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Bayern vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 81-80
21-21 21-20 16-19 23-20
Position#1
Record1-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game68.5
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Hamburg
Germany
Position#13
Record1-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game80.0
GermanyBBLRound 2· BMW Park
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bayern v Hamburg
25 Oct 2026
BAY96
HAM77
05 Oct 2025
BAY96
HAM79
29 Sep 2024
BAY81
HAM80
08 Oct 2023
BAY90
HAM79
14 Feb 2023
BAY70
HAM89
02 Mar 2022
BAY86
HAM75
17 Jan 2021
BAY85
HAM71
30 Sep 2019
BAY111
HAM55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 78
A24/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
91-76
91
76
+15
92avg 78
H29/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
99-75
99
75
+24
98avg 78
H31/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
75-61
75
61
+14
68avg 78
A02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
79-67
79
67
+12
72avg 78
H08/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
63avg 78
H10/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
63avg 78
A12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 78
A14/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
73-59
73
59
+14
70avg 78
H20/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
70-78
70
78
-8
68avg 78
A22/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
23-23
21-23
15-12
21-11
28-16
25-23
17-26
22-21
26-23
25-16
26-15
12-18
26-15
22-13
15-15
26-19
20-24
23-19
10-5
26-19
6-20
18-17
20-23
17-14
14-14
17-17
19-18
22-21
22-25
21-6
23-30
16-16
20-12
26-18
11-13
16-25
19-17
19-17
16-19
149.7Avg total
78.8Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.568.5140.0+3.050%
Season at home (1)73.059.0132.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)70.078.0148.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)78.870.9149.7+7.980%
Last 5 (5)73.672.2145.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.286.8165.0-8.50%
vs Similar (7)71.767.6139.3+4.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.774.9160.6+10.784%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
L
92-107
92
107
-15
84avg 76
A28/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
94-88
94
88
+6
78avg 76
H30/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
74avg 76
H04/05
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
69avg 76
A09/05
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
79-66
79
66
+13
78avg 76
H12/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
93-81
93
81
+12
85avg 76
A14/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
78-91
78
91
-13
67avg 76
A16/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 76
A15/09
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#6
W
97-80
97
80
+17
92avg 76
H22/09
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
L
80-100
80
100
-20
76avg 76
H24/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
29-33
19-32
20-16
16-24
30-12
21-31
27-21
22-22
17-22
20-23
20-18
23-25
24-18
28-16
18-19
18-8
22-19
24-9
15-30
27-22
19-25
28-17
19-17
15-23
20-22
10-21
33-25
24-21
12-21
27-24
26-30
21-15
27-29
22-25
27-11
16-35
24-29
21-18
19-18
174.6Avg total
87.4Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)97.080.0177.0+17.0100%
Season at home (1)97.080.0177.0+17.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.487.2174.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)87.489.6177.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.890.1169.9-10.37%
vs Similar (8)84.187.1171.2-3.038%
vs Weaker (7)95.482.0177.4+13.486%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
BayernHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H29/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H31/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H08/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A14/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H20/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A22/09
BBL
76.3Avg total
39.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.078.3+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.637.178.7+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)39.138.978.0+0.262%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.476.3+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.672.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.846.879.5-14.00%-
vs Similar (7)37.736.173.9+1.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.836.979.7+5.989%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A28/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H04/05
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A09/05
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H12/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A14/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A16/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A15/09
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H22/09
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
L
40-64
40
64
-24
H24/09
Eurocup
88.1Avg total
43.0Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.244.586.7-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.243.185.3-0.941%-
Last 30 away (13)42.346.388.6-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)43.045.188.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.048.489.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.546.685.1-8.114%-
vs Similar (8)43.544.988.4-1.450%-
vs Weaker (7)49.140.189.3+9.071%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.318.4
57.0%
52.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.5
36.6%
33.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.012.7
84.7%
73.5%12.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.619.3
61.1%
52.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.8
36.2%
33.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.118.4
76.3%
73.5%18.4
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWLWWWWW
Hamburg
LWLLWWWLWL
#1
League position
#13
+12.8
Net rating
+0.0
113.9
Offensive rating
114.7
101.1
Defensive rating
114.7
56.0%
Effective FG%
57.9%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.3%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.41
36.6%
3-point %
36.2%
58.8%
Assist %
55.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 114.7Defence101.1 · 114.7Shooting56.0% · 57.9%3-point %36.6% · 36.2%Ball care17.3% · 19.3%Off. rebounds29.3% · 28.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
4
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
24/03/24Hamburg v Bayern80-81 OT
08/10/23Bayern v Hamburg90-79
14/02/23Bayern v Hamburg70-89
22/10/22Hamburg v Bayern81-78 OT
24/04/22Hamburg v Bayern87-83
02/03/22Bayern v Hamburg86-75
27/03/21Hamburg v Bayern91-86 OT
17/01/21Bayern v Hamburg85-71
30/09/19Bayern v Hamburg111-55
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/24ALudwigsburg70-78
20/09/24HChemnitz73-59
14/06/24AAlba Berlin88-82
12/06/24AAlba Berlin67-63
10/06/24HAlba Berlin70-79
08/06/24HAlba Berlin79-67
02/06/24AWurzburg75-61
31/05/24HWurzburg99-75
29/05/24HWurzburg91-76
24/05/24ALudwigsburg76-69
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/24HJL Bourg80-100
22/09/24HAlba Berlin97-80
15/09/24AHeidelberg89-96
16/05/24ALudwigsburg78-91
14/05/24AOldenburg93-81
12/05/24HGottingen79-66
09/05/24ATubingen93-78
04/05/24HChemnitz79-85
30/04/24HCrailsheim Merlins94-88
28/04/24AOldenburg92-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.573.070.0
Allowed / game68.559.078.0
Point differential+3.0+14.0-8.0
Avg total140.0132.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential+17.0+17.0-
Avg total177.0177.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankfurt110100%100.072.0+28.0
2 Basketball Braunschweig110100%96.077.0+19.0
3 Hamburg110100%97.080.0+17.0
4 Rostock220100%94.579.0+15.5
5 Ludwigsburg110100%78.070.0+8.0
6 Vechta110100%83.075.0+8.0
7 Ulm220100%87.581.0+6.5
8 Alba Berlin21150%92.583.5+9.0
9 Bonn21150%85.081.5+3.5
10 Bayern21150%71.568.5+3.0
11 Oldenburg21150%87.593.5-6.0
12 Chemnitz2020%72.581.5-9.0
13 Syntainics MBC2020%82.091.0-9.0
14 Wurzburg1010%76.085.0-9.0
15 Bamberg1010%77.096.0-19.0
16 Heidelberg1010%82.0105.0-23.0
17 Gottingen2020%73.0101.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2121162381
Hamburg2120192080
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