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Limburg vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 74-71
16-21 25-18 15-17 18-15
Position#4
Record22-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game75.1
Limburg 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record17-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game79.6
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Alverberg
Other2024-25
Meetings · Limburg v Leiden
23 Apr 2027
LIMB v LEI
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
LIMB89
LEI61
25 Apr 2025
LIMB74
LEI71
12 Apr 2024
LIMB66
LEI75
24 Mar 2023
LIMB70
LEI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
81avg 72
H12/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
77-67
77
67
+10
73avg 72
H14/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
61-86
61
86
-25
53avg 72
H21/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 72
A23/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
92-80
92
80
+12
88avg 72
A29/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
78-61
78
61
+17
78avg 72
H02/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
92avg 72
A05/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 72
H11/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
80-66
80
66
+14
78avg 72
H18/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
90-78
90
78
+12
37avg 72
A21/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
19-21
19-15
20-17
22-17
16-23
20-15
19-12
14-19
18-25
10-23
19-19
17-19
13-19
22-14
20-21
28-24
30-23
19-9
15-24
12-17
22-14
16-16
28-14
23-28
26-22
24-18
13-18
14-17
16-19
14-20
24-20
24-19
16-10
22-28
18-9
21-33
22-18
29-12
18-15
156.7Avg total
80.4Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.975.1155.9+5.869%
Season at home (15)81.769.7151.3+12.087%
Season away (17)80.279.8160.0+0.453%
Last 10 (10)80.476.3156.7+4.170%
Last 5 (5)82.874.0156.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.081.0153.0-9.00%
vs Similar (10)75.477.2152.6-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.575.5161.0+10.088%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
62-98
62
98
-36
50avg 70
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
74-65
74
65
+9
65avg 70
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
88avg 70
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A21/03
DBL Cup
Leuven Bears
#7
L
63-98
63
98
-35
52avg 70
A29/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
82avg 70
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
71-68
71
68
+3
66avg 70
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
73avg 70
A12/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
94-74
94
74
+20
93avg 70
A18/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
79-81
79
81
-2
72avg 70
H20/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
5-22
21-26
18-24
23-12
25-22
11-14
15-17
21-18
20-18
20-21
26-17
16-13
20-12
14-25
19-27
7-25
18-22
15-25
23-26
21-24
21-21
11-19
32-17
18-14
21-20
9-20
23-14
25-20
20-22
14-17
18-12
34-14
25-25
14-24
21-11
20-17
25-18
12-26
22-20
154.8Avg total
76.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.379.6156.9-2.355%
Season at home (16)77.478.2155.6-0.850%
Season away (15)77.181.1158.3-4.060%
Last 10 (10)76.178.7154.8-2.660%
Last 5 (5)81.275.0156.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.382.0155.3-8.738%
vs Similar (8)79.878.5158.2+1.262%
vs Weaker (8)80.174.6154.8+5.575%
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
LimburgLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H12/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H21/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A23/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A29/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H02/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A05/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H11/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H18/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A21/04
BNXT League
80.1Avg total
39.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.980.1+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.378.2+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)40.541.582.0-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.080.1-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.478.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.739.374.0-4.733%-
vs Similar (10)37.438.175.5-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.839.683.4+4.256%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A21/03
DBL Cup
Leuven Bears
#7
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A29/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A18/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H20/04
BNXT League
78.8Avg total
40.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.177.9+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.136.777.8+4.469%-
Last 30 away (17)40.637.578.1+3.165%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.578.8+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.085.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.640.777.3-4.146%-
vs Similar (8)42.036.178.1+5.975%-
vs Weaker (8)43.433.877.1+9.688%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.3
54.0%
52.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.6
31.9%
34.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.316.4
73.5%
71.9%16.4
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.8
53.2%
52.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.7
32.9%
34.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.611.0
75.3%
71.9%11.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
WWLWWWLLWW
Leiden
LWWWWLLWWL
#4
League position
#12
+5.2
Net rating
-1.4
107.2
Offensive rating
107.8
102.0
Defensive rating
109.2
51.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.9%
3-point %
32.9%
65.9%
Assist %
73.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 107.8Defence102.0 · 109.2Shooting51.6% · 51.8%3-point %31.9% · 32.9%Ball care17.6% · 16.1%Off. rebounds29.5% · 29.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Limburg   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Limburg wins
4
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Leiden v Limburg66-86
12/04/24Limburg v Leiden66-75
23/03/24Leiden v Limburg75-61
15/04/23Leiden v Limburg59-55
24/03/23Limburg v Leiden70-73
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/25ABAL Weert90-78
18/04/25HOkapi Aalst80-66
11/04/25HOostende68-76
05/04/25ALWD Basket98-89 OT
02/04/25HBelfius Mons78-61
29/03/25ADonar Groningen92-80
23/03/25ACircus Brussels72-73
21/03/25HLeuven Bears61-86
14/03/25HFeyenoord77-67
12/03/25HSpirou Charleroi88-87 OT
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/25HDonar Groningen79-81
18/04/25AFeyenoord94-74
12/04/25ABelfius Mons77-71
09/04/25HQSTA Utd71-68
05/04/25HBAL Weert85-81
29/03/25ALeuven Bears63-98
21/03/25ADonar Groningen69-77
15/03/25HOostende87-74
12/03/25ADonar Groningen74-65
02/03/25ASpirou Charleroi62-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeWLWLW87%
AwayWLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %69%87%53%
Points / game80.981.780.2
Allowed / game75.169.779.8
Point differential+5.8+12.0+0.4
Avg total155.9151.3160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game77.377.477.1
Allowed / game79.678.281.1
Point differential-2.3-0.8-4.0
Avg total156.9155.6158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)50% (6)100% (5)
Overtime %6%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk3225778%94.376.5+17.8
2 Mechelen3123874%81.575.0+6.5
3 Oostende3324973%86.275.5+10.6
4 Limburg32221069%80.975.1+5.8
5 Circus Brussels32211166%78.175.9+2.2
6 Antwerp Giants33201361%83.181.1+2.1
7 Leuven Bears32181456%79.874.1+5.7
8 Den Bosch32181456%83.581.0+2.5
9 Belfius Mons32181456%80.078.0+1.9
10 Leiden31171455%77.379.6-2.3
11 Spirou Charleroi33171652%79.775.7+4.0
12 LWD Basket32161650%81.283.4-2.3
13 Okapi Aalst31141745%80.280.0+0.2
14 Zwolle32122038%82.485.0-2.5
15 Den Helder32112134%73.583.2-9.7
16 Donar Groningen31102132%76.685.0-8.4
17 Feyenoord3382524%78.487.4-9.0
18 BAL Weert3262619%70.684.0-13.4
19 QSTA Utd3242812%77.089.1-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limburg1625151874
Leiden2118171571
← all games of the day
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