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Limburg vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-61
23-14 21-16 23-14 22-17
Position#5
Record14-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game80.6
Limburg 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record14-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 25· Sporthal Alverberg
Other2025-26
Meetings · Limburg v Leiden
23 Apr 2027
LIMB v LEI
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
LIMB89
LEI61
25 Apr 2025
LIMB74
LEI71
12 Apr 2024
LIMB66
LEI75
24 Mar 2023
LIMB70
LEI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
W
106-66
106
66
+40
no box
H16/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
89-90
89
90
-1
83avg 82
A24/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
79-95
79
95
-16
70avg 82
A30/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
96-104
96
104
-8
96avg 82
H08/02
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
90avg 82
H13/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
96-84
96
84
+12
87avg 82
A18/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
87-62
87
62
+25
77avg 82
A22/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
89avg 82
H06/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
81-105
81
105
-24
71avg 82
A13/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
96-64
96
64
+32
95avg 82
H15/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
31-20
30-15
24-15
18-29
22-22
21-20
28-19
27-31
19-23
15-16
18-25
23-24
18-33
24-18
31-29
21-16
21-22
23-24
25-22
28-23
20-28
25-16
23-17
25-15
16-18
24-12
22-17
22-6
16-22
25-33
19-16
21-32
14-25
27-20
19-28
24-20
19-11
31-14
22-19
173.3Avg total
90.2Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.580.6170.1+8.858%
Season at home (13)92.275.5167.8+16.777%
Season away (11)86.286.6172.8-0.536%
Last 10 (10)90.283.1173.3+7.160%
Last 5 (5)88.478.4166.8+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.099.0190.0-8.00%
vs Similar (5)86.885.2172.0+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.978.3167.2+10.564%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Limburg
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
62avg 75
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
no box
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 75
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 75
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
73-90
73
90
-17
64avg 75
A14/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
102-96
102
96
+6
103avg 75
H18/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 75
A21/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
88-92
88
92
-4
77avg 75
H07/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
78-68
78
68
+10
73avg 75
A13/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
59-75
59
75
-16
49avg 75
H15/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
26-19
13-25
19-22
13-23
23-23
13-13
12-17
23-23
17-18
18-18
17-14
26-17
24-16
13-19
17-13
14-19
17-28
22-15
20-28
23-19
21-31
22-23
36-23
10-23
16-21
19-14
27-19
15-36
13-19
29-15
31-22
21-10
25-22
12-25
20-11
19-18
13-11
19-23
8-23
155.2Avg total
76.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.480.2165.6+5.258%
Season at home (12)92.381.7174.0+10.767%
Season away (12)78.578.7157.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)76.378.9155.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)79.881.6161.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.486.8161.1-12.412%
vs Similar (7)88.484.3172.7+4.157%
vs Weaker (15)86.177.3163.3+8.867%
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
LimburgLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A30/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H08/02
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A18/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A22/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H06/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A13/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/03
BNXT League
86.2Avg total
42.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.485.8+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.738.783.4+6.180%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.188.2-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.686.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.081.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.557.090.5-23.50%-
vs Similar (5)45.843.489.2+2.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.739.784.4+5.064%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A14/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H18/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
28-55
28
55
-27
H07/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A13/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H15/03
BNXT League
78.3Avg total
37.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.484.6-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.243.486.6-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)41.241.682.8-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.778.3-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.077.2-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.445.985.2-6.525%-
vs Similar (7)42.742.785.4+0.043%-
vs Weaker (15)43.340.583.8+2.960%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.823.0
57.8%
54.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.4
34.7%
34.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.717.9
75.5%
72.4%17.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.7
56.4%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.1
31.6%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.314.4
70.9%
72.4%14.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
WLWWWWLLLW
Leiden
LWLLWLWWLL
#5
League position
#10
+4.4
Net rating
-1.8
99.0
Offensive rating
93.5
94.6
Defensive rating
95.2
55.8%
Effective FG%
53.0%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.7%
3-point %
31.6%
64.8%
Assist %
60.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 93.5Defence94.6 · 95.2Shooting55.8% · 53.0%3-point %34.7% · 31.6%Ball care17.1% · 19.5%Off. rebounds- · 25.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Limburg   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Limburg wins
4
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Leiden v Limburg75-77
25/04/25Limburg v Leiden74-71
05/10/24Leiden v Limburg66-86
12/04/24Limburg v Leiden66-75
23/03/24Leiden v Limburg75-61
15/04/23Leiden v Limburg59-55
24/03/23Limburg v Leiden70-73
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HBelfius Mons96-64
13/03/26ABelfius Mons81-105
06/03/26HDen Helder82-77
22/02/26ABrussels Basketball87-62
18/02/26ASpirou Charleroi96-84
13/02/26HOostende90-84
08/02/26HAntwerp Giants96-104
30/01/26ADen Bosch79-95
24/01/26ALeuven Bears89-90
16/01/26HMechelen106-66
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HMechelen59-75
13/03/26AMechelen78-68
07/03/26HZwolle88-92
21/02/26ABelfius Mons72-77
18/02/26HBrussels Basketball102-96
14/02/26ALeuven Bears73-90
31/01/26HBAL Weert80-65
23/01/26ARotterdam75-73
17/01/26AOostende61-76
10/01/26HLimburg75-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %58%77%36%
Points / game89.592.286.2
Allowed / game80.675.586.6
Point differential+8.8+16.7-0.5
Avg total170.1167.8172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%54%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeLWWLL67%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game85.492.378.5
Allowed / game80.281.778.7
Point differential+5.2+10.7-0.2
Avg total165.6174.0157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants2319483%96.377.5+18.7
2 Oostende2519676%89.880.6+9.2
3 Okapi Aalst2518772%95.487.4+8.0
4 Kortrijk2416867%87.180.5+6.7
5 Den Bosch2315865%87.982.1+5.8
6 Mechelen2415962%77.578.4-0.9
7 Limburg24141058%89.580.6+8.8
8 Leiden24141058%85.480.2+5.2
9 Donar Groningen2112957%83.284.1-1.0
10 Brussels Basketball24131154%84.181.5+2.7
11 Leuven Bears24111346%80.580.5+0.0
12 Spirou Charleroi22101245%83.186.4-3.3
13 Belfius Mons2491538%85.091.3-6.2
14 Den Helder2481633%81.385.5-4.1
15 Zwolle2481633%80.284.3-4.1
16 LWD Basket2371630%84.394.7-10.5
17 Rotterdam2432112%75.292.1-16.9
18 BAL Weert242228%69.488.1-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limburg2321232289
Leiden1416141761
← all games of the day
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