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Lulea W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-67
21-15 22-20 27-12 18-20
Position#1
Record24-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game56.4
Lulea W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W
Sweden
Position#3
Record21-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game70.5
SwedenBasketligan WBasketligan Women - Final· Lulea Energi Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Lulea W v Hogsbo W
30 Oct 2026
LULE108
HOGS43
10 Oct 2025
LULE81
HOGS90
27 Apr 2025
LULE89
HOGS63
22 Apr 2025
LULE88
HOGS67
18 Jan 2025
LULE77
HOGS66
02 Feb 2024
LULE73
HOGS61
14 Oct 2022
LULE106
HOGS58
26 Mar 2022
LULE101
HOGS66
02 Oct 2021
LULE93
HOGS57
31 Oct 2020
LULE78
HOGS74
01 Dec 2019
LULE77
HOGS62
30 Mar 2019
LULE90
HOGS94
24 Mar 2019
LULE83
HOGS76
11 Oct 2018
LULE91
HOGS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lulea W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lulea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#6
W
90-63
90
63
+27
84avg 90
H16/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
99-58
99
58
+41
105avg 90
H21/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
95-54
95
54
+41
no box
A01/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
66-68
66
68
-2
58avg 90
H08/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
97-54
97
54
+43
94avg 90
H22/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
109-60
109
60
+49
105avg 90
H29/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
90-51
90
51
+39
83avg 90
A31/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
95-62
95
62
+33
89avg 90
H07/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
92-72
92
72
+20
87avg 90
A09/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
89-58
89
58
+31
82avg 90
H11/04
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
28-19
16-10
26-22
29-11
22-16
31-13
17-18
34-13
25-10
21-6
15-25
14-16
25-11
16-22
11-19
27-15
22-9
33-15
15-15
29-12
21-10
23-13
36-25
27-15
18-21
31-9
14-6
22-22
27-8
25-17
21-15
26-12
28-20
20-18
18-22
23-14
25-5
18-13
23-26
152.2Avg total
92.2Scored
60.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)95.456.4151.8+39.096%
Season at home (13)94.156.9151.0+37.292%
Season away (12)96.855.8152.6+41.1100%
Last 10 (10)92.260.0152.2+32.290%
Last 5 (5)95.060.6155.6+34.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.778.7149.3-8.00%
vs Similar (2)74.080.5154.5-6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)95.456.4151.8+39.096%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
72avg 87
A22/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
99-83
99
83
+16
92avg 87
H01/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
101-82
101
82
+19
106avg 87
H15/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
102-76
102
76
+26
106avg 87
A22/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
99-68
99
68
+31
107avg 87
H29/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 87
A31/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
81-64
81
64
+17
76avg 87
A06/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
87-69
87
69
+18
90avg 87
H08/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
63-76
63
76
-13
50avg 87
A11/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
70-64
70
64
+6
72avg 87
H14/04
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
22-19
16-23
13-11
26-11
26-30
26-17
21-25
29-18
19-22
30-21
23-21
28-14
29-22
24-24
21-16
19-15
25-18
25-26
30-9
18-17
23-19
20-21
26-15
19-18
19-14
23-20
20-12
18-12
24-21
23-14
22-22
18-25
17-22
11-17
17-12
10-17
17-22
27-17
16-8
158.7Avg total
86.3Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.770.5158.2+17.281%
Season at home (13)91.771.2162.9+20.585%
Season away (13)83.769.8153.5+13.977%
Last 10 (10)86.372.4158.7+13.990%
Last 5 (5)77.669.0146.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.782.8153.5-12.217%
vs Similar (6)75.375.8151.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (18)94.566.9161.4+27.6100%
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +10.9+10.9Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +11.2+11.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +9.8+9.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.8+5.8
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +10.9+10.9Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +11.2+11.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +9.8+9.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.8+5.8
Lulea WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lulea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H16/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H21/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
59-23
59
23
+36
A01/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H08/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H22/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H29/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A31/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H07/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A09/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H11/04
