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Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-89
18-23 14-20 21-21 28-25
Position#3
Record4-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#7
Record4-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game92.0
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas
21 Apr 2027
LIE v NEP
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
LIE99
NEP79
13 Jun 2026
LIE82
NEP91
08 Jun 2026
LIE80
NEP68
26 Apr 2026
LIE83
NEP80
20 Sep 2025
LIE84
NEP96
30 Apr 2025
LIE84
NEP79
02 Nov 2024
LIE81
NEP89
04 Mar 2024
LIE76
NEP78
21 Jan 2024
LIE79
NEP76
14 Jan 2023
LIE73
NEP81
26 Nov 2022
LIE80
NEP73
15 Jan 2022
LIE80
NEP80
18 Sep 2021
LIE83
NEP62
13 May 2021
LIE94
NEP93
08 Apr 2021
LIE82
NEP77
03 Oct 2020
LIE87
NEP82
02 May 2020
LIE v NEP
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
LIE102
NEP64
22 Apr 2019
LIE69
NEP73
24 Nov 2018
LIE76
NEP100
17 Jun 2018
LIE78
NEP89
12 Jun 2018
LIE69
NEP71
18 Apr 2018
LIE89
NEP94
04 Oct 2017
LIE88
NEP76
01 Apr 2017
LIE74
NEP61
05 Oct 2016
LIE93
NEP74
17 Apr 2016
LIE72
NEP80
25 Oct 2015
LIE75
NEP80
16 Apr 2015
LIE81
NEP83
09 Oct 2014
LIE65
NEP78
10 Apr 2014
LIE69
NEP83
16 Jan 2013
LIE65
NEP81
21 Jan 2012
LIE103
NEP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
L
66-72
66
72
-6
49avg 78
A24/09
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#4
W
83-81
83
81
+2
79avg 78
H28/09
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
74-94
74
94
-20
67avg 78
H01/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
70avg 78
A05/10
LKL
Aris
#19
L
74-92
74
92
-18
68avg 78
H08/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
67-84
67
84
-17
50avg 78
H12/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
72-76
72
76
-4
64avg 78
A15/10
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
60avg 78
A20/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
W
84-80
84
80
+4
84avg 78
H22/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 78
A26/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
17-13
14-19
18-18
28-15
24-25
18-21
13-20
25-18
11-26
20-16
18-34
19-30
21-15
18-17
27-16
16-19
16-23
23-28
19-22
19-21
13-29
17-20
18-14
10-18
13-25
27-17
22-16
24-13
15-17
14-23
13-20
18-20
21-16
22-20
23-24
17-21
25-16
11-23
26-10
155.0Avg total
75.0Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.077.3154.3-0.367%
Season at home (3)77.381.0158.3-3.767%
Season away (3)76.773.7150.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)75.080.0155.0-5.040%
Last 5 (5)73.676.6150.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)81.086.3167.4-5.330%
vs Similar (3)84.082.3166.3+1.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.679.6164.1+5.071%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
91avg 82
H29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
73avg 82
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
99-92
99
92
+7
87avg 82
A06/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
106-71
106
71
+35
114avg 82
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 82
H12/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 82
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
100avg 82
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
86-88
86
88
-2
86avg 82
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
96-107
96
107
-11
92avg 82
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
105-74
105
74
+31
107avg 82
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
27-24
19-22
20-19
17-18
26-20
23-29
16-35
32-17
24-29
21-27
22-19
25-19
27-15
32-24
22-13
25-23
18-19
29-15
17-17
27-25
24-19
11-28
22-16
19-26
34-14
19-22
22-32
22-17
23-22
25-25
16-24
22-28
20-20
25-29
29-30
22-19
30-15
23-20
30-20
183.1Avg total
94.0Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)94.592.0186.5+2.567%
Season at home (2)89.580.5170.0+9.0100%
Season away (4)97.097.8194.8-0.850%
Last 10 (10)94.089.1183.1+4.950%
Last 5 (5)94.893.0187.8+1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)84.887.0171.8-2.250%
vs Similar (6)89.887.5177.3+2.383%
vs Weaker (12)90.189.6179.7+0.533%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
LietkabelisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A24/09
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H28/09
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H01/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/10
LKL
Aris
#19
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H08/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H12/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A15/10
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A20/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A26/10
LKL
77.1Avg total
36.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.743.283.9-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.143.684.7-2.438%-
Last 30 away (14)40.242.983.1-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.277.1-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.274.2-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)39.244.583.8-5.330%-
vs Similar (3)44.342.787.0+1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.339.783.0+3.671%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A06/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A19/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
89.9Avg total
48.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.484.3+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.940.384.1+3.673%-
Last 30 away (15)43.940.684.5+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)48.841.189.9+7.790%-
Last 5 (5)48.641.089.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.639.279.8+1.350%-
vs Similar (6)47.541.789.2+5.883%-
vs Weaker (12)45.441.086.4+4.475%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.7
49.7%
55.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.8
28.8%
35.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws24.518.2
74.3%
75.0%18.2
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.522.8
60.8%
55.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.3
38.1%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.716.5
72.7%
75.0%16.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WWLLLLWLWL
Neptunas
WLLLLWWWLW
#3
League position
#7
-7.0
Net rating
+6.4
103.5
Offensive rating
120.8
110.5
Defensive rating
114.4
47.1%
Effective FG%
59.3%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.8%
3-point %
38.1%
64.9%
Assist %
67.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 120.8Defence110.5 · 114.4Shooting47.1% · 59.3%3-point %28.8% · 38.1%Ball care19.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds33.2% · 31.2%Free throws0.41 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lietkabelis wins
6
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24AJuventus79-70
22/10/24HJL Bourg84-80
20/10/24AZalgiris Kaunas66-73
15/10/24ACedevita Olimpija72-76
12/10/24HRytas67-84
08/10/24HAris74-92
05/10/24ANevezis85-78
01/10/24HHapoel Jerusalem74-94
28/09/24HBC Wolves83-81
24/09/24ATurk Telekom66-72
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/24HJuventus105-74
27/10/24AMazeikiai96-107
23/10/24HNevezis86-88
19/10/24ASiauliai103-108 OT
15/10/24AJonava84-88
12/10/24HBC Wolves89-74
09/10/24HMazeikiai106-71
06/10/24AJuventus99-92
02/10/24ASiauliai82-102
29/09/24HJonava90-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game77.077.376.7
Allowed / game77.381.073.7
Point differential-0.3-3.7+3.0
Avg total154.3158.3150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game94.589.597.0
Allowed / game92.080.597.8
Point differential+2.5+9.0-0.8
Avg total186.5170.0194.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas65183%92.785.8+6.8
2 Zalgiris Kaunas64267%86.078.0+8.0
3 Neptunas64267%94.592.0+2.5
4 Lietkabelis64267%77.077.3-0.3
5 BC Wolves74357%89.085.0+4.0
6 Juventus63350%80.275.2+5.0
7 Jonava63350%93.592.5+1.0
8 Siauliai73443%93.7100.4-6.7
9 Mazeikiai61517%82.293.7-11.5
10 Nevezis6060%82.590.8-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1814212881
Neptunas2320212589
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