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Toros de Aragua vs Llaneros Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 80-85
20-17 27-26 13-22 20-20
Position#20
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#14
Record2-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game83.6
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Rafael Romero Bolívar (El Limón)
Other2023
Meetings · Toros de Aragua v Llaneros
30 Apr 2025
TORO93
LLAN95
30 Mar 2025
TORO77
LLAN66
02 May 2024
TORO72
LLAN76
21 Apr 2023
TORO94
LLAN100
09 Apr 2023
TORO80
LLAN85
24 Aug 2022
TORO69
LLAN85
27 Jul 2022
TORO63
LLAN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Llaneros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Broncos
#8
L
62-73
62
73
-11
no box
A02/09
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
H19/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 56
H22/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
79-93
79
93
-14
69avg 56
H23/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
56-64
56
64
-8
47avg 56
A26/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
72-83
72
83
-11
59avg 56
A30/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
46avg 56
H01/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
73-77
73
77
-4
58avg 56
A03/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
64-84
64
84
-20
50avg 56
A04/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
58avg 56
H08/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
15-21
13-19
20-9
18-12
12-17
23-29
22-12
24-19
20-28
16-26
15-14
16-26
17-21
20-28
26-18
14-15
17-18
9-17
16-14
24-14
12-19
13-21
23-29
13-15
15-29
15-20
20-18
22-21
21-18
15-24
15-14
16-27
10-13
25-20
13-24
19-24
12-23
19-27
28-16
150.0Avg total
69.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.681.1151.7-10.611%
Season at home (5)74.084.4158.4-10.420%
Season away (4)66.277.0143.2-10.80%
Last 10 (10)69.780.3150.0-10.610%
Last 5 (5)70.083.2153.2-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)68.882.0150.8-13.37%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)73.576.5150.0-3.050%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Broncos
#8
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H13/09
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
82-87
82
87
-5
73avg 67
H19/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
64avg 67
H21/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 67
A24/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
72-86
72
86
-14
64avg 67
A25/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
80-85
80
85
-5
66avg 67
H28/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
69-82
69
82
-13
56avg 67
H31/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
64-85
64
85
-21
61avg 67
A02/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
91avg 67
A05/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
no box
H08/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
25-22
21-24
17-29
27-26
17-21
18-20
20-20
26-18
11-25
22-18
15-18
28-19
10-19
9-12
21-14
11-26
23-21
14-18
24-21
24-23
17-14
28-16
11-32
11-17
23-29
12-19
23-17
20-19
14-19
12-27
18-20
19-18
29-17
24-20
18-27
28-29
23-19
20-23
20-20
162.1Avg total
77.9Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.383.6160.9-6.222%
Season at home (5)80.487.0167.4-6.60%
Season away (4)73.579.2152.8-5.850%
Last 10 (10)77.984.2162.1-6.320%
Last 5 (5)80.087.2167.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.481.9155.3-8.515%
vs Similar (11)82.082.4164.4-0.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.872.8152.7+7.050%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
Toros de AraguaLlaneros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Broncos
#8
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A02/09
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H19/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H22/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H23/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A30/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H01/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A04/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H08/04
Superliga
73.5Avg total
33.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.040.573.5-7.620%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.141.775.9-7.613%-
Last 30 away (15)31.839.371.1-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)33.140.473.5-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.840.673.4-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)33.041.274.2-8.214%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)33.031.064.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Broncos
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/09
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H19/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H21/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A25/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H31/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A05/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H08/04
Superliga
82.2Avg total
40.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.537.073.5-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.538.678.1+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)33.835.769.5-1.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.682.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.135.769.8-1.631%-
vs Similar (11)37.940.478.3-2.518%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.033.872.8+5.283%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.920.2
45.1%
50.8%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.26.2
32.5%
31.3%18.8
🏀 Free throws19.010.5
55.3%
65.6%10.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.4
50.3%
50.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.4
30.6%
31.3%22.1
🏀 Free throws20.413.6
66.9%
65.6%13.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros de Aragua
LLLLLLLLWL
Llaneros
LWLLLLWLLL
#20
League position
#14
-15.4
Net rating
-8.3
89.5
Offensive rating
93.9
104.9
Defensive rating
102.2
46.2%
Effective FG%
48.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
24.8%
Turnover %
24.4%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.5%
3-point %
30.6%
41.5%
Assist %
60.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 93.9Defence104.9 · 102.2Shooting46.2% · 48.6%3-point %32.5% · 30.6%Ball care24.8% · 24.4%Off. rebounds35.0% · 29.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Toros de Aragua   ■ Llaneros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Toros de Aragua wins
3
Llaneros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23HBroncos78-90
04/04/23ABrillantes64-84
03/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia73-77
01/04/23HTrotamundos63-82
30/03/23AFrontinos72-83
26/03/23ACentauros56-64
23/03/23HHeroes de Falcon79-93
22/03/23HGuaros de Lara75-87
19/03/23HFrontinos75-70
02/09/22ABroncos62-73
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23HFrontinos97-102 OT
05/04/23ATrotamundos90-82
02/04/23ABroncos64-85
31/03/23HGaiteros del Zulia69-82
28/03/23HFrontinos80-85
25/03/23AGuaros de Lara72-86
24/03/23ACentauros68-64
21/03/23HTrotamundos74-79
19/03/23HCentauros82-87
13/09/22HBroncos83-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game70.674.066.2
Allowed / game81.184.477.0
Point differential-10.6-10.4-10.8
Avg total151.7158.4143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Llaneros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL22%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%0%50%
Points / game77.380.473.5
Allowed / game83.687.079.2
Point differential-6.2-6.6-5.8
Avg total160.9167.4152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Piratas de La Guaira880100%84.973.0+11.9
2 Gladiadores109190%81.271.6+9.6
3 Broncos97278%89.273.3+15.9
4 Guaros de Lara97278%78.473.6+4.9
5 Brillantes96367%82.876.1+6.7
6 Cocodrilos96367%74.869.6+5.2
7 Guaiqueries95456%91.684.6+7.0
8 Heroes de Falcon95456%83.280.0+3.2
9 Trotamundos95456%76.777.3-0.7
10 Gaiteros del Zulia95456%75.677.7-2.1
11 Panteras105550%74.371.9+2.4
12 Centauros94544%71.273.3-2.1
13 Marinos73443%83.089.6-6.6
14 Gigantes93633%76.881.7-4.9
15 Frontinos93633%78.887.8-9.0
16 Spartans82625%69.874.9-5.1
17 Llaneros92722%77.383.6-6.2
18 Cangrejeros81712%75.686.0-10.4
19 Diablos81712%71.985.8-13.9
20 Toros de Aragua91811%70.681.1-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toros de Aragua2027132080
Llaneros1726222085
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