PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Louisiana Tech hosts Jacksonville State on 17 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Bulldogs the clear favourite, assigning them a 91% chance of winning largely because they have a 2-1 record and average 70.3 points while allowing 60.7, whereas the Gamecocks sit at 1-2 with 83.0 points per game but give up 78.0. Louisiana Tech is undefeated at home with a 2-0 record, scoring 80.5 and conceding only 46.0, and has won three of its last five games, including a 76-17 home win over Ark Monticello and an 85-75 victory at Kent State; Jacksonville State has gone 0-2 on the road, averaging 63.0 points and allowing 87.5, and has lost two of its last five, most recently falling 46-92 to Houston. Their head-to-head history is even, with each side winning three of six meetings and the last encounter ending 77-71 for Louisiana Tech in February 2026. Pythia projects a 78-62 score, a total of 140.1, and a 2% chance of overtime, with Louisiana Tech covering the spread.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 70.3 | 60.7 | 131.0 | +9.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 80.5 | 46.0 | 126.5 | +34.5 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 50.0 | 90.0 | 140.0 | -40.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.5 | 65.1 | 137.6 | +7.4 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 68.0 | 63.8 | 131.8 | +4.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 50.0 | 90.0 | 140.0 | -40.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (20) | 69.0 | 72.3 | 141.3 | -3.4 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 74.0 | 50.9 | 124.9 | +23.1 | 88% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 83.0 | 78.0 | 161.0 | +5.0 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 123.0 | 59.0 | 182.0 | +64.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 63.0 | 87.5 | 150.5 | -24.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.8 | 75.0 | 150.8 | +0.8 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.2 | 72.6 | 147.8 | +2.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 56.7 | 74.3 | 131.0 | -17.7 | 33% |
| vs Similar (17) | 72.3 | 72.2 | 144.5 | +0.1 | 41% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 69.1 | 69.9 | 139.0 | -0.8 | 38% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.1 | 30.6 | 63.7 | +2.5 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 35.2 | 29.1 | 64.3 | +6.2 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 29.9 | 33.0 | 62.9 | -3.1 | 42% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.2 | 31.5 | 67.7 | +4.7 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.2 | 29.8 | 62.0 | +2.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 20.0 | 47.0 | 67.0 | -27.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (20) | 32.7 | 33.9 | 66.6 | -1.2 | 40% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 35.1 | 23.2 | 58.4 | +11.9 | 75% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.7 | 31.2 | 62.9 | +0.5 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 33.1 | 29.1 | 62.2 | +4.0 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 30.1 | 33.6 | 63.7 | -3.4 | 36% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.7 | 31.1 | 62.8 | +0.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 32.0 | 67.8 | +3.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 25.0 | 38.0 | 63.0 | -13.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 31.1 | 31.4 | 62.5 | -0.2 | 47% | - |
| vs Weaker (8) | 31.5 | 30.2 | 61.8 | +1.2 | 50% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19/02/26 | Louisiana Tech v Jacksonville State | 77-71 |
| 17/01/26 | Jacksonville State v Louisiana Tech | 64-60 |
| 15/02/25 | Louisiana Tech v Jacksonville State | 68-70 |
| 17/01/25 | Jacksonville State v Louisiana Tech | 63-61 |
| 16/02/24 | Louisiana Tech v Jacksonville State | 63-58 |
| 20/01/24 | Jacksonville State v Louisiana Tech | 57-74 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | LSU | 50-90 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Ark Monticello | 76-17 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Kent State | 85-75 |
| 15/03/26 | H | Kennesaw State | 60-71 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Missouri State | 69-66 |
| 12/03/26 | H | Middle Tenn. St. | 80-69 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Delaware | 81-38 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Liberty | 76-71 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Florida International | 76-84 |
| 27/02/26 | H | Missouri State | 72-70 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Houston | 46-92 |
| 06/11/26 | A | South Alabama | 80-83 OT |
| 03/11/26 | H | Hannibal-LaGrange | 123-59 |
| 11/03/26 | H | New Mexico State | 63-68 |
| 07/03/26 | A | UTEP | 64-61 |
| 06/03/26 | A | New Mexico State | 75-77 OT |
| 28/02/26 | H | Liberty | 78-81 |
| 27/02/26 | H | Delaware | 80-70 OT |
| 21/02/26 | A | Sam Houston St. | 78-82 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Louisiana Tech | 71-77 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWL | 67% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 70.3 | 80.5 | 50.0 |
| Allowed / game | 60.7 | 46.0 | 90.0 |
| Point differential | +9.7 | +34.5 | -40.0 |
| Avg total | 131.0 | 126.5 | 140.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLL | 33% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 83.0 | 123.0 | 63.0 |
| Allowed / game | 78.0 | 59.0 | 87.5 |
| Point differential | +5.0 | +64.0 | -24.5 |
| Avg total | 161.0 | 182.0 | 150.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Florida International | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 93.0 | 66.5 | +26.5 |
| 2 |  Missouri State | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.3 | 61.3 | +24.0 |
| 3 |  Kennesaw State | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.7 | 68.3 | +23.3 |
| 4 |  Western Kentucky | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 84.2 | 63.5 | +20.8 |
| 5 | Louisiana Tech | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 70.3 | 60.7 | +9.7 |
| 6 |  Sam Houston St. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 87.0 | 77.3 | +9.7 |
| 7 |  Middle Tenn. St. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.3 | 76.7 | +1.7 |
| 8 |  Liberty | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 85.0 | 63.0 | +22.0 |
| 9 |  UTEP | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 77.5 | 72.0 | +5.5 |
| 10 |  New Mexico State | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 70.5 | 87.5 | -17.0 |
| 11 |  Delaware | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.7 | 62.7 | +14.0 |
| 12 | Jacksonville State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 83.0 | 78.0 | +5.0 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
