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LSU vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-75
38-22 36-53
Position#230
Record12-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game72.5
LSU
USA
vs
Kentucky 🏆
USA
Position#107
Record10-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · LSU v Kentucky
14 Jan 2026
LSU74
KENT75
21 Feb 2024
LSU75
KENT74
04 Jan 2022
LSU65
KENT60
18 Feb 2020
LSU76
KENT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#213
W
96-63
96
63
+33
A30/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
78-69 OT
78
69
+9
A04/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A07/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H14/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
104-90
104
90
+14
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H30/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A03/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H07/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-22
46-41
37-26
24-35
26-47
32-35
47-44
42-33
50-36
28-29
51-56
53-34
41-30
49-32
34-37
38-38
25-50
43-28
38-52
35-32
155.1Avg total
80.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.672.5158.1+13.175%
Season at home (10)92.272.5164.7+19.790%
Season away (6)74.772.5147.2+2.250%
Last 10 (10)80.674.5155.1+6.160%
Last 5 (5)81.477.8159.2+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)64.679.8144.4-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (10)90.671.4162.0+19.2100%
vs Weaker (5)84.870.2155.0+14.680%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
104-54
104
54
+50
H27/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
59-94
59
94
-35
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H20/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H23/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A03/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-28
61-26
31-31
33-36
20-43
39-51
52-31
51-36
32-39
40-21
25-32
53-34
46-38
53-47
34-50
40-39
32-33
36-40
44-39
48-29
153.6Avg total
81.3Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.669.4153.1+14.262%
Season at home (14)84.066.1150.1+17.971%
Season away (2)81.092.5173.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)81.372.3153.6+9.060%
Last 5 (5)82.276.2158.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.891.8164.5-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.876.0152.8+0.856%
vs Weaker (10)94.460.4154.8+34.0100%
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +9.5+9.5
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +9.5+9.5
LSUKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#213
W
50-22
50
22
+28
A30/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A04/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A07/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H14/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A03/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H07/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A10/01
NCAA
79.9Avg total
39.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.773.9+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.636.375.9+3.471%-
Last 30 away (13)34.037.271.2-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.079.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.082.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.537.969.4-6.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.734.478.1+9.380%-
vs Weaker (5)41.237.678.8+3.680%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H27/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H20/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A03/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H08/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H11/01
NCAA
72.3Avg total
35.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.234.672.8+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (22)38.131.569.5+6.668%-
Last 30 away (8)38.543.181.6-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.472.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.474.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.847.279.0-15.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)35.536.972.4-1.450%-
vs Weaker (10)45.125.870.9+19.3100%-
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
LSU wins
5
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
05/03/25Kentucky v LSU95-64
22/02/24LSU v Kentucky75-74
04/01/23Kentucky v LSU74-71
24/02/22Kentucky v LSU71-66
05/01/22LSU v Kentucky65-60
23/01/21Kentucky v LSU82-69
19/02/20LSU v Kentucky76-79
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AVanderbilt73-84
07/01/26HSouth Carolina68-78
03/01/26ATexas A&M72-75
30/12/25HSouthern Miss90-62
23/12/25HPrairie View A&M104-90
20/12/25HSE Louisiana78-65
14/12/25HSMU Mustangs89-77
07/12/25ATexas Tech58-82
04/12/25ABoston College78-69 OT
30/11/25ADePaul96-63
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HMississippi St.92-68
08/01/26HMissouri68-73
03/01/26AAlabama74-89
23/12/25HBellarmine99-85
20/12/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)78-66
14/12/25HIndiana72-60
10/12/25HN. Carolina Central103-67
06/12/25HGonzaga59-94
03/12/25HNorth Carolina64-67
27/11/25HTennessee Tech104-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LSU
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL75%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %75%90%50%
Points / game85.692.274.7
Allowed / game72.572.572.5
Point differential+13.1+19.7+2.2
Avg total158.1164.7147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%90%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%17%
Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16142
Win %62%71%0%
Points / game83.684.081.0
Allowed / game69.466.192.5
Point differential+14.2+17.9-11.5
Avg total153.1150.1173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt16160100%93.072.1+20.9
2 Georgia1614288%96.474.9+21.6
3 Texas A&M1713476%93.078.0+15.0
4 LSU1612475%85.672.5+13.1
5 Arkansas1612475%89.476.9+12.5
6 Missouri1612475%81.771.7+10.0
7 Tennessee1712571%82.668.1+14.5
8 Florida1712571%85.871.4+14.4
9 Alabama1712571%93.782.6+11.1
10 Oklahoma1711665%84.174.2+9.9
11 Mississippi St.1711665%81.177.1+4.0
12 Kentucky1610662%83.669.4+14.2
13 Texas1610662%87.875.1+12.7
14 South Carolina1610662%79.569.6+9.9
15 Auburn1610662%87.579.1+8.4
16 Ole Miss169756%75.269.6+5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
LSU383674
Kentucky225375
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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