Lusitania vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2017

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 78-82

20-18 22-18 21-29 15-17

Position#10

Record4-12

FormLLLLW

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game81.4

Lusitania

Illiabum 🏆

Position#8

Record10-6

FormWWWLW

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game73.6

LPBRound 17

Other2016-17

Meetings · Lusitania v Illiabum

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illiabum winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

62-75

-13

H19/11

LPB

Oliveirense

68-78

-10

H26/11

LPB

Benfica

82-91

-9

H03/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

74-92

-18

H08/12

LPB

Sampaense

#11

88-83

H10/12

LPB

Galitos

77-89

-12

A17/12

LPB

Vitoria

68-77

-9

A19/12

LPB

FC Porto

83-92

-9

A07/01

LPB

Ovarense

73-78 OT

-5

H14/01

LPB

Maia

#12

89-82

A21/01

LPB

18-17

17-19

12-23

15-16

17-18

16-23

20-22

15-15

28-25

19-33

21-14

14-19

12-16

20-26

17-25

25-25

16-18

26-25

16-22

30-18

19-18

21-26

14-20

23-25

19-20

11-13

20-20

18-24

19-19

14-26

30-20

20-27

13-22

18-12

21-17

19-20

20-19

27-17

21-30

21-16

160.1Avg total

76.4Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	74.4	81.4	155.8	-7.0	25%
Season at home (10)	75.8	81.5	157.3	-5.7	30%
Season away (6)	72.0	81.2	153.2	-9.2	17%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	83.7	160.1	-7.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	83.6	161.6	-5.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	73.2	82.9	156.1	-9.8	11%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	76.8	80.5	157.3	-3.7	67%
vs Weaker (6)	81.5	74.8	156.3	+6.7	83%

This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illiabum

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

79-54

+25

H12/11

LPB

Galitos

59-71

-12

H27/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

71-70

A03/12

LPB

FC Porto

73-85

-12

A08/12

LPB

Vitoria

68-71

-3

H11/12

LPB

Ovarense

84-73

+11

A17/12

LPB

Maia

#12

86-65

+21

H30/12

LPB

Oliveirense

86-83 OT

H07/01

LPB

Electrico FC

85-90

-5

A14/01

LPB

Benfica

85-71

+14

H22/01

LPB

20-14

20-6

12-18

27-16

13-18

17-15

20-20

9-18

14-21

26-17

13-24

18-8

23-17

16-18

16-26

18-24

15-24

19-14

17-20

17-13

13-22

26-15

19-22

26-14

29-20

13-22

28-11

16-12

26-23

20-17

15-19

14-16

18-23

26-30

19-19

22-18

24-20

23-20

22-23

16-8

150.9Avg total

77.6Scored

73.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	78.5	73.6	152.1	+4.9	62%
Season at home (8)	78.2	66.6	144.9	+11.6	75%
Season away (8)	78.8	80.6	159.4	-1.9	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	73.3	150.9	+4.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	76.4	161.6	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	71.6	76.6	148.2	-4.9	32%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	78.8	75.8	154.5	+3.0	50%
vs Weaker (3)	87.3	74.7	162.0	+12.7	100%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaIlliabum

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.7	37.0	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	19.1	36.8	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	20.4	37.3	-3.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.2	37.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.3	21.2	38.5	-3.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	15.3	18.8	34.2	-3.5	17%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.0	19.3	37.2	-1.3	44%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	17.6	36.2	+0.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	20.8	38.2	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.6	19.8	36.4	-3.2	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.9	16.4	34.3	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.0	23.0	49.0	+3.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	21.9	40.9	-2.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.0	40.9	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.7	21.7	39.4	-4.1	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.8	19.5	43.3	+4.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.6	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.6	65%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.3	20.7	37.0	-4.3	33%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

35-36

-1

H19/11

LPB

Oliveirense

33-41

-8

H26/11

LPB

Benfica

47-58

-11

H03/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

32-42

-10

H08/12

LPB

Sampaense

#11

42-43

-1

H10/12

LPB

Galitos

40-44

-4

A17/12

LPB

Vitoria

30-33

-3

A19/12

LPB

FC Porto

33-45

-12

A07/01

LPB

Ovarense

31-34

-3

H14/01

LPB

Maia

#12

47-36

+11

A21/01

LPB

78.2Avg total

37.0Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	40.6	77.2	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.8	41.0	77.8	-4.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	40.1	76.6	-3.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	41.2	78.2	-4.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	38.4	74.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	35.7	41.2	76.9	-5.6	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	36.8	41.0	77.8	-4.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.2	38.3	77.5	+0.8	50%	-

