)	72.0	96.0	168.0	-24.0	0%

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	52%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.0	16.3	37.3	+4.7	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	22.5	39.3	-5.7	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.1	20.6	39.8	-1.5	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	16.8	20.2	37.0	-3.5	23%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	31.0	54.0	-8.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	22.8	42.0	-3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	25.6	44.8	-6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	23.7	40.7	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.5	20.4	40.0	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.2	20.2	41.3	+1.0	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	18.9	35.9	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	17.2	33.8	-0.7	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	20.9	38.4	-3.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	20.1	37.5	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	21.6	37.4	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.4	19.4	35.9	-3.0	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.2	17.7	35.9	+0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	10.0	27.0	37.0	-17.0	0%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#16

43-54

-11

H26/11

Liga A

Regatas

37-46

-9

H04/12

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

41-30

+11

H09/12

Liga A

Ferro

39-38

A13/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

49-37

+12

A14/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

44-39

A17/12

Liga A

Olimpico

39-43

-4

H16/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

48-38

+10

A21/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

29-43

-14

A23/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

29-59

-30

A26/01

Liga A

82.5Avg total

39.8Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	39.5	78.8	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	39.6	81.5	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	39.3	76.5	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	42.7	82.5	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	44.4	82.2	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	45.0	81.0	-9.0	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	39.0	39.5	78.6	-0.5	48%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	42.2	36.5	78.7	+5.7	83%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

#10

34-32

A29/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

44-35

H02/12

Liga A

Argentino

#10

30-36

-6

A06/12

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

45-46

-1

H09/12

Liga A

Libertad

37-49

-12

H14/12

Liga A

Ferro

25-33

-8

H19/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

53-56

-3

A12/01

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

42-36

H17/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

37-34

A25/01

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

33-58

-25

A27/01

Liga A

79.5Avg total

38.0Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	39.7	75.0	-4.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.1	36.6	72.6	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.3	43.4	77.6	-9.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	41.5	79.5	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	43.4	81.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.6	40.1	75.6	-4.5	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	35.0	37.9	72.9	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	33.0	58.0	91.0	-25.0	0%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	18.9	38.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	25.3	45.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.2	19.6	38.9	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.3	19.3	38.7	+0.0	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.5	42.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.5	23.4	43.9	-2.9	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.5	41.7	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	20.8	41.9	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	18.6	42.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.3	100%	-
vs Similar (21)	20.5	21.0	41.4	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	23.2	20.7	43.8	+2.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.9	18.1	37.9	+1.8	56%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.8	19.8	39.7	+0.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	40.7	81.1	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	39.1	80.0	+1.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	42.0	82.1	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	39.8	81.9	+2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	37.8	80.4	+4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.3	42.7	84.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	39.7	40.6	80.3	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	42.5	40.0	82.5	+2.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	39.9	79.4	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.0	40.1	80.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	39.8	78.6	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	40.7	82.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.8	80.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	40.4	41.4	81.8	-1.1	44%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.4	38.2	76.6	+0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	38.0	77.0	+1.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
14/12/16	Boca Juniors v Libertad	77-98
11/03/16	Libertad v Boca Juniors	100-83
13/12/15	Boca Juniors v Libertad	85-69
10/04/15	Libertad v Boca Juniors	81-86
14/01/15	Boca Juniors v Libertad	84-76
21/03/14	Boca Juniors v Libertad	88-90 OT
14/01/14	Libertad v Boca Juniors	86-67
08/03/13	Boca Juniors v Libertad	98-82
19/12/12	Libertad v Boca Juniors	91-97 OT
26/02/12	Boca Juniors v Libertad	78-75

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/17	A	San Lorenzo	73-104
23/01/17	A	Obras Sanitarias	67-82
21/01/17	A	Hispano Americano	94-80
16/01/17	H	Olimpico	89-70
17/12/16	A	Gimnasia	79-75
14/12/16	A	Boca Juniors	98-77
13/12/16	A	Ferro	86-92
09/12/16	H	Quimsa	76-66
04/12/16	H	Regatas	75-84
26/11/16	H	Atenas	82-95

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/17	A	Atletico Echague Parana	72-96
25/01/17	A	Estudiantes	76-84
17/01/17	H	Hispano Americano	79-72
12/01/17	A	Hispano Americano	101-89
19/12/16	H	Ferro	67-75
14/12/16	H	Libertad	77-98
09/12/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	96-97 OT
06/12/16	A	Argentino	71-69
02/12/16	H	Gimnasia	102-82
29/11/16	A	Argentino	68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	44%
Home	WLLWW	67%
Away	WWWLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	12	15
Win %	44%	67%	27%
Points / game	80.6	84.1	77.7
Allowed / game	80.4	79.3	81.3
Point differential	+0.1	+4.8	-3.6
Avg total	161.0	163.4	159.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	8%	7%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	30%
Home	WLLLW	36%
Away	LWWLL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	30%	36%	23%
Points / game	75.1	75.9	74.3
Allowed / game	81.7	79.6	83.9
Point differential	-6.5	-3.6	-9.6
Avg total	156.8	155.5	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	7%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	60% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Martin	26	20	6	77%	82.0	74.3	+7.7
2	San Lorenzo	29	22	7	76%	85.8	72.1	+13.6
3	Ferro	27	18	9	67%	80.2	76.6	+3.6
4	Regatas	28	17	11	61%	85.4	82.0	+3.4
5	Estudiantes	28	17	11	61%	81.6	78.5	+3.1
6	Weber Bahia	28	17	11	61%	77.7	77.0	+0.7
7	Instituto de Cordoba	28	16	12	57%	79.9	79.6	+0.2
8	Olimpico	28	14	14	50%	79.6	77.2	+2.4
9	Obras Sanitarias	28	14	14	50%	82.7	80.4	+2.2
10	Gimnasia	28	14	14	50%	81.3	81.0	+0.2
11	Argentino	28	14	14	50%	73.9	75.5	-1.6
12	Quimsa	27	13	14	48%	79.9	78.0	+1.9
13	Penarol	30	14	16	47%	75.1	78.1	-3.0
14	La Union	26	12	14	46%	75.1	78.4	-3.3
15	Libertad	27	12	15	44%	80.6	80.4	+0.1
16	Quilmes	28	12	16	43%	76.4	79.7	-3.2
17	Atenas	28	11	17	39%	78.9	80.5	-1.6
18	Boca Juniors	27	8	19	30%	75.1	81.7	-6.5
19	Hispano Americano	29	8	21	28%	76.5	83.4	-6.9
20	Atletico Echague Parana	28	5	23	18%	76.7	89.6	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	25	23	16	20	84
Boca Juniors	19	22	20	12	73

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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