PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Leuven Bears vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-93
20-28 21-24 22-22 27-19
Position#7
Record12-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#3
Record17-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game74.4
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Mechelen
14 Nov 2026
LEUV v MECH
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
LEUV71
MECH77
12 Mar 2025
LEUV90
MECH93
05 Jan 2025
LEUV78
MECH73
31 Oct 2023
LEUV73
MECH84
05 May 2023
LEUV86
MECH62
04 Feb 2023
LEUV72
MECH68
16 May 2022
LEUV95
MECH86
12 May 2022
LEUV40
MECH86
06 Nov 2021
LEUV75
MECH69
07 Feb 2021
LEUV54
MECH83
15 Mar 2020
LEUV v MECH
upcoming
12 Apr 2019
LEUV78
MECH71
20 Oct 2018
LEUV76
MECH68
03 Oct 2018
LEUV73
MECH74
03 Mar 2018
LEUV63
MECH77
22 Sep 2017
LEUV76
MECH85
04 Mar 2017
LEUV76
MECH90
19 Oct 2016
LEUV84
MECH80
07 May 2016
LEUV86
MECH95
05 Mar 2016
LEUV90
MECH88
11 Apr 2015
LEUV83
MECH87
20 Dec 2014
LEUV86
MECH75
08 Feb 2014
LEUV106
MECH120
30 Nov 2013
LEUV93
MECH86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
W
91-65
91
65
+26
88avg 73
A11/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
104-77
104
77
+27
113avg 73
H18/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 73
A26/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
84avg 73
H01/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
56avg 73
H08/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
80-85
80
85
-5
69avg 73
A11/02
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
W
96-77
96
77
+19
100avg 73
H13/02
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
63avg 73
A15/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
70avg 73
H01/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 73
A09/03
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
19-12
20-21
33-18
25-23
26-22
25-19
28-13
18-23
16-18
19-21
23-20
23-15
23-16
18-21
22-20
13-21
19-22
21-22
21-21
19-26
16-18
21-21
24-20
19-17
28-22
22-14
27-24
23-25
16-17
18-23
14-20
19-19
15-30
31-20
15-22
13-22
15-13
13-16
17-16
160.3Avg total
81.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.775.4155.1+4.352%
Season at home (12)81.673.4155.0+8.267%
Season away (11)77.777.5155.3+0.236%
Last 10 (10)81.678.7160.3+2.940%
Last 5 (5)77.081.0158.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.385.7159.0-12.30%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.276.3154.5+1.945%
vs Weaker (15)81.473.5154.9+7.967%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
W
76-65
76
65
+11
65avg 76
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
60avg 76
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
72-69
72
69
+3
44avg 76
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-70
77
70
+7
66avg 76
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
89-69
89
69
+20
86avg 76
H01/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
77avg 76
A08/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
86-89
86
89
-3
80avg 76
H15/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
79-65
79
65
+14
68avg 76
A01/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
21-17
19-14
15-16
24-19
15-17
18-30
25-20
17-17
15-28
26-11
15-22
10-18
22-20
23-5
20-26
19-27
18-17
20-11
15-14
20-13
18-28
19-21
20-8
10-18
32-20
25-20
22-11
26-17
20-24
19-17
20-17
20-22
29-18
13-21
24-28
18-13
17-19
21-21
23-12
152.9Avg total
79.4Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.874.4155.2+6.374%
Season at home (11)82.473.2155.5+9.282%
Season away (12)79.375.6154.9+3.867%
Last 10 (10)79.473.5152.9+5.970%
Last 5 (5)83.273.6156.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.886.8166.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.077.4153.4-1.445%
vs Weaker (14)84.171.1155.3+13.093%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
Leuven BearsMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A11/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H18/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A26/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H01/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H08/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A11/02
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H13/02
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H01/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A09/03
Belgian Cup
77.9Avg total
38.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.038.777.8+0.341%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.037.477.4+2.653%-
Last 30 away (14)38.040.178.1-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.577.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.878.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.045.781.7-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.340.079.3-0.736%-
vs Weaker (15)39.536.475.9+3.153%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A08/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H15/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A01/03
BNXT League
78.2Avg total
39.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.938.579.4+2.469%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.437.379.7+5.186%-
Last 30 away (15)39.539.779.2-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.078.2+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.480.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.241.881.0-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.538.779.3+1.864%-
vs Weaker (14)41.737.479.1+4.379%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.0
54.3%
52.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.9
37.7%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.716.1
62.6%
71.9%16.1
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.8
50.1%
52.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.9
34.8%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.414.3
77.7%
71.9%14.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
LLLWLLWLWW
Mechelen
WLWWWWWLLW
#7
League position
#3
+3.7
Net rating
+13.8
109.4
Offensive rating
109.4
105.8
Defensive rating
95.6
55.2%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.7%
3-point %
34.8%
60.6%
Assist %
48.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 109.4Defence105.8 · 95.6Shooting55.2% · 50.9%3-point %37.7% · 34.8%Ball care18.3% · 16.1%Off. rebounds28.5% · 29.9%Free throws0.44 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leuven Bears wins
6
Mechelen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25AOostende58-67
01/03/25HDen Bosch80-91
15/02/25ABelfius Mons71-85
13/02/25HKortrijk96-77
11/02/25AKortrijk80-85
08/02/25HKortrijk74-86
01/02/25HCircus Brussels86-72
26/01/25ADonar Groningen76-82
18/01/25HZwolle104-77
11/01/25ADen Helder91-65
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AOkapi Aalst79-65
15/02/25HCircus Brussels86-89
08/02/25ADonar Groningen85-75
01/02/25HLWD Basket89-69
25/01/25ABAL Weert77-70
18/01/25HDen Bosch72-69
12/01/25AZwolle75-69
05/01/25ALeuven Bears73-78
03/01/25HLeuven Bears82-86
26/12/24HLimburg76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL52%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%67%36%
Points / game79.781.677.7
Allowed / game75.473.477.5
Point differential+4.3+8.2+0.2
Avg total155.1155.0155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%82%67%
Points / game80.882.479.3
Allowed / game74.473.275.6
Point differential+6.3+9.2+3.8
Avg total155.2155.5154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%45%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2420483%89.975.2+14.7
2 Kortrijk2218482%96.877.5+19.3
3 Mechelen2317674%80.874.4+6.3
4 Limburg2215768%81.174.5+6.6
5 Circus Brussels2315865%78.376.3+2.0
6 Spirou Charleroi2314961%80.473.6+6.8
7 Okapi Aalst23131057%82.678.6+4.0
8 Antwerp Giants23131057%80.679.3+1.2
9 Den Bosch25141156%82.581.1+1.4
10 Leuven Bears23121152%79.775.4+4.3
11 Belfius Mons23121152%80.778.8+1.8
12 Leiden24121250%76.780.0-3.4
13 LWD Basket25121348%80.884.1-3.3
14 Zwolle2481633%79.984.0-4.0
15 Donar Groningen2371630%76.285.3-9.1
16 Den Helder2371630%70.983.2-12.3
17 Feyenoord2571828%80.088.7-8.7
18 BAL Weert2442017%70.784.2-13.5
19 QSTA Utd2432112%77.789.1-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears2021222790
Mechelen2824221993
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.