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Lund W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-83
21-26 17-17 19-21 20-19
Position#9
Record7-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game78.7
Lund W
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
Position#3
Record12-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game73.8
SwedenBasketligan W· Eoshallen
Women2025-26
Meetings · Lund W v Hogsbo W
06 Mar 2027
LUND v HOGS
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
LUND77
HOGS83
30 Nov 2024
LUND80
HOGS97
25 Nov 2023
LUND75
HOGS69
15 Feb 2023
LUND81
HOGS68
24 Oct 2021
LUND59
HOGS69
23 Jan 2021
LUND74
HOGS76
10 Apr 2019
LUND49
HOGS80
04 Apr 2019
LUND51
HOGS68
22 Dec 2018
LUND61
HOGS58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
70avg 63
A30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
103-94 OT
103
94
+9
88avg 63
H06/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
77avg 63
H13/12
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 63
A17/12
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 63
H20/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
92-74
92
74
+18
79avg 63
H10/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
no box
A16/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
97-65
97
65
+32
no box
A18/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
58-70
58
70
-12
37avg 63
H24/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
86-67
86
67
+19
76avg 63
H07/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
17-25
17-26
26-21
16-18
20-21
29-19
20-27
18-16
14-17
16-18
19-16
23-24
12-18
19-20
23-23
16-23
24-17
17-14
23-19
22-13
15-19
33-19
22-23
12-34
16-26
15-25
18-12
17-20
26-13
31-17
23-15
20-18
13-20
11-15
14-17
16-17
21-22
25-9
24-19
161.9Avg total
82.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.978.7155.7-1.839%
Season at home (9)81.177.7158.8+3.467%
Season away (9)72.879.8152.6-7.011%
Last 10 (10)82.179.8161.9+2.360%
Last 5 (5)78.874.6153.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.483.4154.8-12.116%
vs Similar (2)90.089.5179.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (9)83.873.2157.0+10.667%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
87avg 80
A08/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
61-53
61
53
+8
58avg 80
H22/11
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
86-45
86
45
+41
88avg 80
H28/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
95-83
95
83
+12
97avg 80
H30/11
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
105-70
105
70
+35
99avg 80
H13/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
82avg 80
H20/12
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
73avg 80
A11/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
82-67
82
67
+15
68avg 80
A24/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
87-82
87
82
+5
90avg 80
H30/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
58avg 80
H07/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-20
17-26
21-15
11-29
13-8
9-11
17-18
22-16
21-14
22-15
25-8
18-8
23-23
25-17
26-17
21-26
25-21
26-15
29-20
25-14
19-17
19-18
23-14
25-21
14-20
25-15
22-23
23-25
21-18
16-15
17-12
28-22
20-18
21-24
19-24
27-16
27-23
15-20
15-23
16-25
157.8Avg total
84.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.473.8159.2+11.671%
Season at home (9)86.172.7158.8+13.478%
Season away (8)84.675.0159.6+9.662%
Last 10 (10)84.473.4157.8+11.080%
Last 5 (5)82.478.6161.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.085.2161.2-9.240%
vs Similar (11)79.073.5152.5+5.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.671.9162.5+18.886%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
Lund WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H06/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H13/12
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/12
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H20/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H10/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A16/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A18/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H24/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H07/02
Basketligan W
76.5Avg total
36.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.376.8-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.237.574.7-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)35.943.078.9-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)36.140.476.5-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.476.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.842.578.3-6.721%-
vs Similar (2)35.540.576.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (9)38.435.674.0+2.967%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A08/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
22-19
22
19
+3
H22/11
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H28/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H30/11
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H13/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H20/12
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A24/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H30/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/02
Basketligan W
77.2Avg total
41.4Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.578.6+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.537.779.2+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.737.378.0+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.877.2+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.677.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.020%-
vs Similar (11)38.036.774.7+1.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.036.181.1+8.986%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.621.5
40.9%
46.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.7
31.2%
31.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws23.016.0
69.6%
72.5%16.0
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.0
50.1%
46.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.7
30.4%
31.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.318.1
74.5%
72.5%18.1
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
WLWLWWLWWL
Hogsbo W
LWWWWWWWWL
#9
League position
#3
+2.3
Net rating
+13.8
87.4
Offensive rating
98.2
85.1
Defensive rating
84.5
42.6%
Effective FG%
48.2%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.1%
19.9%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.2%
3-point %
30.4%
59.6%
Assist %
67.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence87.4 · 98.2Defence85.1 · 84.5Shooting42.6% · 48.2%3-point %31.2% · 30.4%Ball care19.9% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.5% · 36.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Lund W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lund W wins
7
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
30/11/25Hogsbo W v Lund W95-83
01/03/25Hogsbo W v Lund W99-83
30/11/24Lund W v Hogsbo W80-97
24/02/24Hogsbo W v Lund W103-70
25/11/23Lund W v Hogsbo W75-69
15/02/23Lund W v Hogsbo W81-68
10/12/22Hogsbo W v Lund W74-82
09/03/22Hogsbo W v Lund W77-59
24/10/21Lund W v Hogsbo W59-69
23/01/21Lund W v Hogsbo W74-76
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HRIG Lulea W86-67
24/01/26HNorrkoping W58-70
18/01/26ARIG Lulea W97-65
16/01/26ALulea W61-97
10/01/26HVisby W92-74
20/12/25HAIK Basket W80-73
17/12/25AMalbas Malmo W77-85
13/12/25HBrahe W84-78 OT
06/12/25HAlvik W103-94 OT
30/11/25AHogsbo W83-95
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HNorrkoping W73-91
30/01/26HLulea W87-82
24/01/26AVisby W82-67
11/01/26ANorrkoping W84-83
20/12/25HBrahe W86-70
13/12/25HMalbas Malmo W105-70
30/11/25HLund W95-83
28/11/25HRIG Lulea W86-45
22/11/25HSodertalje W61-53
08/11/25AUppsala W85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW39%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%67%11%
Points / game76.981.172.8
Allowed / game78.777.779.8
Point differential-1.8+3.4-7.0
Avg total155.7158.8152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %11%22%0%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%78%62%
Points / game85.486.184.6
Allowed / game73.872.775.0
Point differential+11.6+13.4+9.6
Avg total159.2158.8159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W1816289%91.663.1+28.4
2 Uppsala W1915479%80.671.5+9.1
3 Hogsbo W1712571%85.473.8+11.6
4 AIK Basket W1913668%79.973.7+6.2
5 Sodertalje W1811761%78.669.7+8.8
6 Ostersund W1710759%81.874.4+7.4
7 Malbas Malmo W1810856%75.377.2-1.9
8 Norrkoping W189950%80.776.3+4.4
9 Alvik W1881044%75.773.2+2.5
10 Lund W1871139%76.978.7-1.8
11 Brahe W1751229%68.675.0-6.4
12 Visby W191185%58.789.5-30.7
13 RIG Lulea W201195%53.085.4-32.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lund W2117192077
Hogsbo W2617211983
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