PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
On 18 November 2026 the NCAA matchup pits LSU against Louisiana Monroe, with LSU the clear favourite as the model rates them 99% to win, reflecting a 3-0 season record, 94.0 points per game and only 52.7 points allowed, placing them fourth in the league; Louisiana Monroe sits at 1-3, 84.0 points per game and 86.5 allowed, ranked 320th. LSU has gone 3-0 at home, scoring 94.0 and conceding 52.7, while Louisiana Monroe has lost both road outings, 0-2, averaging 79.5 points and surrendering 104.0. LSU's last five games include a 90-50 win over Louisiana Tech, a 92-51 win over Texas Southern, and a 100-57 win over New Orleans, whereas Louisiana Monroe's recent five feature a 92-100 loss to TCU, a 67-108 loss to Texas A&M, and a 99-55 home win over Champion Christian Tigers. In head-to-head history LSU has won both meetings, most recently 95-60 on 6 November 2024. Pythia projects a 94-64 score, 158.5 total points, and a 99% probability that LSU covers the home line, with a 1% chance for Louisiana Monroe to win. The game ends with LSU's dominant 94-64 victory.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 90.8 | 59.5 | 150.2 | +31.2 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 94.0 | 52.7 | 146.7 | +41.3 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 81.0 | 80.0 | 161.0 | +1.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.6 | 77.9 | 164.5 | +8.7 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.0 | 65.0 | 154.0 | +24.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 71.5 | 83.6 | 155.1 | -12.1 | 0% |
| vs Similar (11) | 85.9 | 80.2 | 166.1 | +5.7 | 55% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 82.8 | 68.6 | 151.3 | +14.2 | 78% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 75.0 | 87.7 | 162.7 | -12.7 | 17% |
| Season at home (2) | 88.5 | 69.0 | 157.5 | +19.5 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 68.2 | 97.0 | 165.2 | -28.8 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 74.3 | 88.4 | 162.7 | -14.1 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.4 | 88.6 | 163.0 | -14.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (28) | 72.4 | 87.9 | 160.3 | -15.5 | 4% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker (2) | 89.0 | 62.0 | 151.0 | +27.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.8 | 37.1 | 75.0 | +0.7 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.5 | 35.9 | 75.4 | +3.6 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 35.9 | 38.5 | 74.4 | -2.6 | 36% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.5 | 34.8 | 76.3 | +6.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.8 | 29.6 | 75.4 | +16.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 33.2 | 40.2 | 73.4 | -7.0 | 20% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 40.7 | 38.1 | 78.8 | +2.6 | 45% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 39.4 | 32.6 | 72.0 | +6.9 | 78% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 34.7 | 40.4 | 75.2 | -5.7 | 24% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 38.7 | 37.2 | 75.8 | +1.5 | 46% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 31.5 | 43.1 | 74.6 | -11.6 | 6% | - |
| Last 10 (9) | 34.2 | 42.2 | 76.4 | -8.0 | 22% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.2 | 39.8 | 76.0 | -3.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (27) | 34.0 | 41.6 | 75.6 | -7.6 | 19% | - |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker (2) | 44.5 | 24.5 | 69.0 | +20.0 | 100% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/11/24 | LSU v Louisiana Monroe | 95-60 |
| 10/11/21 | LSU v Louisiana Monroe | 101-39 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Gonzaga | 81-80 |
| 10/11/26 | H | Louisiana Tech | 90-50 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Texas Southern | 92-51 |
| 04/11/26 | H | New Orleans | 100-57 |
| 11/03/26 | A | Kentucky | 82-87 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Texas A&M | 91-94 OT |
| 04/03/26 | A | Auburn | 74-88 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Oklahoma | 67-83 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Ole Miss | 106-99 OT |
| 21/02/26 | H | Alabama | 83-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/26 | A | Grand Canyon | 52-88 |
| 14/11/26 | A | Arizona State | 62-92 |
| 11/11/26 | A | TCU | 92-100 OT |
| 10/11/26 | A | Texas A&M | 67-108 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Champion Christian Tigers | 99-55 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Central Michigan | 78-83 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Old Dominion | 80-87 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Troy | 65-80 |
| 26/02/26 | A | South Alabama | 54-89 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Arkansas State | 94-102 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 90.8 | 94.0 | 81.0 |
| Allowed / game | 59.5 | 52.7 | 80.0 |
| Point differential | +31.2 | +41.3 | +1.0 |
| Avg total | 150.2 | 146.7 | 161.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 17% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 75.0 | 88.5 | 68.2 |
| Allowed / game | 87.7 | 69.0 | 97.0 |
| Point differential | -12.7 | +19.5 | -28.8 |
| Avg total | 162.7 | 157.5 | 165.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Texas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 57.0 | +43.0 |
| 2 |  Ole Miss | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 56.3 | +37.7 |
| 3 |  Texas A&M | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 99.2 | 67.2 | +32.0 |
| 4 | LSU | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 90.8 | 59.5 | +31.2 |
| 5 |  Vanderbilt | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 90.2 | 60.2 | +30.0 |
| 6 |  South Carolina | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 78.8 | 56.5 | +22.2 |
| 7 |  Alabama | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 76.0 | +21.0 |
| 8 |  Florida | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 82.2 | 62.5 | +19.8 |
| 9 |  Tennessee | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 81.0 | 61.3 | +19.7 |
| 10 |  Georgia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 81.8 | 70.2 | +11.5 |
| 11 |  Mississippi St. | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 87.2 | 67.5 | +19.8 |
| 12 |  Arkansas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 83.2 | 67.8 | +15.5 |
| 13 |  Oklahoma | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 75.8 | 63.8 | +12.0 |
| 14 |  Kentucky | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 80.2 | 75.8 | +4.5 |
| 15 |  Missouri | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 97.0 | 66.0 | +31.0 |
| 16 |  Auburn | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.7 | 64.0 | +14.7 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Texas State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 89.8 | 62.8 | +27.0 |
| 2 |  Old Dominion | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 77.0 | 58.4 | +18.6 |
| 3 |  Appalachian State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.0 | 60.2 | +8.8 |
| 4 |  Southern Miss | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 72.0 | 70.8 | +1.2 |
| 5 |  Coastal Carolina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 72.5 | 73.5 | -1.0 |
| 6 |  South Alabama | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 74.6 | 76.0 | -1.4 |
| 7 |  Louisiana Lafayette | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 59.0 | 60.3 | -1.3 |
| 8 |  James Madison | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.0 | 78.7 | -2.7 |
| 9 |  Arkansas State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.0 | 84.3 | -10.3 |
| 10 |  Georgia State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 85.8 | 77.2 | +8.5 |
| 11 |  Marshall | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 78.2 | 76.0 | +2.2 |
| 12 |  Georgia Southern | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 77.8 | 82.8 | -5.0 |
| 13 |  Troy | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 66.0 | 78.0 | -12.0 |
| 14 | Louisiana Monroe | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 75.0 | 87.7 | -12.7 |
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