This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

40-20

+20

H12/11

LPB

Galitos

30-33

-3

H27/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

40-38

A03/12

LPB

FC Porto

39-35

A08/12

LPB

Vitoria

34-38

-4

H11/12

LPB

Ovarense

39-37

A17/12

LPB

Maia

#12

42-42

H30/12

LPB

Oliveirense

46-40

H07/01

LPB

Electrico FC

44-53

-9

A14/01

LPB

Benfica

47-40

H22/01

LPB

77.7Avg total

40.1Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	37.2	37.9	75.1	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.9	35.5	73.4	+2.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	40.2	76.7	-3.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	37.6	77.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	42.4	86.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	35.4	37.9	73.2	-2.5	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	39.4	35.6	75.0	+3.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.3	43.7	86.0	-1.3	33%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	20.2	39.4	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.0	17.5	34.5	-0.5	17%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.0	19.3	36.4	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.9	17.5	35.4	+0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.2	21.1	37.3	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.9	19.9	36.8	-3.1	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	15.0	19.4	34.4	-4.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	15.7	38.3	+7.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.7	21.6	40.2	-2.9	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	17.3	39.8	+5.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+1.9	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	15.6	33.5	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	14.7	33.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	13.6	32.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.2	17.7	35.9	+0.5	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	15.3	37.7	+7.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	39.7	78.0	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	37.6	75.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	42.0	80.4	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	41.8	81.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	43.8	85.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	37.4	41.3	78.7	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	40.0	39.5	79.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.5	34.8	74.3	+4.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	36.6	37.0	73.6	-0.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.8	33.1	68.8	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	40.6	77.9	-3.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	34.9	71.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	32.4	71.8	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	35.1	37.6	72.8	-2.5	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	36.6	37.9	74.4	-1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	45.0	31.0	76.0	+14.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Illiabum wins

Date	Game	Score
12/11/16	Illiabum v Lusitania	79-54
07/03/15	Lusitania v Illiabum	72-62
06/12/14	Illiabum v Lusitania	62-75
26/03/11	Lusitania v Illiabum	96-91
18/12/10	Illiabum v Lusitania	73-78

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/17	A	Maia	89-82
14/01/17	H	Ovarense	73-78 OT
07/01/17	A	FC Porto	83-92
19/12/16	A	Vitoria	68-77
17/12/16	A	Galitos	77-89
10/12/16	H	Sampaense	88-83
08/12/16	H	CAB Madeira	74-92
03/12/16	H	Benfica	82-91
26/11/16	H	Oliveirense	68-78
19/11/16	H	Electrico FC	62-75

Illiabumlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/17	H	Benfica	85-71
14/01/17	A	Electrico FC	85-90
07/01/17	H	Oliveirense	86-83 OT
30/12/16	H	Maia	86-65
17/12/16	A	Ovarense	84-73
11/12/16	H	Vitoria	68-71
08/12/16	A	FC Porto	73-85
03/12/16	A	CAB Madeira	71-70
27/11/16	H	Galitos	59-71
12/11/16	H	Lusitania	79-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	25%
Home	LLLWL	30%
Away	LLLLW	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	10	6
Win %	25%	30%	17%
Points / game	74.4	75.8	72.0
Allowed / game	81.4	81.5	81.2
Point differential	-7.0	-5.7	-9.2
Avg total	155.8	157.3	153.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (4)	-
Overtime %	6%	10%	0%

Illiabum

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	62%
Home	LLWWW	75%
Away	LWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	62%	75%	50%
Points / game	78.5	78.2	78.8
Allowed / game	73.6	66.6	80.6
Point differential	+4.9	+11.6	-1.9
Avg total	152.1	144.9	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	62%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	16	13	3	81%	86.3	68.7	+17.6
2	Benfica	17	13	4	76%	82.1	69.6	+12.5
3	Oliveirense	16	12	4	75%	72.1	64.2	+7.9
4	Vitoria	16	12	4	75%	80.0	76.0	+4.0
5	Galitos	16	11	5	69%	74.8	71.6	+3.2
6	Illiabum	16	10	6	62%	78.5	73.6	+4.9
7	Ovarense	17	8	9	47%	75.2	78.1	-2.9
8	CAB Madeira	17	7	10	41%	77.7	76.0	+1.7
9	Lusitania	16	4	12	25%	74.4	81.4	-7.0
10	Electrico FC	17	4	13	24%	72.1	85.6	-13.5
11	Maia	16	3	13	19%	75.5	82.9	-7.4
12	Sampaense	16	1	15	6%	69.4	90.3	-20.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	20	22	21	15	78
Illiabum	18	18	29	17	82

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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