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Wake Forest vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 81-70
39-30 42-40
Position#142
Record8-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game70.8
Wake Forest 🏆
USA
vs
Duke
USA
Position#39
Record10-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game58.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Wake Forest v Duke
20 Jan 2027
WAKE v DUKE
upcoming
25 Jan 2025
WAKE56
DUKE63
24 Feb 2024
WAKE83
DUKE79
20 Dec 2022
WAKE81
DUKE70
12 Jan 2022
WAKE64
DUKE76
17 Feb 2021
WAKE60
DUKE84
25 Feb 2020
WAKE113
DUKE101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#35
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
H16/11
NCAA
La Salle
#247
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H18/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A20/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
W
105-74
105
74
+31
H24/11
NCAA
Hampton
#350
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H26/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A30/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A03/12
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H10/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H15/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-29
29-30
35-33
40-30
25-35
40-30
51-27
54-47
53-24
44-46
37-34
41-41
33-26
24-51
41-33
29-39
31-37
36-29
33-43
24-38
146.9Avg total
74.9Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.170.8145.9+4.267%
Season at home (8)79.267.5146.8+11.888%
Season away (4)66.877.5144.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)74.972.0146.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)65.874.2140.0-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)58.572.5131.0-14.025%
vs Similar (8)77.872.1149.9+5.675%
vs Weaker (17)80.970.4151.4+10.571%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#23
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A16/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
92-58
92
58
+34
H19/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A27/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H01/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-33
35-36
42-36
50-22
41-33
33-24
29-27
25-24
40-34
31-30
35-46
21-29
39-29
42-43
35-23
40-36
37-31
37-31
39-21
43-34
134.5Avg total
72.3Scored
62.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.258.7131.8+14.583%
Season at home (8)79.155.6134.8+23.5100%
Season away (4)61.264.8126.0-3.550%
Last 10 (10)72.362.2134.5+10.180%
Last 5 (5)73.664.6138.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)69.869.5139.3+0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)78.865.5144.3+13.383%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +4.8+4.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +4.8+4.8
Wake ForestDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#35
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H16/11
NCAA
La Salle
#247
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H18/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A20/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H24/11
NCAA
Hampton
#350
W
53-24
53
24
+29
H26/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A30/11
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A03/12
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H10/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H15/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A17/12
NCAA
69.0Avg total
36.9Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.431.668.0+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.030.670.6+9.483%-
Last 30 away (12)30.933.264.1-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.932.169.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.669.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)27.832.560.2-4.850%-
vs Similar (8)35.235.670.9-0.450%-
vs Weaker (17)38.530.168.6+8.482%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#23
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A16/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H19/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A27/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H01/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H10/12
NCAA
67.9Avg total
36.6Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.131.569.6+6.677%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.032.271.2+6.875%-
Last 30 away (10)36.430.166.5+6.380%-
Last 10 (10)36.631.367.9+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)37.030.067.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)35.335.070.3+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)38.830.669.5+8.283%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Wake Forest wins
5
Duke wins
DateGameScore
16/02/22Duke v Wake Forest76-74
13/01/22Wake Forest v Duke64-76
18/02/21Wake Forest v Duke60-84
09/01/21Duke v Wake Forest79-68
26/02/20Wake Forest v Duke113-101 OT
12/01/20Duke v Wake Forest90-59
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22ARutgers57-81
15/12/22HAppalachian State67-66
10/12/22HLSU70-72
03/12/22AClemson57-77
30/11/22AWisconsin78-75
26/11/22HHampton97-70
24/11/22HSouth Carolina St105-74
20/11/22ALoyola Marymount75-77 OT
18/11/22HLa Salle75-63
16/11/22HUtah Valley State68-65 OT
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22HMd.-East. Shore82-55
07/12/22HIowa74-62
03/12/22HBoston College75-59
01/12/22HOhio State81-72
27/11/22APurdue56-75
25/11/22AXavier71-64
24/11/22AOregon State54-51
22/11/22HBellarmine74-57
19/11/22HDelaware92-58
16/11/22AKansas64-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL67%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %67%88%25%
Points / game75.179.266.8
Allowed / game70.867.577.5
Point differential+4.2+11.8-10.8
Avg total145.9146.8144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %17%12%25%
Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game73.279.161.2
Allowed / game58.755.664.8
Point differential+14.5+23.5-3.5
Avg total131.8134.8126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%88%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia Tech1211192%76.262.3+13.9
2 Virginia98189%70.959.1+11.8
3 Duke1210283%73.258.7+14.5
4 NC State1310377%81.067.8+13.2
5 Clemson129375%75.566.5+9.0
6 Miami (FL)2316770%77.071.8+5.2
7 Pittsburgh128467%75.166.2+8.8
8 North Carolina128467%81.674.4+7.2
9 Syracuse128467%74.868.2+6.6
10 Wake Forest128467%75.170.8+4.2
11 Georgia Tech117464%73.167.2+5.9
12 Notre Dame117464%71.569.6+1.8
13 Boston College126650%63.867.1-3.2
14 Stanford114736%67.563.9+3.6
15 SMU Mustangs103730%66.870.1-3.3
16 Florida State1331023%68.473.3-4.9
17 Louisville1221017%61.273.2-12.1
18 California120120%58.067.6-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest394281
Duke304070
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