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Neptunas vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-78
20-11 24-10 21-26 20-31
Position#4
Record9-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#2
Record14-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game71.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Neptunas v Rytas
05 May 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
16 Jan 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
NEP91
RYT98
31 Jan 2026
NEP95
RYT87
12 Apr 2025
NEP92
RYT85
04 Jan 2025
NEP76
RYT94
21 Dec 2024
NEP67
RYT78
23 Dec 2023
NEP70
RYT77
14 May 2023
NEP91
RYT95
10 Apr 2023
NEP86
RYT90
28 Jan 2023
NEP70
RYT82
28 Apr 2022
NEP93
RYT88
16 Oct 2021
NEP81
RYT89
13 Mar 2021
NEP59
RYT80
17 Oct 2020
NEP60
RYT98
26 Apr 2020
NEP v RYT
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
NEP91
RYT84
22 May 2019
NEP v RYT
upcoming
10 Apr 2019
NEP89
RYT74
18 Nov 2018
NEP78
RYT93
04 Jun 2018
NEP74
RYT70
30 May 2018
NEP49
RYT67
22 Apr 2018
NEP72
RYT90
18 Nov 2017
NEP81
RYT76
07 Jun 2017
NEP70
RYT65
01 Jun 2017
NEP83
RYT70
21 Jan 2017
NEP85
RYT78
30 Oct 2016
NEP79
RYT78
20 May 2016
NEP73
RYT74
14 May 2016
NEP70
RYT68
27 Feb 2016
NEP70
RYT62
31 Oct 2015
NEP62
RYT72
23 May 2015
NEP87
RYT92
18 May 2015
NEP107
RYT101
15 Mar 2015
NEP86
RYT87
26 Oct 2014
NEP65
RYT73
03 Jan 2014
NEP79
RYT88
27 Sep 2012
NEP75
RYT92
10 Feb 2012
NEP85
RYT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
H11/12
LKL
Varese
#38
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A14/12
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A17/12
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A20/12
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A30/12
LKL
Oldenburg
#12
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H04/01
Champions League
Skycop
#6
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A07/01
LKL
PAOK
#22
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A10/01
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H15/01
LKL
Ventspils
#23
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H18/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
13-19
19-29
16-23
17-18
28-18
18-9
23-22
14-18
17-15
16-20
20-17
16-25
19-15
11-14
18-14
18-17
17-22
21-11
19-28
9-6
18-24
15-26
27-17
10-15
15-18
22-22
20-19
18-18
17-26
12-18
26-20
23-15
23-10
19-16
21-20
20-16
18-15
20-22
26-15
147.4Avg total
73.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.973.4150.3+3.547%
Season at home (10)73.469.9143.3+3.560%
Season away (9)80.877.2158.0+3.633%
Last 10 (10)73.873.6147.4+0.230%
Last 5 (5)75.871.6147.4+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.082.0154.0-10.025%
vs Similar (10)74.472.7147.1+1.750%
vs Weaker (16)79.968.2148.1+11.675%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
L
97-99
97
99
-2
H07/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#5
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H10/12
LKL
Fuenlabrada
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A14/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A23/12
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H30/12
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H04/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A07/01
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A11/01
Eurocup
Skycop
#6
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A14/01
LKL
Nizhny Novgorod
#16
W
97-63
97
63
+34
A17/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
27-21
18-20
25-32
29-24
22-14
23-21
24-22
14-25
21-19
15-20
20-17
23-21
18-20
19-27
25-25
17-18
22-17
11-21
28-19
23-12
20-19
20-26
13-23
17-16
24-21
22-15
18-16
16-27
24-16
13-19
26-26
20-8
15-20
16-16
22-24
22-21
24-15
29-17
22-10
163.0Avg total
83.4Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.971.1152.0+9.874%
Season at home (9)80.768.0148.7+12.789%
Season away (10)81.173.9155.0+7.260%
Last 10 (10)83.479.6163.0+3.850%
Last 5 (5)81.273.4154.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.079.0146.0-12.00%
vs Similar (4)79.883.8163.5-4.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.174.8159.9+10.371%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
NeptunasRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H11/12
LKL
Varese
#38
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/12
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A17/12
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A20/12
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A30/12
LKL
Oldenburg
#12
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H04/01
Champions League
Skycop
#6
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A07/01
LKL
PAOK
#22
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/01
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H15/01
LKL
Ventspils
#23
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H18/01
Champions League
70.3Avg total
34.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.735.774.4+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.133.974.1+6.260%-
Last 30 away (15)37.337.574.8-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)34.935.470.3-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.232.666.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.536.269.8-2.825%-
vs Similar (10)36.934.771.6+2.250%-
vs Weaker (16)41.136.277.4+4.962%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H07/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#5
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H10/12
LKL
Fuenlabrada
#11
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A23/12
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H30/12
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H04/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A07/01
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/01
Eurocup
Skycop
#6
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A14/01
LKL
Nizhny Novgorod
#16
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A17/01
Eurocup
80.5Avg total
42.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.478.7+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.935.879.6+8.193%-
Last 30 away (16)38.938.977.8+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.080.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.076.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.042.576.5-8.550%-
vs Similar (4)41.838.580.2+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.836.878.6+4.975%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
5
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
30/12/16Rytas v Neptunas78-75
30/10/16Neptunas v Rytas79-78
22/05/16Rytas v Neptunas72-73
20/05/16Neptunas v Rytas73-74
17/05/16Rytas v Neptunas66-64
14/05/16Neptunas v Rytas70-68
11/05/16Rytas v Neptunas71-83
09/04/16Rytas v Neptunas95-88
27/02/16Neptunas v Rytas70-62
27/12/15Rytas v Neptunas80-76
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/17HVentspils84-68
15/01/17HLietkabelis86-61
10/01/17APAOK73-82
07/01/17ASkycop67-74
04/01/17HOldenburg69-73
30/12/16ARytas75-78
20/12/16ALyon-Villeurbanne64-68
17/12/16APieno Zvaigzdes67-70
14/12/16AVarese86-67
11/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas67-95
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/17ANizhny Novgorod97-63
14/01/17ASkycop73-68
11/01/17AZenit Petersburg79-88
07/01/17ANevezis81-68
04/01/17HHapoel M. Jerusalem76-80
30/12/16HNeptunas78-75
23/12/16ALietkabelis85-93
14/12/16AFuenlabrada70-81
10/12/16HJuventus98-81
07/12/16HAlba Berlin97-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW47%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%60%33%
Points / game76.973.480.8
Allowed / game73.469.977.2
Point differential+3.5+3.5+3.6
Avg total150.3143.3158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%30%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %11%10%11%
Rytas
LKL 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%89%60%
Points / game80.980.781.1
Allowed / game71.168.073.9
Point differential+9.8+12.7+7.2
Avg total152.0148.7155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1918195%84.267.6+16.6
2 Lietkabelis2015575%81.575.5+6.0
3 Rytas1914574%80.971.1+9.8
4 Skycop1910953%76.371.4+4.9
5 Neptunas1991047%76.973.4+3.5
6 Juventus1991047%79.981.2-1.3
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes1981142%75.677.1-1.5
8 Alytaus Dzukija1961332%67.376.3-9.1
9 Nevezis1951426%75.381.3-6.0
10 Siauliai2021810%69.291.3-22.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2024212085
Rytas1110263178
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