PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Liberty vs Jacksonville State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 51-61
21-26 30-35
Position#158
Record11-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game61.9
vs
Position#256
Record9-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game62.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Liberty v Jacksonville State
04 Jan 2026
LIBE78
JACK69
15 Mar 2025
LIBE79
JACK67
27 Feb 2025
LIBE59
JACK55
10 Jan 2024
LIBE51
JACK61
05 Jan 2023
LIBE75
JACK41
29 Jan 2022
LIBE67
JACK77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jacksonville State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H01/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
74-39
74
39
+35
H06/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H09/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H14/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#685
W
99-26
99
26
+73
H16/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A21/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
56-101
56
101
-45
H30/12
NCAA
Boyce
#599
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H01/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-44
31-39
33-37
34-39
29-18
45-21
32-32
32-37
34-35
40-17
52-14
47-12
46-34
33-29
27-48
29-53
48-23
40-23
33-34
35-36
135.2Avg total
72.7Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.661.9139.5+15.869%
Season at home (13)79.859.5139.3+20.277%
Season away (3)68.372.0140.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)72.762.5135.2+10.250%
Last 5 (5)78.061.2139.2+16.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Similar (6)64.076.7140.7-12.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)80.559.9140.4+20.586%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#343
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H01/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H03/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H09/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A15/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A19/12
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
90-60
90
60
+30
A21/12
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#541
W
93-57
93
57
+36
H29/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#568
W
107-67
107
67
+40
H31/12
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-29
29-36
37-23
33-29
29-21
30-40
19-25
30-30
30-38
30-37
31-40
34-22
34-30
56-30
50-25
43-32
55-37
52-30
40-28
30-35
134.7Avg total
73.0Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.462.4134.9+10.056%
Season at home (9)76.160.2136.3+15.967%
Season away (7)67.765.3133.0+2.443%
Last 10 (10)73.061.7134.7+11.370%
Last 5 (5)85.061.8146.8+23.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)63.468.6132.0-5.220%
vs Similar (12)69.267.9137.2+1.342%
vs Weaker (11)72.561.8134.3+10.664%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +4.6+4.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +4.6+4.6
LibertyJacksonville State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H06/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#685
W
52-14
52
14
+38
H16/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A21/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H30/12
NCAA
Boyce
#599
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H01/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/01
NCAA
68.0Avg total
36.1Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.829.966.7+6.967%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.528.666.1+8.975%-
Last 30 away (10)35.432.668.0+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)36.131.968.0+4.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.230.671.8+10.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (6)31.238.069.2-6.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)38.727.666.3+11.082%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#343
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H01/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
19-25
19
25
-6
H09/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A15/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A19/12
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A21/12
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#541
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H29/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#568
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H31/12
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H06/01
NCAA
65.9Avg total
36.3Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.430.965.3+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.827.863.6+8.088%-
Last 30 away (14)32.934.467.2-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)36.329.665.9+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.032.074.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.631.665.2+2.060%-
vs Similar (12)31.632.263.8-0.667%-
vs Weaker (11)34.629.163.7+5.573%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Liberty wins
1
Jacksonville State wins
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AWestern Kentucky68-70
01/01/24HBoyce88-46
30/12/23HAlabama56-101
21/12/23AUtah Valley State79-63
16/12/23HSt. Andrews99-26
14/12/23HTennessee State74-52
09/12/23HGrand Canyon64-69
06/12/23HMiss. Valley St.74-39
01/12/23HCharleston67-76
30/11/23AFlorida Atlantic58-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HFlorida International70-63
31/12/23HTrevecca Nazarene107-67
29/12/23HFort Valley State Wildcats93-57
21/12/23AUALR90-60
19/12/23ATarleton65-62
15/12/23AWisconsin60-75
09/12/23HIllinois (Chi.)49-55
03/12/23HEast Tennessee St59-61
01/12/23HSouth Alabama70-52
26/11/23HIncarnate Word67-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeLWWLW77%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16133
Win %69%77%33%
Points / game77.679.868.3
Allowed / game61.959.572.0
Point differential+15.8+20.2-3.7
Avg total139.5139.3140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%77%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jacksonville State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%67%43%
Points / game72.476.167.7
Allowed / game62.460.265.3
Point differential+10.0+15.9+2.4
Avg total134.9136.3133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky1512380%79.773.3+6.4
2 Liberty1611569%77.661.9+15.8
3 Kennesaw State1510567%85.177.9+7.2
4 Louisiana Tech1610662%76.864.7+12.1
5 Delaware159660%77.070.5+6.5
6 Missouri State159660%71.968.3+3.6
7 Jacksonville State169756%72.462.4+10.0
8 UTEP169756%75.169.3+5.8
9 Sam Houston St.168850%72.472.5-0.1
10 New Mexico State167944%70.471.6-1.2
11 Middle Tenn. St.156940%64.166.5-2.4
12 Florida International1651131%76.976.6+0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty213051
Jacksonville State263561
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.