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Limburg vs Leiden Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 23 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#9
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Alverberg
Other2026-27
Meetings · Limburg v Leiden
23 Apr 2027
LIMB v LEI
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
LIMB89
LEI61
25 Apr 2025
LIMB74
LEI71
12 Apr 2024
LIMB66
LEI75
24 Mar 2023
LIMB70
LEI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Limburg
4.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 94.2
91.6▼ 2.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.2
83.2▲ 4.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
58%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 23.4
21.0▼ 2.4
🔥 Form · Leiden
5.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.1
80.6▼ 4.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.0
78.8▼ 1.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
54%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.2
18.4▼ 0.9
LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
101-81
101
81
+20
A17/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
119-89
119
89
+30
H19/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
106-79
106
79
+27
A25/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
91-54
91
54
+37
H01/05
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H06/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A09/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#13
L
100-109
100
109
-9
H02/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
101-73
101
73
+28
A09/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H16/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A23/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
21-19
33-24
18-23
29-21
34-25
26-25
30-18
28-18
28-20
24-31
26-10
22-10
22-16
25-6
22-22
22-19
28-22
25-16
24-28
24-15
18-27
22-12
18-17
33-29
20-23
27-29
20-28
26-13
30-16
21-24
24-20
25-17
22-20
21-28
19-15
31-20
26-15
19-20
12-28
177.8Avg total
97.4Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)94.086.2180.2+7.875%
Season at home (2)93.594.5188.0-1.050%
Season away (2)94.578.0172.5+16.5100%
Last 10 (10)97.480.4177.8+17.090%
Last 5 (5)91.683.2174.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.093.0181.0-5.033%
vs Similar (5)96.092.2188.2+3.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)93.679.1172.7+14.577%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
92-96
92
96
-4
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
A20/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
61-77
61
77
-16
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A24/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
24-26
23-14
27-31
17-28
17-24
27-21
17-24
31-31
19-27
23-21
12-18
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
25-26
17-15
24-16
26-20
11-11
14-14
22-17
17-25
168.4Avg total
85.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.273.0146.2+0.250%
Season at home (2)76.577.0153.5-0.550%
Season away (2)70.069.0139.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)85.183.3168.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)80.678.8159.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.086.1161.1-11.110%
vs Similar (9)85.185.4170.6-0.344%
vs Weaker (11)82.976.9159.8+6.073%
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.2+9.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
LimburgLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A17/04
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
63-46
63
46
+17
H19/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A25/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/05
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H06/05
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#13
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H02/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
56-29
56
29
+27
A09/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H16/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A23/10
BNXT League
89.8Avg total
51.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.642.388.9+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.339.987.1+7.486%-
Last 30 away (16)46.044.490.4+1.644%-
Last 10 (10)51.838.089.8+13.890%-
Last 5 (5)51.039.090.0+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.051.090.0-12.033%-
vs Similar (5)48.046.094.0+2.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.340.287.5+7.168%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/10
BNXT League
83.4Avg total
40.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.181.5-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.744.185.8-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.140.277.3-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.983.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.643.782.3-5.130%-
vs Similar (9)40.742.383.0-1.744%-
vs Weaker (11)39.140.579.6-1.555%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 97.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.125.9
61.5%
53.1%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.8
35.9%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.216.0
79.2%
71.1%16.0
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.3
55.7%
53.1%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.3
33.2%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.113.6
75.1%
71.1%13.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
WWWLWWWWWW
Leiden
LWLWWWWLLL
#4
League position
#9
+19.4
Net rating
+3.5
107.9
Offensive rating
97.9
88.5
Defensive rating
94.4
58.5%
Effective FG%
53.5%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
12.9%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.9%
3-point %
33.2%
69.7%
Assist %
63.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 97.9Defence88.5 · 94.4Shooting58.5% · 53.5%3-point %35.9% · 33.2%Ball care12.9% · 15.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Limburg   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Limburg wins
4
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
27/03/26Limburg v Leiden89-61
10/01/26Leiden v Limburg75-77
25/04/25Limburg v Leiden74-71
05/10/24Leiden v Limburg66-86
12/04/24Limburg v Leiden66-75
23/03/24Leiden v Limburg75-61
15/04/23Leiden v Limburg59-55
24/03/23Limburg v Leiden70-73
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26AKortrijk88-83
16/10/26HRotterdam87-80
09/10/26ACB Liege101-73
02/10/26HMechelen100-109
09/05/26ADonar Groningen82-71
06/05/26HOkapi Aalst99-85
01/05/26HBAL Weert91-54
25/04/26ALWD Basket106-79
19/04/26HRotterdam119-89
17/04/26ARotterdam101-81
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ALeuven Bears64-67
17/10/26HOkapi Aalst92-77
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75
25/04/26HOkapi Aalst85-97
20/04/26AAntwerp Giants78-97
17/04/26HAntwerp Giants92-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game94.093.594.5
Allowed / game86.294.578.0
Point differential+7.8-1.0+16.5
Avg total180.2188.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game73.276.570.0
Allowed / game73.077.069.0
Point differential+0.2-0.5+1.0
Avg total146.2153.5139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants440100%111.882.5+29.2
2 Brussels Basketball54180%81.468.2+13.2
3 Okapi Aalst43175%95.087.0+8.0
4 Limburg43175%94.086.2+7.8
5 Leuven Bears43175%71.569.8+1.8
6 Spirou Charleroi53260%79.865.6+14.2
7 Den Bosch53260%79.880.4-0.6
8 Oostende42250%79.877.8+2.0
9 Leiden42250%73.273.0+0.2
10 Zwolle42250%69.875.8-6.0
11 Donar Groningen42250%79.889.5-9.8
12 Rotterdam52340%76.280.8-4.6
13 Mechelen52340%89.095.2-6.2
14 Kortrijk4040%83.589.5-6.0
15 CB Liege5050%75.492.4-17.0
16 Belfius Mons4040%64.290.2-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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