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Lithuania W vs Belgium W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 73-69
11-14 21-23 15-16 26-16
Position#13
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game65.0
Lithuania W 🏆
vs
Belgium W
Position#12
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game72.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 2· Twinsbet Arena
Women2025
Meetings · Lithuania W v Belgium W
16 Nov 2025
LITH73
BELG69
09 Feb 2025
LITH69
BELG70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lithuania WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
108-47
108
47
+61
no box
A10/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
72-69
72
69
+3
67avg 65
H06/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
69-70
69
70
-1
66avg 65
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
77-71
77
71
+6
75avg 65
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
74-63
74
63
+11
72avg 65
H19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
51-65
51
65
-14
44avg 65
A21/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
61-83
61
83
-22
59avg 65
A24/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
76-81
76
81
-5
74avg 65
H27/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
87-99
87
99
-12
78avg 65
H29/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#34
W
87-65
87
65
+22
no box
A13/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
30-13
24-13
31-5
18-22
22-13
16-15
16-19
13-15
25-20
17-13
14-22
27-19
15-15
16-21
19-16
16-14
14-16
24-19
20-14
14-18
9-16
19-12
9-19
14-35
17-21
14-15
16-12
17-19
17-23
26-21
16-18
21-26
25-26
28-21
13-26
28-15
23-22
18-14
18-14
147.5Avg total
76.2Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.065.0152.0+22.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.065.0152.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.271.3147.5+4.950%
Last 5 (5)72.478.6151.0-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.779.4150.1-8.833%
vs Similar ◀ (5)60.667.8128.4-7.220%
vs Weaker (7)87.459.0146.4+28.486%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Poland W
#15
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A10/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
97-24
97
24
+73
105avg 76
H06/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
70-69
70
69
+1
60avg 76
A09/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
W
81-52
81
52
+29
88avg 76
H19/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#19
W
87-53
87
53
+34
90avg 76
A20/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
72-60
72
60
+12
74avg 76
H22/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
83-59
83
59
+24
87avg 76
H25/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
66-64
66
64
+2
68avg 76
A27/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
W
67-65
67
65
+2
58avg 76
A29/06
European Championship Women
Finland W
#14
W
96-72
96
72
+24
no box
H13/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
15-24
24-16
24-20
27-5
25-7
29-4
16-8
15-13
20-25
13-17
22-14
15-14
25-11
26-11
15-16
31-8
17-24
15-13
24-8
17-17
24-20
17-9
14-14
21-21
20-15
24-17
18-6
17-20
23-13
17-10
9-21
18-19
13-18
18-15
18-13
31-15
19-17
23-17
23-23
139.4Avg total
79.9Scored
59.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)96.072.0168.0+24.0100%
Season at home (1)96.072.0168.0+24.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.959.5139.4+20.4100%
Last 5 (5)76.864.0140.8+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.083.0159.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Weaker (26)82.558.4140.9+24.192%
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.0+4.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.0+4.0
Lithuania WBelgium W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lithuania WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A10/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A21/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A24/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H29/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#34
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A13/11
European Championship Women
77.2Avg total
38.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)36.837.674.3-0.842%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.235.772.9+1.642%-
Last 30 away (12)36.239.575.8-3.242%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.477.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.281.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.242.277.3-7.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.437.469.8-5.020%-
vs Weaker (7)42.629.972.4+12.786%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland W
#15
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A10/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
52-12
52
12
+40
H06/02
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A09/02
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H19/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#19
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A20/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A27/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A29/06
European Championship Women
Finland W
#14
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H13/11
European Championship Women
73.3Avg total
41.0Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.931.672.5+9.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.832.875.6+10.080%-
Last 30 away (15)38.930.569.4+8.567%-
Last 10 (10)41.032.373.3+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.075.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.037.076.0+2.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)36.037.073.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker (26)41.330.872.1+10.577%-
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lithuania Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania W: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 25% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.1
47.1%
-40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.75.0
31.8%
-15.0
🏀 Free throws25.118.5
73.7%
-18.5
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgium Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium W: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.9
54.6%
-43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.3
29.4%
-21.9
🏀 Free throws14.911.7
78.5%
-11.7
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lithuania W
WLLLLWWLWW
Belgium W
WWWWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#12
+2.1
Net rating
+26.1
97.7
Offensive rating
106.9
95.6
Defensive rating
80.8
47.3%
Effective FG%
50.6%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
41.9%
22.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.8%
3-point %
29.4%
72.1%
Assist %
81.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ Lithuania W   ■ Belgium W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lithuania W wins
2
Belgium W wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Lithuania W v Belgium W69-70
07/11/24Belgium W v Lithuania W81-70
Lithuania Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25ASweden W87-65
29/06/25HTurkey W87-99
27/06/25HCzech Republic W76-81
24/06/25AFrance W61-83
21/06/25AItaly W51-65
19/06/25HSerbia W74-63
18/06/25ASlovenia W77-71
09/02/25HBelgium W69-70
06/02/25HPoland W72-69
10/11/24AAzerbaijan W108-47
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25HFinland W96-72
29/06/25ASpain W67-65
27/06/25AItaly W66-64
25/06/25HGermany W83-59
22/06/25HCzech Republic W72-60
20/06/25AMontenegro W87-53
19/06/25HPortugal W81-52
09/02/25ALithuania W70-69
06/02/25HAzerbaijan W97-24
10/11/24APoland W80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game65.0-65.0
Point differential+22.0-+22.0
Avg total152.0-152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Belgium W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game96.096.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total168.0168.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W220100%110.554.0+56.5
2 Poland W220100%74.048.0+26.0
3 Serbia W220100%80.555.0+25.5
4 Belgium W110100%96.072.0+24.0
5 Lithuania W110100%87.065.0+22.0
6 Slovenia W220100%82.065.5+16.5
7 Austria W220100%74.064.5+9.5
8 Israel W220100%87.578.0+9.5
9 Montenegro W21150%84.566.5+18.0
10 Great Britain W21150%83.074.5+8.5
11 Switzerland W21150%67.559.0+8.5
12 Latvia W21150%77.569.5+8.0
13 Greece W21150%87.080.0+7.0
14 Denmark W21150%83.578.0+5.5
15 Ireland W21150%73.568.0+5.5
16 Netherlands W21150%77.071.5+5.5
17 Luxembourg W21150%67.065.0+2.0
18 Slovakia W21150%62.560.5+2.0
19 Croatia W21150%76.581.0-4.5
20 Ukraine W21150%65.572.5-7.0
21 North Macedonia W21150%81.589.5-8.0
22 Romania W21150%58.074.0-16.0
23 Cyprus W2020%60.572.5-12.0
24 Bosnia & Herzegovina W2020%79.096.0-17.0
25 Sweden W1010%65.087.0-22.0
26 Finland W1010%72.096.0-24.0
27 Iceland W1010%59.084.0-25.0
28 Portugal W1010%51.077.0-26.0
29 Norway W2020%40.567.0-26.5
30 Estonia W2020%59.589.5-30.0
31 Azerbaijan W2020%55.0122.5-67.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania W1121152673
Belgium W1423161669
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