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NC State vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 57-77
26-41 31-36
Position#119
Record10-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game67.8
NC State
USA
vs
Louisville 🏆
USA
Position#41
Record13-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game63.5
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · NC State v Louisville
12 Feb 2025
NC S66
LOUI91
12 Mar 2024
NC S94
LOUI85
22 Dec 2022
NC S76
LOUI64
04 Dec 2021
NC S68
LOUI73
01 Feb 2020
NC S57
LOUI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#340
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#150
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H29/12
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A04/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H16/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A25/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-22
43-41
35-26
37-34
35-41
35-40
34-39
39-29
33-40
25-32
33-25
47-38
36-24
24-30
28-26
25-25
32-31
26-33
35-39
30-36
132.3Avg total
67.2Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.167.8138.8+3.362%
Season at home (8)72.061.9133.9+10.188%
Season away (8)70.173.6143.8-3.538%
Last 10 (10)67.265.1132.3+2.160%
Last 5 (5)63.261.4124.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)80.077.0157.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (12)70.968.6139.5+2.358%
vs Weaker (5)75.471.0146.4+4.460%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#280
W
70-46
70
46
+24
H19/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#13
L
70-78 OT
70
78
-8
A28/12
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
73-68 OT
73
68
+5
A15/01
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H23/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-20
42-26
24-32
37-29
32-39
33-39
43-32
31-26
36-24
31-40
28-31
33-30
42-32
37-41
32-38
36-26
47-26
33-36
45-43
41-26
139.2Avg total
73.2Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.763.5136.2+9.281%
Season at home (10)71.761.0132.7+10.780%
Season away (6)74.367.7142.0+6.783%
Last 10 (10)73.266.0139.2+7.280%
Last 5 (5)77.267.2144.4+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.570.5152.0+11.0100%
vs Similar (7)65.069.7134.7-4.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)76.159.3135.4+16.8100%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.5+3.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.5+3.5
NC StateLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#340
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#150
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H29/12
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H16/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H18/01
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A25/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
34.1Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)36.634.270.7+2.458%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.131.468.5+5.764%-
Last 30 away (8)35.938.073.9-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.131.365.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)32.829.061.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)38.037.075.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (12)36.034.070.0+2.058%-
vs Weaker (5)37.232.469.6+4.860%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#280
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#13
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A28/12
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A15/01
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H23/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A30/01
NCAA
67.4Avg total
35.7Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)35.529.965.4+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.529.565.0+6.162%-
Last 30 away (6)35.330.866.2+4.567%-
Last 10 (10)35.731.767.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.072.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.529.070.5+12.5100%-
vs Similar (7)31.930.662.4+1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.329.667.9+8.878%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State wins
0
Louisville wins
No previous meetings.
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/20HNorth Carolina65-75
25/01/20AGeorgia Tech58-64
21/01/20AVirginia53-51
18/01/20HClemson60-54
16/01/20HMiami (FL)80-63
11/01/20AVirginia Tech58-72
09/01/20HNotre Dame73-68
04/01/20AClemson70-81
29/12/19HAppalachian State72-60
22/12/19HCitadel83-63
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/20ABoston College86-69
25/01/20HClemson80-62
23/01/20HGeorgia Tech68-64
18/01/20ADuke79-73
15/01/20APittsburgh73-68 OT
11/01/20ANotre Dame67-64
08/01/20HMiami (FL)74-58
04/01/20HFlorida State65-78
28/12/19AKentucky70-78 OT
19/12/19HMiami (Ohio)70-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%88%38%
Points / game71.172.070.1
Allowed / game67.861.973.6
Point differential+3.3+10.1-3.5
Avg total138.8133.9143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %81%80%83%
Points / game72.771.774.3
Allowed / game63.561.067.7
Point differential+9.2+10.7+6.7
Avg total136.2132.7142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State1614288%75.565.5+10.0
2 Duke1613381%82.465.2+17.2
3 Louisville1613381%72.763.5+9.2
4 SMU Mustangs1611569%75.468.4+7.1
5 Stanford1510567%69.060.1+8.9
6 Pittsburgh1610662%67.263.1+4.1
7 NC State1610662%71.167.8+3.3
8 Virginia1610662%55.753.1+2.6
9 Syracuse1710759%74.968.8+6.1
10 Notre Dame169756%77.471.6+5.9
11 Virginia Tech169756%68.065.9+2.1
12 Clemson168850%66.366.3+0.0
13 Miami (FL)157847%70.276.7-6.5
14 Wake Forest167944%71.974.0-2.1
15 Georgia Tech1981142%66.967.1-0.2
16 North Carolina1661038%70.372.9-2.6
17 Boston College1661038%61.769.0-7.3
18 California1651131%60.069.1-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State263157
Louisville413677
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