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Llaneros vs Brillantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 82-87
27-21 15-25 18-18 22-23
Position#14
Record4-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#6
Record7-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game77.4
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Olímpico Hugo Chávez (San Juan de los Morros)
Other2023
Meetings · Llaneros v Brillantes
28 Apr 2025
LLAN90
BRIL100
27 Apr 2025
LLAN87
BRIL85
11 Jun 2024
LLAN80
BRIL83
15 Apr 2023
LLAN82
BRIL87
09 Jul 2022
LLAN53
BRIL65
13 Apr 2021
LLAN73
BRIL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llaneros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brillantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
64avg 70
H21/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 70
A24/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
72-86
72
86
-14
64avg 70
A25/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
80-85
80
85
-5
66avg 70
H28/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
69-82
69
82
-13
56avg 70
H31/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
64-85
64
85
-21
61avg 70
A02/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
91avg 70
A05/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
no box
H08/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 70
A09/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
79-59
79
59
+20
79avg 70
H11/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
11-25
22-18
15-18
28-19
10-19
9-12
21-14
11-26
23-21
14-18
24-21
24-23
17-14
28-16
11-32
11-17
23-29
12-19
23-17
20-19
14-19
12-27
18-20
19-18
29-17
24-20
18-27
28-29
23-19
20-23
20-20
17-20
26-27
22-13
20-20
22-17
26-12
16-13
15-17
158.2Avg total
77.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.281.0159.2-2.836%
Season at home (6)80.282.3162.5-2.217%
Season away (5)75.879.4155.2-3.660%
Last 10 (10)77.880.4158.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)83.081.6164.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.181.2155.3-7.217%
vs Similar (10)82.983.6166.5-0.750%
vs Weaker (8)80.472.0152.4+8.462%
This opponent (Brillantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrillantes
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
92-76
92
76
+16
88avg 69
H25/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
90-88
90
88
+2
83avg 69
H26/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
74-63
74
63
+11
74avg 69
A29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
83-85
83
85
-2
72avg 69
A30/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
68avg 69
H02/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
84-64
84
64
+20
79avg 69
H04/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
70-75
70
75
-5
59avg 69
A08/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
90-97
90
97
-7
80avg 69
A09/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 69
H12/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 69
A14/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
26-17
13-20
35-19
19-22
28-22
23-18
20-26
16-21
23-14
26-19
9-9
27-17
13-21
21-23
22-24
23-10
20-22
13-20
22-24
27-16
13-10
20-25
24-13
19-23
18-16
17-20
16-16
27-28
16-28
16-19
31-22
21-12
22-25
15-15
16-18
13-20
16-14
18-20
21-23
157.4Avg total
80.3Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.477.4158.8+4.058%
Season at home (5)83.674.8158.4+8.8100%
Season away (7)79.979.3159.1+0.629%
Last 10 (10)80.377.1157.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)77.276.6153.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.088.0178.0+2.0100%
vs Similar (23)82.180.4162.6+1.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.376.2161.5+9.267%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
LlanerosBrillantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H21/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A25/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H31/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A05/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H08/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A09/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H11/04
Superliga
81.6Avg total
40.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.074.3+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.978.0+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)34.536.170.6-1.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.881.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.484.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.335.870.1-1.433%-
vs Similar (10)38.240.278.4-2.020%-
vs Weaker (8)40.634.975.5+5.875%-
This opponent (Brillantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H25/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H26/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A30/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H02/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H04/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A08/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A09/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H12/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A14/04
Superliga
78.3Avg total
40.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.478.4+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.737.077.7+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)39.339.879.1-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.878.3+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.044.091.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (23)39.238.477.6+0.748%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.037.379.3+4.783%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.8
51.4%
50.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.2
30.4%
31.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.614.6
64.6%
65.6%14.6
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brillantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brillantes: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.5
50.4%
50.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
31.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.512.1
69.1%
65.6%12.1
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Llaneros
WWLWLLLLWL
Brillantes
LWLLWWLWWW
#14
League position
#6
-3.5
Net rating
+2.1
94.8
Offensive rating
98.6
98.3
Defensive rating
96.5
49.2%
Effective FG%
48.1%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
23.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.4%
3-point %
29.6%
60.4%
Assist %
60.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.8 · 98.6Defence98.3 · 96.5Shooting49.2% · 48.1%3-point %30.4% · 29.6%Ball care23.8% · 18.5%Off. rebounds28.7% · 30.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Llaneros   ■ Brillantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Llaneros wins
2
Brillantes wins
DateGameScore
30/08/22Brillantes v Llaneros91-81
09/07/22Llaneros v Brillantes53-65
03/05/21Brillantes v Llaneros73-93
13/04/21Llaneros v Brillantes73-63
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/23HToros de Aragua79-59
09/04/23AToros de Aragua85-80
08/04/23HFrontinos97-102 OT
05/04/23ATrotamundos90-82
02/04/23ABroncos64-85
31/03/23HGaiteros del Zulia69-82
28/03/23HFrontinos80-85
25/03/23AGuaros de Lara72-86
24/03/23ACentauros68-64
21/03/23HTrotamundos74-79
Brillanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/23ATrotamundos68-77
12/04/23HHeroes de Falcon74-70
09/04/23AHeroes de Falcon90-97
08/04/23AHeroes de Falcon70-75
04/04/23HToros de Aragua84-64
02/04/23HHeroes de Falcon78-76
30/03/23ACentauros83-85
29/03/23AGuaros de Lara74-63
26/03/23HBroncos90-88
25/03/23HTrotamundos92-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Llaneros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW36%
HomeLLLLW17%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%17%60%
Points / game78.280.275.8
Allowed / game81.082.379.4
Point differential-2.8-2.2-3.6
Avg total159.2162.5155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Brillantes
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%100%29%
Points / game81.483.679.9
Allowed / game77.474.879.3
Point differential+4.0+8.8+0.6
Avg total158.8158.4159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores1210283%82.472.9+9.5
2 Piratas de La Guaira108280%80.971.8+9.1
3 Broncos129375%90.775.8+14.9
4 Guaros de Lara129375%81.876.4+5.4
5 Cocodrilos118373%73.868.5+5.4
6 Trotamundos128467%80.378.8+1.6
7 Panteras138562%78.574.3+4.2
8 Brillantes127558%81.477.4+4.0
9 Guaiqueries116555%86.681.6+5.0
10 Heroes de Falcon116555%83.380.4+2.9
11 Gaiteros del Zulia137654%75.678.8-3.2
12 Centauros125742%72.976.5-3.6
13 Llaneros114736%78.281.0-2.8
14 Frontinos124833%80.788.7-8.0
15 Marinos93633%81.290.3-9.1
16 Spartans103730%73.876.8-3.0
17 Gigantes103730%75.582.4-6.9
18 Cangrejeros92722%77.886.2-8.4
19 Diablos112918%76.587.1-10.6
20 Toros de Aragua131128%72.482.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Llaneros2715182282
Brillantes2125182387
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