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Lietkabelis vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-68
24-21 24-9 22-17 21-21
Position#18
Record1-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#17
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game92.3
EuropeEurocupRound 7· Kalnapilio arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Hamburg
06 Nov 2024
LIE91
HAM68
10 Nov 2021
LIE96
HAM100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
83-81
83
81
+2
79avg 78
H28/09
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
74-94
74
94
-20
67avg 78
H01/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
70avg 78
A05/10
LKL
Aris
#19
L
74-92
74
92
-18
68avg 78
H08/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
67-84
67
84
-17
50avg 78
H12/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
72-76
72
76
-4
64avg 78
A15/10
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
60avg 78
A20/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
W
84-80
84
80
+4
84avg 78
H22/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 78
A26/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
81-89
81
89
-8
69avg 78
H02/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
24-25
18-21
13-20
25-18
11-26
20-16
18-34
19-30
21-15
18-17
27-16
16-19
16-23
23-28
19-22
19-21
13-29
17-20
18-14
10-18
13-25
27-17
22-16
24-13
15-17
14-23
13-20
18-20
21-16
22-20
23-24
17-21
25-16
11-23
26-10
18-23
14-20
21-21
28-25
158.2Avg total
76.5Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.082.8156.8-8.820%
Season at home (3)77.388.7166.0-11.333%
Season away (2)69.074.0143.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)76.581.7158.2-5.240%
Last 5 (5)76.477.6154.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)81.386.2167.5-4.932%
vs Similar ◀ (3)84.082.3166.3+1.767%
vs Weaker (8)84.180.8164.9+3.462%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
80avg 77
A29/09
BBL
Valencia
#1
L
78-105
78
105
-27
71avg 77
A02/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
86avg 77
H06/10
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
74-89
74
89
-15
65avg 77
A09/10
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
67-103
67
103
-36
53avg 77
H15/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
80avg 77
A18/10
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 77
A22/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
75-96
75
96
-21
64avg 77
H26/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
78avg 77
H29/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 77
A02/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
20-21
19-16
20-23
29-30
15-22
21-30
13-23
21-23
20-20
19-21
27-14
18-21
19-25
17-13
20-30
16-19
11-28
21-34
19-22
21-23
23-24
19-24
22-20
16-22
15-24
17-16
20-18
17-21
13-28
17-19
28-28
27-18
16-21
22-12
24-26
12-25
27-14
17-21
16-22
165.7Avg total
77.5Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.092.3168.3-16.317%
Season at home (3)78.793.3172.0-14.733%
Season away (3)73.391.3164.7-18.00%
Last 10 (10)77.588.2165.7-10.720%
Last 5 (5)77.885.2163.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.787.4164.1-10.713%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.487.1171.6-2.744%
vs Weaker (5)90.478.2168.6+12.280%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
LietkabelisHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H28/09
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H01/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/10
LKL
Aris
#19
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H08/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H12/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A15/10
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A20/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A26/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H02/11
LKL
77.7Avg total
36.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.283.7-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.643.684.2-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)40.242.983.1-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)36.741.077.7-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.872.8-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.244.683.8-5.432%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)44.342.787.0+1.733%-
vs Weaker (8)41.940.182.0+1.862%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A29/09
BBL
Valencia
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A02/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H06/10
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A09/10
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H15/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A18/10
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A22/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H26/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A02/11
BBL
82.7Avg total
37.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.884.1-3.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.942.382.2-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)40.845.185.8-4.319%-
Last 10 (10)37.745.082.7-7.310%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.081.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.144.981.9-7.813%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.846.389.1-3.633%-
vs Weaker (5)46.836.283.0+10.680%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.3
51.4%
53.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.1
30.3%
34.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.117.8
73.9%
76.0%17.8
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.9
53.9%
53.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.8
33.8%
34.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.911.3
71.1%
76.0%11.3
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LWWLLLLWLW
Hamburg
LWLLLLLWLL
#18
League position
#17
-6.7
Net rating
-14.7
105.8
Offensive rating
101.2
112.5
Defensive rating
115.9
49.1%
Effective FG%
52.4%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
19.5%
Turnover %
21.9%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.3%
3-point %
33.8%
64.2%
Assist %
68.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 101.2Defence112.5 · 115.9Shooting49.1% · 52.4%3-point %30.3% · 33.8%Ball care19.5% · 21.9%Off. rebounds33.7% · 29.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lietkabelis wins
1
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
04/04/22Hamburg v Lietkabelis72-87
10/11/21Lietkabelis v Hamburg96-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24HNeptunas81-89
26/10/24AJuventus79-70
22/10/24HJL Bourg84-80
20/10/24AZalgiris Kaunas66-73
15/10/24ACedevita Olimpija72-76
12/10/24HRytas67-84
08/10/24HAris74-92
05/10/24ANevezis85-78
01/10/24HHapoel Jerusalem74-94
28/09/24HBC Wolves83-81
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24AUlm72-82
29/10/24HTurk Telekom89-77
26/10/24HSyntainics MBC75-96
22/10/24AVenezia68-80
18/10/24AWurzburg85-91
15/10/24HCluj-Napoca67-103
09/10/24AHapoel Jerusalem74-89
06/10/24HOldenburg87-78
02/10/24AValencia78-105
29/09/24ABayern80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game74.077.369.0
Allowed / game82.888.774.0
Point differential-8.8-11.3-5.0
Avg total156.8166.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game76.078.773.3
Allowed / game92.393.391.3
Point differential-16.3-14.7-18.0
Avg total168.3172.0164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia550100%99.281.6+17.6
2 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%85.970.7+15.1
3 Gran Canaria65183%84.777.2+7.5
4 JL Bourg64267%84.576.2+8.3
5 Hapoel Jerusalem64267%82.076.7+5.3
6 Cedevita Olimpija64267%81.881.2+0.7
7 Ulm64267%85.594.3-8.8
8 Hapoel Tel-Aviv74357%84.479.4+5.0
9 Besiktas74357%87.783.7+4.0
10 Turk Telekom74357%77.776.6+1.1
11 BC Wolves63350%84.582.7+1.8
12 Cluj-Napoca73443%86.485.6+0.9
13 Trento73443%78.185.6-7.4
14 Aris62433%77.380.8-3.5
15 Venezia62433%80.784.8-4.2
16 Buducnost62433%81.085.7-4.7
17 Joventut Badalona72529%77.081.1-4.1
18 Lietkabelis51420%74.082.8-8.8
19 Hamburg61517%76.092.3-16.3
20 Trefl Sopot7070%80.789.7-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2424222191
Hamburg219172168
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