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Luis Matte Larrain vs Arabe Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 66-70
25-23 19-11 12-24 10-12
Position#9
Record6-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game71.1
Luis Matte Larrain
Chile
vs
Arabe Valparaiso 🏆
Chile
Position#10
Record6-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game70.6
ChileLNB 2· Gimnasio Carlos Flores
Other2024-25
Meetings · Luis Matte Larrain v Arabe Valparaiso
15 Jun 2024
LUIS66
ARAB70
13 May 2023
LUIS71
ARAB51
07 Oct 2022
LUIS79
ARAB87
21 Jun 2022
LUIS76
ARAB71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luis Matte Larrain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arabe Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
71avg 60
A13/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
56avg 60
H15/04
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
53-76
53
76
-23
42avg 60
A20/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
74-53
74
53
+21
74avg 60
H28/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A04/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
62-51
62
51
+11
61avg 60
H12/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
22avg 60
A19/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
94-92
94
92
+2
86avg 60
H19/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
58-70
58
70
-12
49avg 60
H26/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
72-75
72
75
-3
65avg 60
A02/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
13-18
23-20
22-24
22-20
13-25
14-16
16-17
16-13
12-26
11-18
14-19
13-10
11-15
23-11
27-17
–
–
–
–
19-12
6-15
17-16
20-8
11-17
15-20
20-16
26-22
29-20
24-18
20-31
21-23
17-25
11-15
19-19
11-11
14-19
21-20
21-20
16-16
142.2Avg total
69.2Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.471.1140.5-1.746%
Season at home (7)72.368.9141.1+3.471%
Season away (6)66.073.7139.7-7.717%
Last 10 (10)69.273.0142.2-3.830%
Last 5 (5)71.672.6144.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)63.370.5133.8-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (10)66.964.4131.3+2.550%
vs Weaker (5)68.666.4135.0+2.260%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValparaiso
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 60
H13/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 60
H20/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
51-83
51
83
-32
40avg 60
H27/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
75avg 60
H11/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
56-96
56
96
-40
39avg 60
A12/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
53avg 60
A18/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
49-52
49
52
-3
no box
A19/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
32avg 60
H25/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
60-48
60
48
+12
56avg 60
A26/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
64avg 60
A02/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
18-13
20-23
24-22
24-25
23-13
4-26
25-15
9-24
14-16
15-23
13-20
18-23
19-24
20-17
27-17
9-15
21-30
10-25
16-26
15-23
16-25
16-16
17-12
–
–
–
–
16-23
13-6
7-12
7-16
17-16
15-14
12-11
16-7
23-8
8-23
19-27
21-22
136.2Avg total
63.4Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)66.570.6137.1-4.246%
Season at home (6)68.873.5142.3-4.750%
Season away (7)64.468.1132.6-3.743%
Last 10 (10)63.472.8136.2-9.430%
Last 5 (5)57.462.6120.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)61.978.6140.5-16.727%
vs Similar ◀ (11)63.566.0129.5-2.536%
vs Weaker (8)74.162.8136.9+11.475%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
Luis Matte LarrainArabe Valparaiso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/04
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A20/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H28/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H12/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A19/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H19/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H26/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A02/06
LNB 2
67.9Avg total
31.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)32.134.966.9-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (10)33.632.766.3+0.950%-
Last 30 away (8)30.137.667.8-7.512%-
Last 10 (9)31.736.267.9-4.611%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.269.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.533.965.4-2.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)29.234.263.5-5.025%-
vs Weaker (2)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H20/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H27/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H11/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A02/06
LNB 2
70.6Avg total
32.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)31.936.468.3-4.439%-
Last 30 at home (9)33.236.970.1-3.733%-
Last 30 away (9)30.735.966.6-5.244%-
Last 10 (9)32.937.770.6-4.833%-
Last 5 (5)30.636.667.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.639.471.0-7.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)31.133.464.6-2.343%-
vs Weaker (2)36.533.069.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.4
49.0%
44.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.1
29.6%
28.7%18.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.1
65.7%
63.6%11.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Arabe Valparaisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arabe Valparaiso: 64.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.617.6
44.4%
44.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.0
26.7%
28.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.711.6
65.5%
63.6%11.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luis Matte Larrain
LLWLWLWLLL
Arabe Valparaiso
LWLLLLWLLW
#9
League position
#10
-2.5
Net rating
-9.4
93.2
Offensive rating
79.9
95.7
Defensive rating
89.3
47.5%
Effective FG%
42.8%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
43.5%
18.9%
Turnover %
25.7%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.6%
3-point %
26.7%
57.4%
Assist %
59.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 79.9Defence95.7 · 89.3Shooting47.5% · 42.8%3-point %29.6% · 26.7%Ball care18.9% · 25.7%Off. rebounds23.8% · 24.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Luis Matte Larrain   ■ Arabe Valparaiso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Luis Matte Larrain wins
4
Arabe Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Arabe Valparaiso v Luis Matte Larrain80-76
08/07/23Arabe Valparaiso v Luis Matte Larrain55-52
13/05/23Luis Matte Larrain v Arabe Valparaiso71-51
13/11/22Arabe Valparaiso v Luis Matte Larrain53-69
07/10/22Luis Matte Larrain v Arabe Valparaiso79-87 OT
21/06/22Luis Matte Larrain v Arabe Valparaiso76-71
18/06/22Arabe Valparaiso v Luis Matte Larrain61-51
Luis Matte Larrainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/24ABoston C. C.72-75
26/05/24HBrisas58-70
19/05/24HArturo Prat San Felipe94-92
19/05/24ATruenos De Talca72-75
12/05/24HStadio Italiano62-51
04/05/24AAleman66-80
28/04/24HSergio Ceppi74-53
20/04/24AMunicipal Chillan53-76
15/04/24HColo Colo65-78
13/04/24AArabe Valparaiso76-80
Arabe Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/24AArturo Prat San Felipe71-80
26/05/24AQuilpue Basquetbol60-48
25/05/24HTruenos De Talca43-57
19/05/24AMunicipal Chillan49-52
18/05/24AAleman64-76
12/05/24AStadio Italiano56-96
11/05/24HSergio Ceppi84-81
27/04/24HColo Colo51-83
20/04/24HBoston C. C.76-79
13/04/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL46%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%71%17%
Points / game69.472.366.0
Allowed / game71.168.973.7
Point differential-1.7+3.4-7.7
Avg total140.5141.1139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL46%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game66.568.864.4
Allowed / game70.673.568.1
Point differential-4.2-4.7-3.7
Avg total137.1142.3132.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%17%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo14140100%85.564.9+20.6
2 Sergio Ceppi1510567%74.772.5+2.2
3 Boston C. C.1610662%71.268.1+3.1
4 Stadio Italiano148657%67.164.4+2.7
5 Truenos De Talca148657%70.868.1+2.6
6 Aleman147750%74.472.1+2.4
7 Luis Matte Larrain136746%69.471.1-1.7
8 Arabe Valparaiso136746%66.570.6-4.2
9 Quilpue Basquetbol146843%66.870.1-3.3
10 Municipal Chillan1661038%61.867.9-6.2
11 Brisas1321115%67.273.2-6.0
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe1421214%72.585.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luis Matte Larrain2519121066
Arabe Valparaiso2311241270
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