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LSU vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 75-74
27-36 48-38
Position#182
Record13-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game74.3
LSU 🏆
USA
vs
Position#50
Record18-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game77.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · LSU v Kentucky
14 Jan 2026
LSU74
KENT75
21 Feb 2024
LSU75
KENT74
04 Jan 2022
LSU65
KENT60
18 Feb 2020
LSU76
KENT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LSU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#22
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A13/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H20/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
88-109
88
109
-21
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H03/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
92-109
92
109
-17
H10/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A14/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-51
44-42
35-33
54-47
35-33
34-40
33-35
33-33
44-50
44-59
45-30
50-44
27-50
41-38
46-49
46-60
34-48
46-34
25-32
39-31
162.8Avg total
78.9Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.374.3151.6+3.052%
Season at home (15)79.569.7149.2+9.767%
Season away (10)74.081.2155.2-7.230%
Last 10 (10)78.983.9162.8-5.030%
Last 5 (5)79.883.2163.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.586.3163.8-8.718%
vs Similar (16)72.069.4141.4+2.656%
vs Weaker (3)93.061.3154.3+31.7100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#130
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H20/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A24/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A27/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
92-103
92
103
-11
H04/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
109-77
109
77
+32
A07/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H10/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-29
43-48
54-35
51-61
25-33
37-46
24-26
39-31
41-36
43-48
42-46
50-57
54-38
55-39
32-42
53-47
43-29
32-34
39-29
31-30
163.6Avg total
84.2Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)88.277.4165.5+10.872%
Season at home (18)90.378.0168.3+12.372%
Season away (7)82.675.7158.3+6.971%
Last 10 (10)84.279.4163.6+4.860%
Last 5 (5)86.278.2164.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.574.0151.5+3.550%
vs Similar (9)81.382.3163.7-1.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.173.7161.8+14.479%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.3-5.31st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.3-5.31st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -0.7-0.7
LSUKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#22
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A13/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A24/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H03/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H10/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A17/02
NCAA
76.9Avg total
35.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.235.771.9+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.632.370.9+6.275%-
Last 30 away (14)33.439.673.0-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.176.9-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.877.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.742.580.2-4.745%-
vs Similar (16)33.632.966.4+0.744%-
vs Weaker (3)44.326.070.3+18.3100%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#130
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H20/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H04/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A07/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H10/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A17/02
NCAA
74.4Avg total
40.1Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.435.977.3+5.666%-
Last 30 at home (20)43.036.279.2+6.775%-
Last 30 away (9)38.135.073.1+3.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.374.4+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.878.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.535.571.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (9)38.338.176.4+0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.734.878.4+8.972%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
LSU wins
4
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
04/01/23Kentucky v LSU74-71
24/02/22Kentucky v LSU71-66
05/01/22LSU v Kentucky65-60
23/01/21Kentucky v LSU82-69
19/02/20LSU v Kentucky76-79
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ASouth Carolina64-63
14/02/24AFlorida80-82
10/02/24HAlabama92-109
08/02/24ATennessee68-88
03/02/24HArkansas95-74
28/01/24AAlabama88-109
24/01/24AGeorgia66-68
20/01/24HTexas A&M69-73
18/01/24HOle Miss89-80
13/01/24AAuburn78-93
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AAuburn70-59
14/02/24HOle Miss75-63
10/02/24HGonzaga85-89
07/02/24AVanderbilt109-77
04/02/24HTennessee92-103
01/02/24HFlorida91-94 OT
27/01/24AArkansas63-57
24/01/24ASouth Carolina62-79
20/01/24HGeorgia105-96
18/01/24HMississippi St.90-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LSU
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %52%67%30%
Points / game77.379.574.0
Allowed / game74.369.781.2
Point differential+3.0+9.7-7.2
Avg total151.6149.2155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%10%
Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW72%
HomeWLLLW72%
AwayLLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25187
Win %72%72%71%
Points / game88.290.382.6
Allowed / game77.478.075.7
Point differential+10.8+12.3+6.9
Avg total165.5168.3158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%56%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %12%11%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina2621581%71.865.4+6.4
2 Auburn2620677%82.267.0+15.2
3 Tennessee2620677%80.067.2+12.9
4 Ole Miss2519676%76.071.8+4.2
5 Alabama2619773%91.077.4+13.5
6 Kentucky2518772%88.277.4+10.8
7 Oklahoma2618869%75.966.6+9.3
8 Florida2618869%85.177.7+7.4
9 Mississippi St.2517868%74.167.4+6.8
10 Texas2617965%75.767.9+7.8
11 Texas A&M26151158%74.169.8+4.3
12 Georgia26151158%76.174.0+2.1
13 LSU25131252%77.374.3+3.0
14 Arkansas26131350%75.277.8-2.6
15 Missouri2681831%72.074.4-2.4
16 Vanderbilt2671927%66.274.3-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
LSU274875
Kentucky363874
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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