PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Louisville vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-57
33-24 36-33
Position#94
Record11-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game66.4
Louisville 🏆
USA
vs
Notre Dame
USA
Position#236
Record9-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Louisville v Notre Dame
04 Feb 2026
LOUI76
NOTR65
21 Feb 2024
LOUI50
NOTR72
22 Jan 2022
LOUI70
NOTR82
23 Feb 2021
LOUI69
NOTR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#273
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H26/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A02/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H19/01
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H23/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
54-99
54
99
-45
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-27
34-32
37-24
39-40
36-31
37-40
46-34
31-31
21-33
51-45
28-42
37-36
36-33
34-32
22-21
28-33
33-27
41-31
29-48
25-51
136.4Avg total
67.3Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)68.566.4134.9+2.169%
Season at home (9)72.862.6135.3+10.289%
Season away (7)63.071.3134.3-8.343%
Last 10 (10)67.369.1136.4-1.860%
Last 5 (5)62.670.8133.4-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.871.5147.2+4.275%
vs Similar ◀ (11)65.967.8133.7-1.964%
vs Weaker (15)73.063.8136.8+9.273%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#43
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A13/01
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
73-59
73
59
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H28/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
84-58
84
58
+26
A31/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H02/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
93-89
93
89
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-37
43-43
42-32
38-38
30-22
43-37
22-31
29-31
41-29
43-29
35-32
44-26
50-35
30-47
45-50
48-39
31-31
40-30
46-32
21-43
144.0Avg total
74.6Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.672.0144.6+0.645%
Season at home (10)72.571.0143.5+1.550%
Season away (10)72.772.9145.6-0.240%
Last 10 (10)74.669.4144.0+5.260%
Last 5 (5)78.073.0151.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)70.877.1147.9-6.320%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.461.1128.6+6.371%
vs Weaker (8)75.266.8142.0+8.588%
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.6+1.6
LouisvilleNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#273
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H26/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A02/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A17/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H19/01
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Clemson
#78
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A20/02
NCAA
63.6Avg total
31.6Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.965.4+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.731.166.8+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)31.132.763.8-1.657%-
Last 10 (10)31.632.063.6-0.470%-
Last 5 (5)29.634.263.8-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.834.070.8+2.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.732.864.5-1.173%-
vs Weaker (15)34.030.664.6+3.453%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#43
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A13/01
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A24/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H02/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A07/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A20/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
36.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.068.8+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.332.068.3+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)35.533.969.4+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.169.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.077.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.236.373.5+0.953%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.728.361.0+4.457%-
vs Weaker (8)36.130.866.9+5.475%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Louisville wins
0
Notre Dame wins
DateGameScore
11/01/20Notre Dame v Louisville64-67
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21ANorth Carolina54-99
01/02/21HGeorgia Tech74-58
28/01/21AClemson50-54
23/01/21HDuke70-65
19/01/21HFlorida State65-78
17/01/21AMiami (FL)72-78
14/01/21AWake Forest77-65
06/01/21HVirginia Tech73-71
02/01/21ABoston College76-64
26/12/20HKentucky62-59
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21ASyracuse67-75
14/02/21HMiami (FL)71-61
09/02/21ADuke93-89
07/02/21AGeorgia Tech80-82
02/02/21HWake Forest79-58
31/01/21APittsburgh84-58
28/01/21HVirginia Tech51-62
24/01/21AMiami (FL)73-59
16/01/21HBoston College80-70
13/01/21AVirginia68-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL69%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%89%43%
Points / game68.572.863.0
Allowed / game66.462.671.3
Point differential+2.1+10.2-8.3
Avg total134.9135.3134.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%44%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL45%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game72.672.572.7
Allowed / game72.071.072.9
Point differential+0.7+1.5-0.2
Avg total144.6143.5145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State1613381%79.269.1+10.2
2 Virginia Tech1814478%72.565.6+6.9
3 Virginia2015575%69.260.2+8.9
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%74.366.6+7.7
5 Clemson1813572%65.663.1+2.5
6 Louisville1611569%68.566.4+2.1
7 North Carolina2114767%74.468.8+5.6
8 Syracuse2013765%76.271.0+5.2
9 Stanford2314961%71.968.7+3.2
10 Duke1911858%76.171.2+4.9
11 Georgia Tech1911858%75.270.5+4.7
12 NC State1910953%73.870.3+3.6
13 Pittsburgh189950%72.270.3+1.9
14 Notre Dame2091145%72.672.0+0.7
15 Wake Forest1761135%69.271.4-2.2
16 Miami (FL)2071335%66.170.8-4.8
17 California2581732%65.770.2-4.5
18 Boston College1631319%71.477.6-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville333669
Notre Dame243357
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.