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Lindenwood vs Morehead State Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position#250
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#237
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game81.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lindenwood v Morehead State
28 Jan 2027
LIND v MORE
upcoming
01 Jan 2026
LIND77
MORE64
05 Mar 2025
LIND73
MORE65
13 Feb 2025
LIND73
MORE60
21 Jan 2023
LIND63
MORE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lindenwood win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LindenwoodUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H27/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
91-69
91
69
+22
A28/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H05/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A06/03
NCAA
TCU
#24
L
59-98
59
98
-39
A03/11
NCAA
Central Bible
#538
W
120-46
120
46
+74
H06/11
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#531
W
115-44
115
44
+71
H07/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
60-94
60
94
-34
A12/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#183
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
28-41
29-36
38-35
50-28
41-41
35-21
37-41
34-25
32-43
37-57
22-41
63-15
57-31
63-24
52-20
32-61
28-33
31-30
25-37
145.4Avg total
76.3Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.069.8151.8+12.240%
Season at home (2)117.545.0162.5+72.5100%
Season away (3)58.386.3144.7-28.00%
Last 10 (10)76.369.1145.4+7.240%
Last 5 (5)82.069.8151.8+12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.596.0155.5-36.50%
vs Similar (10)71.075.9146.9-4.920%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)79.169.4148.5+9.773%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
67-93
67
93
-26
A08/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#97
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
114-60
114
60
+54
H05/11
NCAA
Louisville
#10
L
57-107
57
107
-50
A07/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#125
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-28
44-42
43-27
38-32
29-29
35-34
37-24
39-46
29-36
37-25
34-55
33-38
28-38
30-45
58-24
56-36
33-46
24-61
32-28
47-47
147.6Avg total
73.5Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.081.2158.2-4.250%
Season at home (2)96.567.5164.0+29.0100%
Season away (2)57.595.0152.5-37.50%
Last 10 (10)73.574.1147.6-0.670%
Last 5 (5)75.083.6158.6-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.281.1153.2-8.942%
vs Similar (9)69.672.2141.8-2.767%
vs Weaker (8)78.565.9144.4+12.688%
This opponent (Lindenwood) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -2.3-2.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -2.3-2.3
LindenwoodMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LindenwoodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H27/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A28/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H05/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A06/03
NCAA
TCU
#24
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A03/11
NCAA
Central Bible
#538
W
63-15
63
15
+48
H06/11
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#531
W
63-24
63
24
+39
H07/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A12/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#183
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A14/11
NCAA
73.1Avg total
40.3Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.333.472.7+5.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.331.275.5+13.167%-
Last 30 away (15)34.335.569.9-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)40.332.873.1+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.482.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.559.093.5-24.50%-
vs Similar (10)34.733.968.6+0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.732.170.8+6.760%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A08/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#97
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
58-24
58
24
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Louisville
#10
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A07/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#125
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H15/11
NCAA
68.7Avg total
35.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.069.5+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.531.870.3+6.757%-
Last 30 away (16)32.935.968.9-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.568.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.275.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.638.071.6-4.433%-
vs Similar (9)32.733.766.3-1.044%-
vs Weaker (8)38.528.967.4+9.662%-
This opponent (Lindenwood) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lindenwood wins
4
Morehead State wins
Lindenwoodlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANebraska O.56-67
12/11/26ANebraska60-94
07/11/26HEWU Phantoms115-44
06/11/26HCentral Bible120-46
03/11/26ATCU59-98
06/03/26ASoutheast Missouri State66-68
05/03/26HUALR72-62
28/02/26AWestern Illinois91-69
27/02/26HEastern Illinois67-71
21/02/26ATennessee Tech57-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HIU Indy79-75
07/11/26ALouisville57-107
05/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg114-60
03/11/26AWestern Kentucky58-83
08/03/26ATennessee State67-93
07/03/26HSoutheast Missouri State66-61
27/02/26AUALR76-70
25/02/26HSouthern Indiana64-63
21/02/26AWestern Illinois81-59
20/02/26AEastern Illinois73-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lindenwood
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game82.0117.558.3
Allowed / game69.845.086.3
Point differential+12.2+72.5-28.0
Avg total151.8162.5144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.096.557.5
Allowed / game81.267.595.0
Point differential-4.2+29.0-37.5
Avg total158.2164.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State42250%98.077.8+20.2
2 UT Martin42250%85.074.2+10.8
3 Southeast Missouri State42250%79.877.5+2.2
4 Tennessee Tech42250%92.090.0+2.0
5 Morehead State42250%77.081.2-4.2
6 Lindenwood52340%82.069.8+12.2
7 Siu Edwardsville52340%71.672.8-1.2
8 Southern Indiana41325%78.066.5+11.5
9 Western Illinois41325%74.573.2+1.2
10 UALR41325%76.085.5-9.5
11 Eastern Illinois41325%69.080.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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