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Lietkabelis vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 84-66
25-16 20-18 15-20 24-12
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Position#12
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game103.0
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilis arena (Panev
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Gargzdai
13 Feb 2027
LIE v GAR
upcoming
17 Jan 2027
LIE v GAR
upcoming
06 May 2026
LIE69
GAR78
01 Feb 2026
LIE70
GAR79
07 Oct 2023
LIE84
GAR66
04 Mar 2023
LIE82
GAR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-95
66
95
-29
54avg 76
H28/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
81avg 76
H31/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 76
A02/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
63-82
63
82
-19
59avg 76
H05/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
75-55
75
55
+20
74avg 76
A07/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 76
H09/06
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
74avg 76
A16/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
95-92
95
92
+3
94avg 76
H25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
100-79
100
79
+21
103avg 76
H30/09
LKL
Buducnost
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
60avg 76
A04/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
13-26
18-26
17-25
20-25
19-23
23-25
18-16
23-27
22-25
13-15
30-20
24-24
13-19
8-16
18-23
23-18
20-11
16-15
16-11
17-22
29-13
16-19
22-18
14-16
24-29
26-18
17-28
24-25
25-20
20-19
26-28
28-25
23-18
30-21
19-15
17-17
21-14
12-22
15-23
161.5Avg total
79.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.087.3179.3+4.767%
Season at home (2)97.585.5183.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)81.091.0172.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)79.781.8161.5-2.150%
Last 5 (5)85.082.0167.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.180.5152.6-8.425%
vs Similar (14)83.082.6165.6+0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.278.9169.1+11.4100%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
74avg 68
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
56-60
56
60
-4
60avg 68
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 68
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
87avg 68
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 68
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
58avg 68
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
55-107
55
107
-52
42avg 68
H17/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-104
68
104
-36
56avg 68
A23/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 68
H01/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
26-29
18-9
19-24
15-14
16-10
19-18
15-25
15-19
13-9
20-17
8-15
20-27
20-18
22-23
16-21
19-20
28-22
18-18
21-31
9-25
17-26
18-13
21-22
19-23
15-21
21-20
10-27
16-34
7-21
14-25
18-27
18-20
14-24
19-29
17-31
23-23
17-26
22-25
20-24
156.6Avg total
69.7Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)68.3103.0171.3-34.70%
Season at home (2)68.5102.5171.0-34.00%
Season away (1)68.0104.0172.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)69.786.9156.6-17.210%
Last 5 (5)67.097.2164.2-30.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.187.5161.6-13.412%
vs Similar (5)80.677.4158.0+3.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -8.2-8.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -8.2-8.2
LietkabelisGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H28/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H31/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A02/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A07/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H09/06
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A16/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H30/09
LKL
Buducnost
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A04/10
Eurocup
83.2Avg total
41.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.382.8+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.143.985.9-1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)40.938.779.6+2.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.583.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.884.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.540.175.6-4.625%-
vs Similar (14)41.241.983.1-0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.041.489.4+6.662%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-55
23
55
-32
H17/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H01/10
LKL
76.6Avg total
34.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.143.280.3-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.841.976.7-7.127%-
Last 30 away (15)39.444.483.8-5.020%-
Last 10 (10)34.142.576.6-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)31.048.679.6-17.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.643.780.3-7.020%-
vs Similar (5)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.3
55.8%
55.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.2
35.0%
34.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.814.7
78.2%
73.2%14.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.7
48.9%
55.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.1
30.7%
34.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.112.4
68.5%
73.2%12.4
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LWWLWWLWLL
Gargzdai
LLLLLLLLLW
#5
League position
#12
-1.7
Net rating
-24.1
113.2
Offensive rating
94.3
114.9
Defensive rating
118.4
54.5%
Effective FG%
47.8%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
20.5%
Turnover %
22.9%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.0%
3-point %
30.7%
64.6%
Assist %
68.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 94.3Defence114.9 · 118.4Shooting54.5% · 47.8%3-point %35.0% · 30.7%Ball care20.5% · 22.9%Off. rebounds35.8% · 30.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lietkabelis wins
0
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
02/05/23Gargzdai v Lietkabelis65-86
04/03/23Lietkabelis v Gargzdai82-73
02/10/22Gargzdai v Lietkabelis71-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23ABuducnost65-76
30/09/23HNevezis100-79
25/09/23HPieno Zvaigzdes95-92
16/09/23ANeptunas81-91
09/06/23HJonava84-72
07/06/23AJonava75-55
05/06/23HJonava63-82
02/06/23AJonava88-87
31/05/23HJonava80-89
28/05/23HZalgiris Kaunas66-95
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23HRytas82-98
23/09/23ABC Wolves68-104
17/09/23HZalgiris Kaunas55-107
06/05/23ARytas65-91
02/05/23HLietkabelis65-86
29/04/23ANeptunas86-91
26/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes78-89
24/04/23HSiauliai56-60
18/04/23AJonava65-67
16/04/23HJuventus77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game92.097.581.0
Allowed / game87.385.591.0
Point differential+4.7+12.0-10.0
Avg total179.3183.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game68.368.568.0
Allowed / game103.0102.5104.0
Point differential-34.7-34.0-36.0
Avg total171.3171.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%88.064.0+24.0
2 BC Wolves330100%85.369.3+16.0
3 Rytas440100%98.083.8+14.2
4 Jonava330100%87.080.0+7.0
5 Lietkabelis32167%92.087.3+4.7
6 Juventus32167%87.385.0+2.3
7 Neptunas31233%91.794.3-2.7
8 Siauliai41325%79.581.5-2.0
9 Mazeikiai3030%75.782.3-6.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3030%83.393.0-9.7
11 Nevezis3030%80.397.0-16.7
12 Gargzdai3030%68.3103.0-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2520152484
Gargzdai1618201266
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