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Louisville vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 70-65
36-33 34-32
Position#94
Record9-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game65.5
vs
Position#154
Record5-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Louisville v Duke
06 Jan 2026
LOUI73
DUKE84
08 Dec 2024
LOUI65
DUKE76
23 Jan 2024
LOUI69
DUKE83
29 Jan 2022
LOUI65
DUKE74
10 Mar 2021
LOUI56
DUKE70
23 Jan 2021
LOUI70
DUKE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prairie View A&M
#24
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H29/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#35
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H01/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
48-85
48
85
-37
A19/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H26/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A02/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-31
45-33
34-29
41-25
18-44
30-41
30-28
34-26
28-27
34-32
37-24
39-40
36-31
37-40
46-34
31-31
21-33
51-45
28-42
37-36
137.0Avg total
69.8Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.765.5136.2+5.275%
Season at home (7)73.062.9135.9+10.186%
Season away (5)67.469.2136.6-1.860%
Last 10 (10)69.867.2137.0+2.670%
Last 5 (5)72.671.2143.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.871.5147.2+4.275%
vs Similar ◀ (9)67.768.0135.7-0.367%
vs Weaker (17)73.163.7136.8+9.476%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#288
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#246
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H28/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H02/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#91
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H05/12
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H09/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A17/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H07/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-34
47-42
45-28
36-43
33-37
36-38
35-25
41-29
29-43
39-40
41-34
34-31
35-43
48-39
37-33
42-35
34-46
33-28
34-43
39-36
148.7Avg total
76.0Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.672.3146.9+2.256%
Season at home (6)76.072.2148.2+3.867%
Season away (3)71.772.7144.3-1.033%
Last 10 (10)76.072.7148.7+3.360%
Last 5 (5)75.473.6149.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.068.5140.5+3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (3)70.072.7142.7-2.733%
vs Weaker (25)81.669.9151.5+11.876%
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +3.4+3.4
LouisvilleDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prairie View A&M
#24
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H29/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#35
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
18-44
18
44
-26
A19/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H26/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A02/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A14/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A17/01
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H19/01
NCAA
64.2Avg total
31.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.231.865.9+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.131.867.9+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)32.031.763.7+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)31.932.364.2-0.470%-
Last 5 (5)33.632.866.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.834.070.8+2.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.032.865.8+0.267%-
vs Weaker (17)34.230.764.9+3.553%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#288
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H07/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#246
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H28/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H02/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#91
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H05/12
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H09/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/12
NCAA
Boston College
#332
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H07/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A20/01
NCAA
73.1Avg total
36.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.833.571.3+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.631.471.0+8.278%-
Last 30 away (12)35.136.771.8-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.673.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.876.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.034.066.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)33.740.374.0-6.733%-
vs Weaker (25)38.832.671.4+6.164%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Louisville wins
0
Duke wins
DateGameScore
18/01/20Duke v Louisville73-79
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/21HFlorida State65-78
17/01/21AMiami (FL)72-78
14/01/21AWake Forest77-65
06/01/21HVirginia Tech73-71
02/01/21ABoston College76-64
26/12/20HKentucky62-59
23/12/20APittsburgh64-54
19/12/20AWisconsin48-85
01/12/20HWestern Kentucky75-54
29/11/20HPrairie View A&M86-64
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/21APittsburgh73-79
13/01/21AVirginia Tech67-74
09/01/21HWake Forest79-68
07/01/21HBoston College83-82
17/12/20ANotre Dame75-65
09/12/20HIllinois68-83
05/12/20HBellarmine76-54
02/12/20HMichigan State69-75
28/11/20HCoppin State81-71
07/03/20HNorth Carolina89-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game70.773.067.4
Allowed / game65.562.969.2
Point differential+5.2+10.1-1.8
Avg total136.2135.9136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%43%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Duke
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %56%67%33%
Points / game74.676.071.7
Allowed / game72.372.272.7
Point differential+2.2+3.8-1.0
Avg total146.9148.2144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia119282%73.559.4+14.2
2 Florida State119282%79.168.5+10.6
3 SMU Mustangs108280%79.166.9+12.2
4 Pittsburgh108280%74.266.1+8.1
5 Virginia Tech1411379%73.365.6+7.6
6 Louisville129375%70.765.5+5.2
7 Georgia Tech107370%80.472.5+7.9
8 Syracuse139469%79.469.3+10.1
9 Clemson139469%66.163.4+2.7
10 North Carolina1510567%74.570.2+4.3
11 Stanford138562%72.468.2+4.2
12 Duke95456%74.672.3+2.2
13 NC State116555%76.871.1+5.7
14 Miami (FL)136746%67.468.0-0.6
15 California167944%67.869.3-1.6
16 Wake Forest93633%70.368.1+2.2
17 Notre Dame124833%71.274.6-3.4
18 Boston College1331023%72.778.2-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville363470
Duke333265
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