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Lulea W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-66
15-25 15-5 21-13 26-23
Position#1
Record12-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game51.7
Lulea W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W
Sweden
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game68.1
SwedenBasketligan W· Lulea Energi Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Lulea W v Hogsbo W
30 Oct 2026
LULE108
HOGS43
10 Oct 2025
LULE81
HOGS90
27 Apr 2025
LULE89
HOGS63
22 Apr 2025
LULE88
HOGS67
18 Jan 2025
LULE77
HOGS66
02 Feb 2024
LULE73
HOGS61
14 Oct 2022
LULE106
HOGS58
26 Mar 2022
LULE101
HOGS66
02 Oct 2021
LULE93
HOGS57
31 Oct 2020
LULE78
HOGS74
01 Dec 2019
LULE77
HOGS62
30 Mar 2019
LULE90
HOGS94
24 Mar 2019
LULE83
HOGS76
11 Oct 2018
LULE91
HOGS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lulea W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lulea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
W
97-61
97
61
+36
97avg 81
A12/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
83-64
83
64
+19
72avg 81
H18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
101-34
101
34
+67
94avg 81
A25/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
107-37
107
37
+70
114avg 81
A02/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
93-38
93
38
+55
90avg 81
H15/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
118-53
118
53
+65
118avg 81
H30/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
78-55
78
55
+23
77avg 81
A09/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
91-44
91
44
+47
90avg 81
A18/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
101-57
101
57
+44
102avg 81
H04/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
117-79
117
79
+38
120avg 81
A12/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-9
19-19
33-18
21-15
22-21
23-15
19-17
19-11
22-9
30-7
26-13
23-5
22-6
31-11
34-8
20-12
36-9
17-9
19-4
21-16
29-24
37-7
32-8
20-14
20-11
17-8
25-18
16-18
25-11
27-7
19-12
20-14
27-19
27-13
26-12
21-13
27-19
34-21
31-16
25-23
150.8Avg total
98.6Scored
52.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)97.851.7149.4+46.1100%
Season at home (5)100.250.2150.4+50.0100%
Season away (7)96.052.7148.7+43.3100%
Last 10 (10)98.652.2150.8+46.4100%
Last 5 (5)101.057.6158.6+43.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.077.5151.5-3.525%
vs Similar (6)76.078.0154.0-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)93.253.6146.8+39.6100%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
50avg 76
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
102-55
102
55
+47
104avg 76
A19/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
108-70
108
70
+38
112avg 76
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 76
A17/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
86-62
86
62
+24
82avg 76
H23/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
97-80
97
80
+17
91avg 76
A30/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
79-74
79
74
+5
77avg 76
A14/12
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
95-60
95
60
+35
97avg 76
H20/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 76
A05/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
79-47
79
47
+32
86avg 76
H11/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
19-19
18-33
15-21
29-13
30-15
27-16
16-11
24-14
25-16
34-20
25-20
18-14
22-21
20-22
13-29
14-14
32-17
16-19
24-12
30-20
20-14
19-22
28-24
10-26
27-11
20-22
22-15
28-17
21-16
15-21
31-6
21-19
19-16
22-17
19-23
20-10
19-13
19-10
21-14
156.7Avg total
86.1Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.868.1155.8+19.783%
Season at home (6)89.267.8157.0+21.383%
Season away (6)86.368.3154.7+18.083%
Last 10 (10)86.170.6156.7+15.580%
Last 5 (5)86.267.2153.4+19.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)65.981.2147.1-15.311%
vs Similar (3)71.383.3154.7-12.00%
vs Weaker (18)89.464.4153.9+25.094%
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-18-9+0+9+18Q1Q1: +11.6+11.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +14.5+14.5Q2: +7.6+7.6Q3Q3: +13.8+13.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +3.9+3.9
-18-9+0+9+18Q1Q1: +11.6+11.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +14.5+14.5Q2: +7.6+7.6Q3Q3: +13.8+13.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +3.9+3.9
Lulea WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lulea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A12/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
52-16
52
16
+36
A25/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
53-17
53
17
+36
A02/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
53-18
53
18
+35
H15/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
66-31
66
31
+35
H30/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
37-19
37
19
+18
