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Lietkabelis vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-92
16-19 16-23 23-28 19-22
Position#18
Record0-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game83.0
Lietkabelis
vs
Aris 🏆
Position#19
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeEurocupRound 3· Peer A.
European cup2024
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Aris
08 Oct 2024
LIE74
ARI92
10 Oct 2023
LIE84
ARI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
79-88
79
88
-9
76avg 79
A26/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
84avg 79
A04/06
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
70avg 79
H06/06
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
91-84
91
84
+7
91avg 79
A09/06
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
98-87
98
87
+11
96avg 79
H11/06
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
82-78
82
78
+4
80avg 79
H21/09
LKL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
66-72
66
72
-6
49avg 79
A24/09
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#4
W
83-81
83
81
+2
79avg 79
H28/09
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
74-94
74
94
-20
67avg 79
H01/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
70avg 79
A05/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
26-21
10-24
25-25
21-27
17-21
25-23
23-13
17-21
14-20
18-20
24-20
24-21
21-25
18-15
28-23
23-30
25-21
24-15
26-21
24-17
19-17
19-20
20-24
17-22
17-13
14-19
18-18
28-15
24-25
18-21
13-20
25-18
11-26
20-16
18-34
19-30
21-15
18-17
27-16
164.4Avg total
81.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
Season at home (1)74.094.0168.0-20.00%
Season away (1)66.072.0138.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)81.782.7164.4-1.060%
Last 5 (5)78.080.6158.6-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)81.989.4171.3-7.528%
vs Similar (4)82.081.2163.2+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.978.8166.6+9.188%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#7
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
90avg 64
H20/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
88-87
88
87
+1
82avg 64
A23/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
63avg 64
A31/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
53avg 64
H02/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
71-75
71
75
-4
67avg 64
A06/06
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
75-95
75
95
-20
64avg 64
A25/09
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-81
68
81
-13
68avg 64
A28/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
69-73
69
73
-4
59avg 64
H29/09
Super Cup
Turk Telekom
#8
L
63-68
63
68
-5
52avg 64
H02/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#3
L
59-70
59
70
-11
50avg 64
H05/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
20-17
27-12
8-31
31-16
19-19
14-28
24-24
13-28
19-15
27-24
12-22
15-13
14-23
20-24
16-20
20-23
18-12
20-20
13-20
22-30
19-17
16-22
18-26
20-20
10-24
16-22
22-15
25-16
16-23
14-18
14-16
13-21
13-15
21-11
16-21
17-14
12-12
12-18
18-26
152.1Avg total
71.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.081.5150.5-12.50%
Season at home (1)63.068.0131.0-5.00%
Season away (1)75.095.0170.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)71.880.3152.1-8.520%
Last 5 (5)66.877.4144.2-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)69.079.1148.1-10.020%
vs Similar (8)79.078.1157.1+0.962%
vs Weaker (1)84.060.0144.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -6.0-6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -6.0-6.0
LietkabelisAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/06
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H06/06
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A09/06
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H11/06
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H21/09
LKL
Turk Telekom
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A24/09
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H28/09
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H01/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/10
LKL
83.4Avg total
41.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.244.385.4-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.643.885.4-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)40.744.885.5-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.383.4-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.680.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.946.186.1-6.222%-
vs Similar (4)43.044.287.2-1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.040.183.1+2.975%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A23/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A31/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H02/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A06/06
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/09
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A28/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H29/09
Super Cup
Turk Telekom
#8
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H02/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#3
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H05/10
Basket League
73.1Avg total
35.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.838.874.6-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.337.072.3-1.738%-
Last 30 away (17)36.140.276.3-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.473.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)33.438.471.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.337.471.7-3.130%-
vs Similar (8)40.041.981.9-1.950%-
vs Weaker (1)38.038.076.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.0
51.9%
53.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.4
33.2%
34.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.019.5
78.0%
76.0%19.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.1
48.6%
53.5%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.5
33.3%
34.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.3
70.7%
76.0%13.3
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLWLWWWLWL
Aris
LLLLLLLLWW
#18
League position
#19
-1.4
Net rating
-11.6
111.9
Offensive rating
96.8
113.3
Defensive rating
108.4
51.0%
Effective FG%
49.2%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
23.3%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.2%
3-point %
33.3%
68.9%
Assist %
61.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 96.8Defence113.3 · 108.4Shooting51.0% · 49.2%3-point %33.2% · 33.3%Ball care18.3% · 23.3%Off. rebounds33.7% · 30.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lietkabelis wins
1
Aris wins
DateGameScore
12/12/23Aris v Lietkabelis69-60
10/10/23Lietkabelis v Aris84-74
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24ANevezis85-78
01/10/24HHapoel Jerusalem74-94
28/09/24HBC Wolves83-81
24/09/24ATurk Telekom66-72
21/09/24HMazeikiai82-78
11/06/24HBC Wolves98-87
09/06/24ABC Wolves91-84
06/06/24HBC Wolves73-81
04/06/24ABC Wolves86-84
26/05/24AZalgiris Kaunas79-88
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HAEK Athens59-70
02/10/24HTurk Telekom63-68
29/09/24HPeristeri69-73
28/09/24APanathinaikos68-81
25/09/24AVenezia75-95
06/06/24APeristeri71-75
02/06/24HPanathinaikos65-80
31/05/24APanathinaikos71-89
23/05/24APromitheas88-87
20/05/24HPromitheas89-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.074.066.0
Allowed / game83.094.072.0
Point differential-13.0-20.0-6.0
Avg total153.0168.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.063.075.0
Allowed / game81.568.095.0
Point differential-12.5-5.0-20.0
Avg total150.5131.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia220100%92.571.0+21.5
2 Bahcesehir Kol.220100%83.567.5+16.0
3 JL Bourg220100%92.076.5+15.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija220100%90.084.0+6.0
5 Turk Telekom220100%70.064.5+5.5
6 Ulm220100%91.588.0+3.5
7 Gran Canaria220100%86.583.5+3.0
8 Venezia21150%88.581.0+7.5
9 Hapoel Jerusalem21150%79.077.0+2.0
10 Trento21150%82.581.0+1.5
11 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%82.081.0+1.0
12 Joventut Badalona21150%80.581.0-0.5
13 Besiktas21150%80.081.5-1.5
14 Trefl Sopot2020%85.590.0-4.5
15 BC Wolves2020%76.584.5-8.0
16 Cluj-Napoca2020%79.588.5-9.0
17 Buducnost2020%81.091.5-10.5
18 Aris2020%69.081.5-12.5
19 Lietkabelis2020%70.083.0-13.0
20 Hamburg2020%79.0102.5-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1616231974
Aris1923282292
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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