Basketligan W
76.3Avg total
49.2Scored
27.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.228.976.1+18.387%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.827.974.7+18.987%-
Last 30 away (15)47.629.977.5+17.787%-
Last 10 (10)49.227.176.3+22.1100%-
Last 5 (5)49.227.877.0+21.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.342.378.7-6.00%-
vs Similar (2)39.037.576.5+1.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)49.226.675.7+22.696%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A22/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H01/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H15/03
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A22/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H29/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A06/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H08/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H14/04
Basketligan W
80.2Avg total
42.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.635.778.3+7.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.336.980.2+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)41.934.576.4+7.567%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.380.2+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.474.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.038.771.7-5.717%-
vs Similar (6)37.339.877.2-2.550%-
vs Weaker (18)47.633.380.9+14.394%-
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lulea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lulea W: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.4
58.5%
46.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.0
35.7%
31.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws13.09.5
73.1%
71.3%9.5
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.8
56.6%
46.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.3
36.5%
31.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.013.6
80.0%
71.3%13.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lulea W
WWWWWWLWWW
Hogsbo W
WLWWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+42.9
Net rating
+17.7
118.5
Offensive rating
109.7
75.7
Defensive rating
92.0
56.1%
Effective FG%
55.9%
41.2%
Opp. effective FG%
42.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.7%
3-point %
36.5%
73.8%
Assist %
70.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 109.7Defence75.7 · 92.0Shooting56.1% · 55.9%3-point %35.7% · 36.5%Ball care15.8% · 18.5%Off. rebounds33.4% · 24.4%Free throws0.19 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Lulea W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Lulea W wins
0
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25Lulea W v Hogsbo W77-66
12/10/24Hogsbo W v Lulea W61-97
02/02/24Lulea W v Hogsbo W73-61
04/11/23Hogsbo W v Lulea W68-88
21/01/23Hogsbo W v Lulea W47-121
14/10/22Lulea W v Hogsbo W106-58
28/03/22Hogsbo W v Lulea W79-92
26/03/22Lulea W v Hogsbo W101-66
16/02/22Hogsbo W v Lulea W73-77
02/10/21Lulea W v Hogsbo W93-57
Lulea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25HSodertalje W89-58
09/04/25ASodertalje W92-72
07/04/25HSodertalje W95-62
31/03/25AMarkSjuharad W90-51
29/03/25HMarkSjuharad W109-60
22/03/25HOstersund W97-54
08/03/25HNorrkoping W66-68
01/03/25AAlvik W95-54
21/02/25HVisby W99-58
16/02/25HUppsala W90-63
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/25HNorrkoping W70-64
11/04/25ANorrkoping W63-76
08/04/25HNorrkoping W87-69
06/04/25ANorrkoping W81-64
31/03/25AUppsala W87-72
29/03/25HUppsala W99-68
22/03/25AMarkSjuharad W102-76
15/03/25HAIK Basket W101-82
01/03/25HLund W99-83
22/02/25ASodertalje W74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lulea W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW96%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %96%92%100%
Points / game95.494.196.8
Allowed / game56.456.955.8
Point differential+39.0+37.2+41.1
Avg total151.8151.0152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+96%92%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWWWL77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %81%85%77%
Points / game87.791.783.7
Allowed / game70.571.269.8
Point differential+17.2+20.5+13.9
Avg total158.2162.9153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%77%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W2524196%95.456.4+39.0
2 Hogsbo W2621581%87.770.5+17.2
3 Norrkoping W2621581%81.968.8+13.1
4 Alvik W2213959%76.379.3-3.0
5 Sodertalje W25141156%75.972.7+3.2
6 Uppsala W2291341%65.272.5-7.3
7 AIK Basket W2281436%75.081.4-6.3
8 MarkSjuharad W2251723%67.883.9-16.0
9 Lund W2041620%73.585.2-11.7
10 Ostersund W2031715%64.083.8-19.8
11 Visby W2031715%61.586.3-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lulea W2122271888
Hogsbo W1520122067
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