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Sweden W vs Lithuania W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 65-87
15-28 22-23 14-18 14-18
Position#34
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Sweden W
vs
Lithuania W 🏆
Position#13
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 1· Stadium Arena B
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sweden W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sweden WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Latvia W
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
82-52
82
52
+30
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
63-60
63
60
+3
no box
H10/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
98-72
98
72
+26
99avg 70
A06/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
70-51
70
51
+19
72avg 70
H09/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
76-89
76
89
-13
63avg 70
A19/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
75-66
75
66
+9
73avg 70
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
65avg 70
H22/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
18-9
13-20
15-26
18-18
17-13
15-17
14-14
21-20
16-18
23-15
16-16
22-17
14-13
26-7
20-15
11-12
12-16
20-17
20-15
26-21
22-15
23-17
27-19
21-8
11-22
16-8
22-13
16-27
11-17
22-14
27-31
15-22
16-9
26-16
18-19
16-16
7-15
19-19
22-14
141.4Avg total
74.4Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.467.0141.4+7.470%
Last 5 (5)78.871.2150.0+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)61.073.1134.1-12.111%
vs Similar (7)61.067.1128.1-6.143%
vs Weaker (10)77.860.5138.3+17.380%
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
108-47
108
47
+61
no box
A10/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
72-69
72
69
+3
67avg 65
H06/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
69-70
69
70
-1
66avg 65
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
77-71
77
71
+6
75avg 65
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
74-63
74
63
+11
72avg 65
H19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
51-65
51
65
-14
44avg 65
A21/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
61-83
61
83
-22
59avg 65
A24/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
76-81
76
81
-5
74avg 65
H27/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
87-99
87
99
-12
78avg 65
H29/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
20-22
14-25
21-15
23-16
30-13
24-13
31-5
18-22
22-13
16-15
16-19
13-15
25-20
17-13
14-22
27-19
15-15
16-21
19-16
16-14
14-16
24-19
20-14
14-18
9-16
19-12
9-19
14-35
17-21
14-15
16-12
17-19
17-23
26-21
16-18
21-26
25-26
28-21
13-26
147.4Avg total
74.5Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.572.9147.4+1.640%
Last 5 (5)69.878.2148.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.779.4150.1-8.833%
vs Similar (5)60.667.8128.4-7.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.558.0145.5+29.583%
This opponent (Sweden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
Sweden WLithuania W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sweden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia W
#7
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H10/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A06/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H09/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A19/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H22/06
European Championship Women
65.3Avg total
32.9Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)31.631.763.2-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.531.163.6+1.450%-
Last 30 away (12)30.532.262.8-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)32.932.465.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.466.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)27.934.262.1-6.333%-
vs Similar (7)27.730.658.3-2.943%-
vs Weaker (10)37.630.167.7+7.570%-
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A10/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A21/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A24/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H29/06
European Championship Women
76.0Avg total
37.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)36.137.673.7-1.539%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.235.772.9+1.642%-
Last 30 away (11)34.939.774.6-4.836%-
Last 10 (10)37.238.876.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.842.875.6-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.242.277.3-7.025%-
vs Similar (5)32.437.469.8-5.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.228.769.8+12.583%-
This opponent (Sweden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sweden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden W: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.115.8
44.9%
-31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.6
33.3%
-25.7
🏀 Free throws22.017.3
78.8%
-17.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lithuania Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania W: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 25% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.1
47.1%
-40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.75.0
31.8%
-15.0
🏀 Free throws25.118.5
73.7%
-18.5
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sweden W
LWLWWWWWWL
Lithuania W
LLLLWWLWWL
#34
League position
#13
+12.0
Net rating
+2.1
99.5
Offensive rating
97.7
87.5
Defensive rating
95.6
47.1%
Effective FG%
47.3%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
20.0%
Turnover %
22.9%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.43
33.3%
3-point %
31.8%
79.0%
Assist %
72.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Sweden W   ■ Lithuania W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sweden W wins
0
Lithuania W wins
No previous meetings.
Sweden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/25HSpain W75-78 OT
20/06/25HGreat Britain W75-66
19/06/25AGermany W76-89
09/02/25HEstonia W70-51
06/02/25ADenmark W98-72
10/11/24HGreat Britain W63-60
07/11/24AEstonia W82-52
12/11/23HDenmark W76-69
09/11/23AGreat Britain W64-62
12/02/23HLatvia W65-71
Lithuania Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/25HTurkey W87-99
27/06/25HCzech Republic W76-81
24/06/25AFrance W61-83
21/06/25AItaly W51-65
19/06/25HSerbia W74-63
18/06/25ASlovenia W77-71
09/02/25HBelgium W69-70
06/02/25HPoland W72-69
10/11/24AAzerbaijan W108-47
07/11/24ABelgium W70-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sweden W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Lithuania W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W110100%141.048.0+93.0
2 Netherlands W110100%92.054.0+38.0
3 Serbia W110100%84.059.0+25.0
4 Great Britain W110100%85.064.0+21.0
5 Luxembourg W110100%69.053.0+16.0
6 Austria W110100%63.048.0+15.0
7 Romania W110100%75.062.0+13.0
8 Slovenia W110100%77.066.0+11.0
9 Israel W110100%98.091.0+7.0
10 Poland W110100%62.055.0+7.0
11 Ukraine W110100%71.065.0+6.0
12 Croatia W110100%76.073.0+3.0
13 North Macedonia W110100%79.078.0+1.0
14 Denmark W1010%78.079.0-1.0
15 Greece W1010%73.076.0-3.0
16 Montenegro W1010%65.071.0-6.0
17 Bosnia & Herzegovina W1010%91.098.0-7.0
18 Slovakia W1010%55.062.0-7.0
19 Latvia W1010%66.077.0-11.0
20 Cyprus W1010%62.075.0-13.0
21 Norway W1010%48.063.0-15.0
22 Ireland W1010%53.069.0-16.0
23 Switzerland W1010%64.085.0-21.0
24 Iceland W1010%59.084.0-25.0
25 Estonia W1010%54.092.0-38.0
26 Azerbaijan W1010%48.0141.0-93.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sweden W1522141465
Lithuania W2823181887
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