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Lithuania vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-64
16-19 19-11 27-19 21-15
Position#4
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Lithuania 🏆
vs
Poland
Position#24
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game68.7
EuropeEuroBasketRound 1· Avia Solutions Group Arena
Other2023
Meetings · Lithuania v Poland
22 Feb 2024
LITH83
POLA64
03 Jul 2021
LITH88
POLA69
26 Nov 2017
LITH75
POLA55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLithuania
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#14
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Hungary
#42
W
89-64
89
64
+25
no box
H23/02
World Cup
France
#8
L
63-70
63
70
-7
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
93-67
93
67
+26
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
96-66
96
66
+30
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
H05/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H07/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
63-98
63
98
-35
no box
A09/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
18-15
12-14
16-12
14-16
26-15
23-14
26-19
14-11
13-24
16-18
20-17
26-12
20-22
24-19
23-14
32-17
21-17
23-17
20-15
26-27
22-13
18-10
25-21
20-20
19-23
25-15
28-9
25-24
13-25
17-24
13-14
33-21
20-22
22-20
25-21
20-28
18-21
9-28
16-21
155.0Avg total
82.0Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.073.0155.0+9.070%
Last 5 (5)82.881.4164.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.091.2165.2-17.20%
vs Similar (10)83.677.8161.4+5.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.969.0153.9+15.993%
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Netherlands
#35
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A08/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A14/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
54-95
54
95
-41
no box
H16/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
A18/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A13/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
87-72
87
72
+15
82avg 81
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
80-70
80
70
+10
80avg 81
A26/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
12-20
17-15
27-14
14-28
19-24
17-20
19-24
24-21
18-24
27-22
25-19
29-26
29-13
6-24
26-24
9-15
9-19
18-30
18-31
14-19
9-17
26-18
20-28
17-15
15-22
27-8
20-19
21-18
13-19
24-19
29-23
26-21
31-17
14-19
16-15
21-27
14-15
23-16
22-12
158.4Avg total
78.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.268.7150.8+13.583%
Season at home (3)78.369.3147.7+9.067%
Season away (3)86.068.0154.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.480.0158.4-1.670%
Last 5 (5)80.473.4153.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.684.3160.9-7.731%
vs Similar (10)82.573.0155.5+9.580%
vs Weaker (4)74.869.0143.8+5.875%
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
LithuaniaPoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#14
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A14/11
World Cup
Hungary
#42
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H23/02
World Cup
France
#8
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A26/02
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A25/08
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H27/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H01/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H05/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H07/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A09/09
World Cup
80.7Avg total
41.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.880.8+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.240.082.2+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)41.737.479.1+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.880.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.888.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.043.882.8-4.820%-
vs Similar (10)43.540.584.0+3.070%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.936.077.9+5.980%-
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Netherlands
#35
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A08/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A11/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A14/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
18-34
18
34
-16
H16/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A18/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A26/02
EuroBasket
76.3Avg total
36.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.176.9-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.137.376.4+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)36.940.477.3-3.524%-
Last 10 (10)36.340.076.3-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.074.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.740.176.8-3.431%-
vs Similar (10)40.037.077.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (4)37.040.077.0-3.025%-
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lithuaniatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.3
50.0%
50.6%36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.2
38.1%
32.5%30.5
🏀 Free throws20.514.0
68.3%
71.4%14.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lithuania wins
0
Poland wins
DateGameScore
03/07/21Lithuania v Poland88-69
28/06/18Poland v Lithuania61-79
26/11/17Lithuania v Poland75-55
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/09/23ALatvia63-98
07/09/23HSlovenia100-84
05/09/23HSerbia68-87
01/09/23HGreece92-67
29/08/23AMontenegro91-71
27/08/23HMexico96-66
25/08/23AEgypt93-67
26/02/23AFrance63-70
23/02/23HHungary89-64
14/11/22AMontenegro65-56
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23ASwitzerland80-70
23/02/23HAustria87-72
13/11/22ACroatia87-79
10/11/22HSwitzerland79-64
18/09/22AGermany69-82
16/09/22HFrance54-95
14/09/22ASlovenia90-87
11/09/22AUkraine94-86
08/09/22ASerbia69-96
06/09/22ANetherlands75-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Poland
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game82.278.386.0
Allowed / game68.769.368.0
Point differential+13.5+9.0+18.0
Avg total150.8147.7154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belgium110100%75.060.0+15.0
2 Slovenia110100%87.073.0+14.0
3 Croatia109190%85.666.5+19.1
4 Portugal65183%85.770.7+15.0
5 Poland65183%82.268.7+13.5
6 North Macedonia65183%72.762.5+10.2
7 Bulgaria108280%81.672.1+9.5
8 Slovakia118373%75.169.2+5.9
9 Denmark148657%76.971.2+5.6
10 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
11 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
12 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
13 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
14 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
15 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
16 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
17 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
18 Cyprus121118%63.278.4-15.2
19 Ukraine1010%73.087.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania1619272183
Poland1911191564
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