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Llaneros vs Toros de Aragua Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 79-59
22-17 26-12 16-13 15-17
Position#14
Record3-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#20
Record1-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game81.5
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Olímpico Hugo Chávez (San Juan de los Morros)
Other2023
Meetings · Llaneros v Toros de Aragua
15 Apr 2025
LLAN80
TORO88
07 Apr 2025
LLAN75
TORO77
10 Jul 2024
LLAN v TORO
upcoming
31 May 2024
LLAN95
TORO90
14 May 2023
LLAN92
TORO88
11 Apr 2023
LLAN79
TORO59
15 Aug 2022
LLAN98
TORO60
14 Jul 2022
LLAN53
TORO50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llaneros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Centauros
#12
L
82-87
82
87
-5
73avg 68
H19/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
64avg 68
H21/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 68
A24/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
72-86
72
86
-14
64avg 68
A25/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
80-85
80
85
-5
66avg 68
H28/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
69-82
69
82
-13
56avg 68
H31/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
64-85
64
85
-21
61avg 68
A02/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
91avg 68
A05/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
no box
H08/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 68
A09/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
17-21
18-20
20-20
26-18
11-25
22-18
15-18
28-19
10-19
9-12
21-14
11-26
23-21
14-18
24-21
24-23
17-14
28-16
11-32
11-17
23-29
12-19
23-17
20-19
14-19
12-27
18-20
19-18
29-17
24-20
18-27
28-29
23-19
20-23
20-20
17-20
26-27
22-13
20-20
161.3Avg total
78.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.183.2161.3-5.130%
Season at home (5)80.487.0167.4-6.60%
Season away (5)75.879.4155.2-3.660%
Last 10 (10)78.183.2161.3-5.130%
Last 5 (5)81.086.2167.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.481.9155.3-8.515%
vs Similar (10)82.983.6166.5-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.673.9154.4+6.757%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#19
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
H19/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 58
H22/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
79-93
79
93
-14
69avg 58
H23/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
56-64
56
64
-8
47avg 58
A26/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
72-83
72
83
-11
59avg 58
A30/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
46avg 58
H01/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
73-77
73
77
-4
58avg 58
A03/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
64-84
64
84
-20
50avg 58
A04/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
58avg 58
H08/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 58
H09/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
12-17
23-29
22-12
24-19
20-28
16-26
15-14
16-26
17-21
20-28
26-18
14-15
17-18
9-17
16-14
24-14
12-19
13-21
23-29
13-15
15-29
15-20
20-18
22-21
21-18
15-24
15-14
16-27
10-13
25-20
13-24
19-24
12-23
19-27
28-16
20-17
27-26
13-22
20-20
153.0Avg total
71.5Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.581.5153.0-10.010%
Season at home (6)75.084.5159.5-9.517%
Season away (4)66.277.0143.2-10.80%
Last 10 (10)71.581.5153.0-10.010%
Last 5 (5)71.683.6155.2-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)69.182.1151.2-13.07%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)73.576.5150.0-3.050%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
LlanerosToros de Aragua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Centauros
#12
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H19/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H21/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A25/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H31/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A05/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H08/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A09/04
Superliga
83.0Avg total
40.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.737.273.9-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.538.678.1+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)34.336.070.3-1.725%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.683.0-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.884.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.135.769.8-1.631%-
vs Similar (10)38.240.278.4-2.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.635.775.3+3.971%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#19
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H19/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H22/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H23/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A30/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H01/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A04/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H08/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H09/04
Superliga
75.1Avg total
34.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.240.773.9-7.520%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.941.876.8-6.919%-
Last 30 away (14)31.339.470.7-8.121%-
Last 10 (10)34.940.275.1-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.677.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)33.241.474.6-8.114%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)33.031.064.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.9
51.1%
50.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.2
30.7%
31.3%21.7
🏀 Free throws21.914.0
64.0%
65.6%14.0
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.1 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.720.6
45.0%
50.8%41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.4
32.8%
31.3%19.3
🏀 Free throws18.010.4
58.0%
65.6%10.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Llaneros
WLWLLLLWLL
Toros de Aragua
LLLLLLLLLW
#14
League position
#20
-7.0
Net rating
-14.1
95.0
Offensive rating
90.7
102.0
Defensive rating
104.8
49.2%
Effective FG%
46.3%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
23.5%
Turnover %
24.6%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.7%
3-point %
32.8%
60.7%
Assist %
42.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 90.7Defence102.0 · 104.8Shooting49.2% · 46.3%3-point %30.7% · 32.8%Ball care23.5% · 24.6%Off. rebounds28.6% · 35.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Llaneros   ■ Toros de Aragua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Llaneros wins
1
Toros de Aragua wins
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23AToros de Aragua85-80
08/04/23HFrontinos97-102 OT
05/04/23ATrotamundos90-82
02/04/23ABroncos64-85
31/03/23HGaiteros del Zulia69-82
28/03/23HFrontinos80-85
25/03/23AGuaros de Lara72-86
24/03/23ACentauros68-64
21/03/23HTrotamundos74-79
19/03/23HCentauros82-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23HLlaneros80-85
08/04/23HBroncos78-90
04/04/23ABrillantes64-84
03/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia73-77
01/04/23HTrotamundos63-82
30/03/23AFrontinos72-83
26/03/23ACentauros56-64
23/03/23HHeroes de Falcon79-93
22/03/23HGuaros de Lara75-87
19/03/23HFrontinos75-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Llaneros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%0%60%
Points / game78.180.475.8
Allowed / game83.287.079.4
Point differential-5.1-6.6-3.6
Avg total161.3167.4155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %10%17%0%
Points / game71.575.066.2
Allowed / game81.584.577.0
Point differential-10.0-9.5-10.8
Avg total153.0159.5143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores109190%81.271.6+9.6
2 Piratas de La Guaira98189%82.772.3+10.3
3 Broncos108280%90.675.5+15.1
4 Guaros de Lara107370%79.876.2+3.6
5 Cocodrilos96367%74.869.6+5.2
6 Guaiqueries106460%89.182.6+6.5
7 Brillantes106460%83.578.2+5.3
8 Heroes de Falcon106460%84.681.0+3.6
9 Trotamundos106460%79.078.8+0.2
10 Panteras105550%74.371.9+2.4
11 Centauros105550%72.073.4-1.4
12 Gaiteros del Zulia105550%75.477.8-2.4
13 Marinos73443%83.089.6-6.6
14 Gigantes93633%76.881.7-4.9
15 Llaneros103730%78.183.2-5.1
16 Frontinos103730%80.489.3-8.9
17 Spartans82625%69.874.9-5.1
18 Cangrejeros81712%75.686.0-10.4
19 Diablos81712%71.985.8-13.9
20 Toros de Aragua101910%71.581.5-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Llaneros2226161579
Toros de Aragua1712131759
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