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Sampaense vs Ginasio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 86-96
24-36 28-14 22-24 12-22
Position#11
Record8-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Ginasio 🏆
Portugal
Position#14
Record7-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game86.3
PortugalProligaRound 4· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sampaense v Ginasio
20 Dec 2025
SAMP85
GINA76
15 Feb 2025
SAMP86
GINA96
07 Dec 2024
SAMP101
GINA90
19 Dec 2020
SAMP71
GINA75
12 Nov 2011
SAMP76
GINA49
27 Mar 2011
SAMP80
GINA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ginasio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Braga
#1
L
59-96
59
96
-37
44avg 66
A30/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
101-90
101
90
+11
no box
H07/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 66
A14/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
95-105 OT
95
105
-10
89avg 66
H21/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 66
A28/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
75-87
75
87
-12
72avg 66
A04/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
97-84
97
84
+13
72avg 66
H11/01
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 66
H25/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 66
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-74
84
74
+10
87avg 66
A08/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
18-23
13-23
12-26
21-22
25-22
25-19
30-27
15-25
20-19
21-22
20-17
18-22
29-22
27-26
18-22
17-18
21-24
27-19
21-22
11-21
16-27
19-16
29-23
20-10
33-24
23-24
21-26
27-18
23-25
18-16
18-14
18-18
18-21
16-13
27-21
22-21
19-19
24-16
19-18
168.6Avg total
83.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.283.6162.8-4.547%
Season at home (8)81.984.2166.1-2.462%
Season away (9)76.883.1159.9-6.333%
Last 10 (10)83.884.8168.6-1.060%
Last 5 (5)84.278.2162.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)68.581.9150.5-13.412%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.580.7165.2+3.764%
vs Weaker (2)80.576.0156.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
A07/12
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
101-66
101
66
+35
111avg 67
H14/12
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
76-109
76
109
-33
65avg 67
A21/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
59avg 67
H28/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
69avg 67
H04/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
55-101
55
101
-46
34avg 67
A11/01
Proliga
Galomar
#8
L
69-84
69
84
-15
52avg 67
H18/01
Taca de Portugal
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
83-77
83
77
+6
77avg 67
H25/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
76-98
76
98
-22
60avg 67
A02/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 67
H08/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
22-25
19-25
27-30
22-19
34-13
28-18
17-16
23-27
15-22
25-35
13-25
30-22
16-26
21-21
17-23
25-19
25-21
18-31
15-21
18-24
18-30
12-29
7-18
18-28
19-21
23-19
9-16
22-22
17-19
21-20
23-16
18-24
19-28
26-21
13-25
26-13
18-20
25-18
21-26
170.4Avg total
80.7Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.286.3166.5-6.141%
Season at home (9)84.379.6163.9+4.867%
Season away (8)75.693.9169.5-18.212%
Last 10 (10)80.789.7170.4-9.030%
Last 5 (5)74.687.4162.0-12.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)71.190.5161.6-19.521%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.479.0161.4+3.457%
vs Weaker (3)74.074.3148.3-0.367%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -5.4-5.4
SampaenseGinasio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braga
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A30/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H21/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A04/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H11/01
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H25/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/02
Proliga
83.2Avg total
40.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.677.3-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.438.679.0+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)33.342.475.8-9.16%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.583.2-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.882.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.940.574.4-6.624%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.341.081.3-0.745%-
vs Weaker (2)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A07/12
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H14/12
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A21/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H04/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A11/01
Proliga
Galomar
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H18/01
Taca de Portugal
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H25/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A02/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H08/02
Proliga
87.1Avg total
42.7Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.482.0-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.339.980.2+0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)36.747.484.1-10.67%-
Last 10 (10)42.744.487.1-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.645.884.4-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.246.284.4-8.021%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.337.781.0+5.657%-
vs Weaker (3)31.037.068.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.423.1
57.2%
49.9%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.2
28.7%
30.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.715.0
72.5%
68.4%15.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.916.5
55.2%
49.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.4
29.8%
30.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
68.4%16.4
They take 54.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
WWWWLWLLWL
Ginasio
WLWLLLLLWL
#11
League position
#14
-5.0
Net rating
-14.6
102.9
Offensive rating
101.5
107.9
Defensive rating
116.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
20.5%
Turnover %
18.9%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.40
28.7%
3-point %
29.8%
57.7%
Assist %
51.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 101.5Defence107.9 · 116.1Shooting52.3% · 50.5%3-point %28.7% · 29.8%Ball care20.5% · 18.9%Off. rebounds29.0% · 23.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Sampaense   ■ Ginasio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sampaense wins
3
Ginasio wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Sampaense v Ginasio101-90
12/10/24Ginasio v Sampaense78-72
19/12/20Sampaense v Ginasio71-75
04/12/20Ginasio v Sampaense80-90
11/02/12Ginasio v Sampaense54-90
12/11/11Sampaense v Ginasio76-49
27/03/11Sampaense v Ginasio80-85
18/12/10Ginasio v Sampaense72-83
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25ABenfica Lisboa B84-74
01/02/25AMaia79-73
25/01/25HBarreirense86-73
11/01/25HMaia97-84
04/01/25AIlliabum75-87
28/12/24AGalitos Aveiro86-83
21/12/24HSangalhos95-105 OT
14/12/24AVasco Da Gama76-83
07/12/24HGinasio101-90
30/11/24ABraga59-96
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HBarreirense90-77
02/02/25ASanto Andre76-98
25/01/25HGalitos Aveiro83-77
18/01/25HGalomar69-84
11/01/25ASangalhos55-101
04/01/25HVasco Da Gama83-92
28/12/24HIlliabum84-92
21/12/24ABraga76-109
14/12/24HMaia101-66
07/12/24ASampaense90-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW47%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLWLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%62%33%
Points / game79.281.976.8
Allowed / game83.684.283.1
Point differential-4.5-2.4-6.3
Avg total162.8166.1159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Ginasio
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW41%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%67%12%
Points / game80.284.375.6
Allowed / game86.379.693.9
Point differential-6.1+4.8-18.2
Avg total166.5163.9169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga1714382%86.270.2+16.0
2 Vasco Da Gama1814478%82.876.6+6.2
3 CB Queluz1712571%77.572.9+4.6
4 Illiabum1711665%75.667.9+7.8
5 Portimonense1711665%76.472.7+3.7
6 CAB Madeira1811761%74.768.3+6.4
7 Santo Andre1810856%71.968.9+2.9
8 Imortal B178947%67.270.2-3.0
9 Sampaense178947%79.283.6-4.5
10 Sangalhos1771041%77.877.4+0.4
11 Lusitania1771041%72.773.6-0.9
12 Ginasio1771041%80.286.3-6.1
13 Maia1771041%75.582.2-6.7
14 Barreirense1751229%70.375.1-4.8
15 Benfica Lisboa B1751229%66.475.1-8.7
16 Galitos Aveiro181176%66.179.5-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense2428221286
Ginasio3614242296
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