PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zwolle vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 76-71
12-14 19-24 24-13 21-20
Position#15
Record8-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game84.0
Zwolle 🏆
vs
Position#7
Record12-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game76.1
EuropeBNXT League· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Zwolle v Leuven Bears
27 Dec 2026
ZWO v LEUV
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
ZWO83
LEUV87
16 Mar 2025
ZWO76
LEUV71
29 Apr 2022
ZWO57
LEUV82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
W
98-84
98
84
+14
95avg 69
H27/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
L
69-88
69
88
-19
no box
A04/01
DBL Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
64avg 69
H12/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
77-104
77
104
-27
62avg 69
A18/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
85-90
85
90
-5
79avg 69
A25/01
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
75-78
75
78
-3
68avg 69
H02/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
67-71
67
71
-4
59avg 69
A08/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
79-60
79
60
+19
75avg 69
H16/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
72avg 69
A02/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
67-75
67
75
-8
60avg 69
A12/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
23-18
26-22
30-19
16-25
21-20
16-25
16-18
18-10
20-22
5-23
26-20
23-25
22-26
19-25
13-28
15-20
16-21
25-21
29-28
20-20
16-27
23-21
16-10
10-17
16-21
26-16
15-17
17-17
25-16
16-13
21-14
29-21
21-26
11-18
17-15
22-16
17-16
19-18
9-25
156.9Avg total
76.4Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.984.0163.9-4.033%
Season at home (12)80.479.7160.1+0.850%
Season away (12)79.488.2167.7-8.817%
Last 10 (10)76.480.5156.9-4.120%
Last 5 (5)73.272.8146.0+0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.283.0157.2-8.812%
vs Similar (5)78.884.2163.0-5.440%
vs Weaker (7)86.980.3167.1+6.671%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
W
104-77
104
77
+27
113avg 73
H18/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 73
A26/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
84avg 73
H01/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
56avg 73
H08/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
80-85
80
85
-5
69avg 73
A11/02
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
W
96-77
96
77
+19
100avg 73
H13/02
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
63avg 73
A15/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
70avg 73
H01/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 73
A09/03
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
85avg 73
H12/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
26-22
25-19
28-13
18-23
16-18
19-21
23-20
23-15
23-16
18-21
22-20
13-21
19-22
21-22
21-21
19-26
16-18
21-21
24-20
19-17
28-22
22-14
27-24
23-25
16-17
18-23
14-20
19-19
15-30
31-20
15-22
13-22
15-13
13-16
17-16
20-28
21-24
22-22
27-19
163.0Avg total
81.5Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.276.1156.3+4.050%
Season at home (13)82.274.9157.2+7.362%
Season away (11)77.777.5155.3+0.236%
Last 10 (10)81.581.5163.0+0.030%
Last 5 (5)79.082.6161.6-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.588.5164.0-13.00%
vs Similar (12)79.277.7156.8+1.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.473.5154.9+7.967%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
ZwolleLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H27/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/01
DBL Cup
Mechelen
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A18/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A25/01
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H02/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A08/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H16/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A02/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A12/03
BNXT League
79.5Avg total
38.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.742.581.2-3.928%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.240.679.8-1.538%-
Last 30 away (16)38.244.182.3-5.819%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.979.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.478.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.842.079.8-4.224%-
vs Similar (5)38.046.484.4-8.40%-
vs Weaker (7)41.141.082.1+0.157%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H18/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A26/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H01/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H08/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A11/02
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H13/02
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H01/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A09/03
Belgian Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H12/03
BNXT League
80.8Avg total
38.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.239.078.2+0.141%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.338.078.3+2.353%-
Last 30 away (14)38.040.178.1-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)38.742.180.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.481.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.547.082.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (12)39.441.080.4-1.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.536.475.9+3.153%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.1
52.5%
52.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.9
34.4%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws13.910.1
72.7%
71.9%10.1
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.3
54.1%
52.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.1
37.4%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws27.116.8
62.0%
71.9%16.8
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
LLWLLLLLLW
Leuven Bears
LLLLWLLWLW
#15
League position
#7
-5.7
Net rating
+0.0
102.4
Offensive rating
110.2
108.1
Defensive rating
110.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.47
34.4%
3-point %
37.4%
58.9%
Assist %
63.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 110.2Defence108.1 · 110.2Shooting52.1% · 55.0%3-point %34.4% · 37.4%Ball care17.5% · 18.1%Off. rebounds22.1% · 30.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.47Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Zwolle   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zwolle wins
3
Leuven Bears wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25Leuven Bears v Zwolle104-77
29/04/22Zwolle v Leuven Bears57-82
26/03/22Leuven Bears v Zwolle87-61
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25AFeyenoord67-75
02/03/25ACircus Brussels78-80
16/02/25HOostende79-60
08/02/25ASpirou Charleroi67-71
02/02/25HLeiden75-78
25/01/25ABelfius Mons85-90
18/01/25ALeuven Bears77-104
12/01/25HMechelen69-75
04/01/25ADen Bosch69-88
27/12/24HFeyenoord98-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HMechelen90-93
09/03/25AOostende58-67
01/03/25HDen Bosch80-91
15/02/25ABelfius Mons71-85
13/02/25HKortrijk96-77
11/02/25AKortrijk80-85
08/02/25HKortrijk74-86
01/02/25HCircus Brussels86-72
26/01/25ADonar Groningen76-82
18/01/25HZwolle104-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game79.980.479.4
Allowed / game84.079.788.2
Point differential-4.0+0.8-8.8
Avg total163.9160.1167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %50%62%36%
Points / game80.282.277.7
Allowed / game76.174.977.5
Point differential+4.0+7.3+0.2
Avg total156.3157.2155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%46%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk2420483%96.476.1+20.3
2 Oostende2520580%89.275.7+13.6
3 Mechelen2418675%81.375.1+6.2
4 Limburg2417771%81.274.7+6.5
5 Circus Brussels2516964%78.076.2+1.9
6 Spirou Charleroi24141058%80.774.2+6.5
7 Den Bosch26151158%82.981.1+1.8
8 Antwerp Giants23131057%80.679.3+1.2
9 Belfius Mons25141156%81.078.8+2.3
10 Okapi Aalst25131252%81.279.2+2.0
11 Leiden25131252%77.179.8-2.7
12 Leuven Bears24121250%80.276.1+4.0
13 LWD Basket25121348%80.884.1-3.3
14 Zwolle2481633%79.984.0-4.0
15 Donar Groningen2471729%76.785.5-8.8
16 Den Helder2471729%71.383.6-12.3
17 Feyenoord2671927%79.588.2-8.8
18 BAL Weert2542116%70.284.5-14.3
19 QSTA Utd2432112%77.789.1-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zwolle1219242176
Leuven Bears1424132071
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.