A09/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
52-18
52
18
+34
A18/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H04/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A12/01
Basketligan W
77.1Avg total
51.6Scored
25.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.331.076.3+14.477%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.631.878.5+14.869%-
Last 30 away (17)44.430.374.6+14.182%-
Last 10 (10)51.625.577.1+26.1100%-
Last 5 (5)54.028.082.0+26.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.841.878.5-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)40.035.575.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.627.476.1+21.285%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
59-28
59
28
+31
A19/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A17/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H23/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A30/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/12
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H20/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A05/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H11/01
Basketligan W
76.6Avg total
43.7Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.373.6+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.534.676.1+6.971%-
Last 30 away (16)37.234.171.3+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.732.976.6+10.880%-
Last 5 (5)43.032.475.4+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.338.870.1-7.411%-
vs Similar (3)41.337.779.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker (18)42.831.674.4+11.383%-
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lulea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lulea W: 98.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.124.1
57.2%
46.2%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.813.0
36.3%
31.7%39.0
🏀 Free throws14.510.9
75.2%
71.3%10.9
They take 77.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.8
52.3%
46.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.3
34.0%
31.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.012.9
67.9%
71.3%12.9
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lulea W
WWWWWWWWWW
Hogsbo W
WWWWWWLWWL
#1
League position
#3
+56.9
Net rating
+19.6
121.7
Offensive rating
106.0
64.7
Defensive rating
86.4
56.0%
Effective FG%
51.7%
36.1%
Opp. effective FG%
41.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
19.5%
40.1%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.3%
3-point %
34.0%
69.5%
Assist %
74.3%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence121.7 · 106.0Defence64.7 · 86.4Shooting56.0% · 51.7%3-point %36.3% · 34.0%Ball care17.2% · 19.5%Off. rebounds40.1% · 33.2%Free throws0.19 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Lulea W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Lulea W wins
1
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Hogsbo W v Lulea W61-97
02/02/24Lulea W v Hogsbo W73-61
04/11/23Hogsbo W v Lulea W68-88
21/01/23Hogsbo W v Lulea W47-121
14/10/22Lulea W v Hogsbo W106-58
28/03/22Hogsbo W v Lulea W79-92
26/03/22Lulea W v Hogsbo W101-66
16/02/22Hogsbo W v Lulea W73-77
02/10/21Lulea W v Hogsbo W93-57
15/02/21Hogsbo W v Lulea W84-79
Lulea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25ALund W117-79
04/01/25HSodertalje W101-57
18/12/24AOstersund W91-44
09/12/24ANorrkoping W78-55
30/11/24HAlvik W118-53
15/11/24HMarkSjuharad W93-38
02/11/24AUppsala W107-37
25/10/24AVisby W101-34
18/10/24HAIK Basket W83-64
12/10/24AHogsbo W97-61
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HUppsala W79-47
05/01/25AAlvik W81-75
20/12/24HMarkSjuharad W95-60
14/12/24AAIK Basket W79-74
30/11/24ALund W97-80
23/11/24HSodertalje W86-62
17/11/24ANorrkoping W73-86
02/11/24HOstersund W108-70
19/10/24AVisby W102-55
12/10/24HLulea W61-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lulea W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.8100.296.0
Allowed / game51.750.252.7
Point differential+46.1+50.0+43.3
Avg total149.4150.4148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game87.889.286.3
Allowed / game68.167.868.3
Point differential+19.7+21.3+18.0
Avg total155.8157.0154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%83%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W12120100%97.851.7+46.1
2 Hogsbo W1210283%87.868.1+19.7
3 Norrkoping W108280%84.869.0+15.8
4 Sodertalje W139469%80.171.4+8.7
5 Alvik W138562%78.282.0-3.8
6 AIK Basket W105550%83.581.5+2.0
7 Uppsala W125742%60.069.8-9.8
8 MarkSjuharad W123925%64.078.9-14.9
9 Lund W112918%71.786.1-14.4
10 Visby W1321115%60.784.4-23.7
11 Ostersund W121118%61.884.1-22.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lulea W1515212677
Hogsbo W255132366
← all games of the day
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