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Limburg vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 61-86
14-19 18-25 10-23 19-19
Position#4
Record17-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#7
Record12-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game76.1
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Alverberg
Other2024-25
Meetings · Limburg v Leuven Bears
11 Dec 2026
LIMB v LEUV
upcoming
17 Oct 2025
LIMB84
LEUV75
21 Mar 2025
LIMB61
LEUV86
19 Jan 2024
LIMB77
LEUV64
09 Nov 2023
LIMB80
LEUV68
27 Jan 2023
LIMB80
LEUV76
23 Jan 2022
LIMB61
LEUV72
19 Nov 2021
LIMB72
LEUV71
08 May 2020
LIMB v LEUV
upcoming
13 Dec 2019
LIMB84
LEUV81
17 May 2019
LIMB90
LEUV89
25 Nov 2018
LIMB84
LEUV64
23 Mar 2018
LIMB75
LEUV65
13 Oct 2017
LIMB93
LEUV88
10 Feb 2017
LIMB91
LEUV73
26 Nov 2016
LIMB93
LEUV75
16 Oct 2015
LIMB110
LEUV78
07 Nov 2014
LIMB88
LEUV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#7
L
78-91 OT
78
91
-13
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
LWD Basket
#10
W
75-57
75
57
+18
72avg 73
H10/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
92avg 73
A17/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
73-69
73
69
+4
68avg 73
A22/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
57-85
57
85
-28
39avg 73
A26/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
69-77
69
77
-8
61avg 73
A08/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
107-85
107
85
+22
115avg 73
A16/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
83-66
83
66
+17
81avg 73
H07/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
81avg 73
H12/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
77-67
77
67
+10
73avg 73
H14/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
19-19
15-18
16-21
26-14
17-15
17-15
15-13
25-26
22-24
16-17
31-12
19-21
14-11
20-21
20-16
13-28
18-22
6-21
20-14
21-15
18-19
14-22
16-21
22-18
24-24
29-18
32-25
30-11
21-25
21-11
11-19
18-23
19-21
19-15
20-17
22-17
16-23
20-15
19-12
156.4Avg total
80.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.274.7155.9+6.571%
Season at home (11)85.368.7154.0+16.5100%
Season away (13)77.879.8157.5-2.046%
Last 10 (10)80.176.3156.4+3.870%
Last 5 (5)84.876.4161.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.284.5157.7-11.30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.479.6156.0-3.250%
vs Weaker (15)84.574.7159.2+9.787%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 72
A26/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
84avg 72
H01/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
56avg 72
H08/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
80-85
80
85
-5
69avg 72
A11/02
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
W
96-77
96
77
+19
100avg 72
H13/02
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
63avg 72
A15/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
70avg 72
H01/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 72
A09/03
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
85avg 72
H12/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
71-76
71
76
-5
54avg 72
A16/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
16-18
19-21
23-20
23-15
23-16
18-21
22-20
13-21
19-22
21-22
21-21
19-26
16-18
21-21
24-20
19-17
28-22
22-14
27-24
23-25
16-17
18-23
14-20
19-19
15-30
31-20
15-22
13-22
15-13
13-16
17-16
20-28
21-24
22-22
27-19
14-12
24-19
13-24
20-21
159.6Avg total
78.2Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.876.1155.9+3.748%
Season at home (13)82.274.9157.2+7.362%
Season away (12)77.277.4154.6-0.233%
Last 10 (10)78.281.4159.6-3.220%
Last 5 (5)74.082.4156.4-8.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.588.5164.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.277.7156.8+1.542%
vs Weaker (15)81.975.1157.0+6.760%
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
LimburgLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A05/01
Belgian Cup
LWD Basket
#10
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H10/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A17/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A22/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A26/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A16/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H07/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H12/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/03
BNXT League
79.3Avg total
40.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.379.7+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.836.280.0+7.769%-
Last 30 away (17)37.841.779.5-3.941%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.079.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.281.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.042.778.7-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.639.578.1-0.950%-
vs Weaker (15)42.138.180.2+3.960%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A26/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H01/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H08/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A11/02
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H13/02
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H01/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A09/03
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H12/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A16/03
BNXT League
78.1Avg total
37.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.439.178.6+0.341%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.338.078.3+2.353%-
Last 30 away (14)38.540.478.9-1.929%-
Last 10 (10)37.440.778.1-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.877.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.547.082.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.441.080.4-1.633%-
vs Weaker (15)39.936.676.5+3.353%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.5
50.5%
52.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.3
32.9%
34.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.815.2
69.7%
71.9%15.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.5
52.1%
52.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.6
34.0%
34.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws27.116.4
60.5%
71.9%16.4
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
WWWWLLWWWL
Leuven Bears
LLLLLWLLWL
#4
League position
#7
+4.8
Net rating
-4.9
104.1
Offensive rating
105.3
99.3
Defensive rating
110.2
50.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.46
32.9%
3-point %
34.0%
71.6%
Assist %
59.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 105.3Defence99.3 · 110.2Shooting50.1% · 51.6%3-point %32.9% · 34.0%Ball care17.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.0% · 28.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Limburg   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Limburg wins
3
Leuven Bears wins
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HFeyenoord77-67
12/03/25HSpirou Charleroi88-87 OT
07/03/25HDonar Groningen83-66
16/02/25AQSTA Utd107-85
08/02/25ADen Helder69-77
26/01/25ADen Bosch57-85
22/01/25AAntwerp Giants73-69
17/01/25AFeyenoord94-79
10/01/25HLWD Basket75-57
05/01/25AAntwerp Giants78-91 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25AZwolle71-76
12/03/25HMechelen90-93
09/03/25AOostende58-67
01/03/25HDen Bosch80-91
15/02/25ABelfius Mons71-85
13/02/25HKortrijk96-77
11/02/25AKortrijk80-85
08/02/25HKortrijk74-86
01/02/25HCircus Brussels86-72
26/01/25ADonar Groningen76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %71%100%46%
Points / game81.285.377.8
Allowed / game74.768.779.8
Point differential+6.5+16.5-2.0
Avg total155.9154.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%64%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%62%33%
Points / game79.882.277.2
Allowed / game76.174.977.4
Point differential+3.7+7.3-0.2
Avg total155.9157.2154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%46%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk2521484%96.275.5+20.8
2 Oostende2520580%89.275.7+13.6
3 Mechelen2518772%81.275.4+5.8
4 Limburg2417771%81.274.7+6.5
5 Circus Brussels2516964%78.076.2+1.9
6 Den Bosch27161159%83.181.0+2.0
7 Spirou Charleroi26151158%81.275.2+6.0
8 Antwerp Giants25141156%81.079.9+1.0
9 Belfius Mons26141254%80.379.3+1.0
10 Okapi Aalst25131252%81.279.2+2.0
11 Leiden25131252%77.179.8-2.7
12 LWD Basket26131350%81.083.4-2.5
13 Leuven Bears25121348%79.876.1+3.7
14 Zwolle2591636%79.883.4-3.7
15 Den Helder2681831%72.584.3-11.9
16 Donar Groningen2471729%76.785.5-8.8
17 Feyenoord2671927%79.588.2-8.8
18 BAL Weert2542116%70.284.5-14.3
19 QSTA Utd2532212%78.689.7-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limburg1418101961
Leuven Bears1925231986
← all games of the day
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