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Lietkabelis vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 95-86
23-22 27-18 24-24 21-22
Position#17
Record1-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#9
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeEurocupRound 3· Kalnapilio arena
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
80-68
80
68
+12
72avg 72
H08/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
63-66
63
66
-3
60avg 72
A11/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
71avg 72
H13/06
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 72
H19/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 72
A23/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
77avg 72
H26/09
LKL
KK Bosna
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 72
H30/09
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
48avg 72
A04/10
LKL
BC Roma
#24
L
87-92
87
92
-5
71avg 72
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 72
H10/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
13-13
25-13
24-14
24-15
13-25
15-10
11-16
26-28
16-22
22-20
18-21
13-26
14-20
32-21
25-15
20-26
25-16
20-22
12-22
24-18
14-16
32-28
15-17
12-20
25-18
25-15
13-19
21-20
19-29
12-23
16-25
11-22
27-21
25-27
24-22
13-20
15-13
15-14
22-24
157.0Avg total
76.6Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.082.0163.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)87.092.0179.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)76.680.4157.0-3.840%
Last 5 (5)76.082.2158.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.091.0171.0-11.012%
vs Similar (14)78.479.9158.3-1.443%
vs Weaker (8)85.073.9158.9+11.175%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#12
W
101-85
101
85
+16
99avg 80
H25/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
58avg 80
A29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
91-79
91
79
+12
86avg 80
H03/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
77-72
77
72
+5
76avg 80
A06/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
102-114 OT
102
114
-12
101avg 80
A28/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
94-102
94
102
-8
88avg 80
H30/05
Basket League
Manresa
#8
W
93-78
93
78
+15
90avg 80
H30/09
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
88-85
88
85
+3
81avg 80
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
67avg 80
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#10
W
86-73
86
73
+13
77avg 80
H10/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
26-26
26-24
21-15
23-19
18-24
16-27
17-19
23-19
25-22
16-19
27-19
23-15
13-20
18-16
23-21
24-23
26-22
25-32
21-19
27-17
20-27
20-28
27-30
21-20
19-21
18-15
35-22
14-17
18-20
28-21
28-27
22-18
18-17
19-26
16-11
22-18
20-13
22-23
22-19
173.0Avg total
88.1Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.075.0159.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)93.078.0171.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.184.9173.0+3.270%
Last 5 (5)87.282.0169.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.589.7171.2-8.220%
vs Similar (8)83.979.2163.1+4.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.976.1165.0+12.8100%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.5+3.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.5+3.5
LietkabelisPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H08/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A11/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/06
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H19/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A23/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H26/09
LKL
KK Bosna
#21
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H30/09
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A04/10
LKL
BC Roma
#24
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H10/10
LKL
77.9Avg total
36.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.980.4-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.379.2-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)38.143.581.6-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)36.341.677.9-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.475.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.644.885.4-4.112%-
vs Similar (14)36.542.478.9-5.921%-
vs Weaker (8)40.038.178.1+1.962%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H25/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A28/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H30/05
Basket League
Manresa
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/09
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#21
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#10
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Basket League
82.8Avg total
43.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.481.4+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.339.484.7+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)38.139.477.6-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.882.8+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.677.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
vs Similar (8)41.139.080.1+2.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.836.580.3+7.367%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.1
52.2%
54.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.4
31.3%
34.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.612.7
68.3%
75.6%12.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.8
59.6%
54.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.3
32.4%
34.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.818.1
79.4%
75.6%18.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LLLWWLWLLW
PAOK
WWWWLLWWLW
#17
League position
#9
-5.0
Net rating
+3.2
93.2
Offensive rating
105.4
98.3
Defensive rating
102.1
50.0%
Effective FG%
54.6%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
12.8%
Turnover %
13.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.3%
3-point %
32.4%
57.8%
Assist %
59.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 105.4Defence98.3 · 102.1Shooting50.0% · 54.6%3-point %31.3% · 32.4%Ball care12.8% · 13.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lietkabelis wins
0
PAOK wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HJonava65-71
07/10/26ABC Roma87-92
04/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas68-97
30/09/26HKK Bosna75-72
26/09/26HTaurage85-79
23/09/26ASiauliai77-86
19/09/26HJuventus84-82
13/06/26HNeptunas82-91
11/06/26ANeptunas63-66
08/06/26HNeptunas80-68
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HLefkadas86-73
06/10/26AKK Bosna75-72
03/10/26AMykonos88-85
30/09/26HManresa93-78
30/05/26HPanathinaikos94-102
28/05/26APanathinaikos102-114 OT
06/05/26APeristeri77-72
03/05/26HPeristeri91-79
29/04/26ABilbao74-89
25/04/26HMaroussi101-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.075.087.0
Allowed / game82.072.092.0
Point differential-1.0+3.0-5.0
Avg total163.0147.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.093.075.0
Allowed / game75.078.072.0
Point differential+9.0+15.0+3.0
Avg total159.0171.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.220100%96.069.0+27.0
2 Hapoel Jerusalem220100%84.568.5+16.0
3 Aris220100%90.077.0+13.0
4 Basket Napoli220100%88.575.5+13.0
5 Tofas220100%85.575.5+10.0
6 PAOK220100%84.075.0+9.0
7 Venezia21150%98.085.0+13.0
8 Maxima Roma21150%83.073.5+9.5
9 London Lions21150%80.075.5+4.5
10 Turk Telekom21150%83.579.5+4.0
11 Buducnost21150%87.084.0+3.0
12 Tortona21150%86.584.5+2.0
13 Ulm21150%93.592.5+1.0
14 Rigas Zelli21150%86.085.5+0.5
15 Lietkabelis21150%81.082.0-1.0
16 Manresa21150%89.591.0-1.5
17 Chemnitz21150%81.083.0-2.0
18 Siauliai21150%72.575.0-2.5
19 Tenerife21150%79.582.0-2.5
20 BC Roma21150%85.089.0-4.0
21 San Pablo Burgos21150%82.587.0-4.5
22 Trento21150%78.583.5-5.0
23 Slask Wroclaw21150%84.590.0-5.5
24 Rostock21150%80.090.0-10.0
25 Frankfurt21150%75.587.5-12.0
26 Cluj-Napoca21150%76.590.5-14.0
27 KK Bosna2020%72.075.0-3.0
28 Neptunas2020%78.584.5-6.0
29 Cedevita Olimpija2020%72.580.0-7.5
30 JL Bourg2020%79.086.5-7.5
31 Le Mans2020%78.588.0-9.5
32 Balkan2020%72.099.5-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2327242195
PAOK2218242286
← all games of the day
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