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Lusitania vs Illiabum Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game74.4
PortugalProligaRound 10· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lusitania v Illiabum
05 Dec 2026
LUSI v ILLI
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
LUSI64
ILLI65
18 Dec 2021
LUSI80
ILLI70
16 Nov 2019
LUSI106
ILLI79
16 Feb 2019
LUSI94
ILLI86
13 Jan 2018
LUSI92
ILLI97
28 Jan 2017
LUSI78
ILLI82
07 Mar 2015
LUSI72
ILLI62
26 Mar 2011
LUSI96
ILLI91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 83
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
109avg 83
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 83
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 83
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 83
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
88-56
88
56
+32
89avg 83
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 83
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
77-82
77
82
-5
73avg 83
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 83
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
19-15
15-20
23-16
16-17
21-16
24-19
30-12
13-9
23-18
17-19
16-21
21-17
18-28
26-8
15-25
18-21
13-18
13-33
22-19
32-15
23-17
24-25
17-11
29-15
159.4Avg total
85.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.372.3153.7+9.067%
Season at home (4)80.874.0154.8+6.875%
Season away (2)82.569.0151.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)85.573.9159.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)83.073.2156.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)80.775.8156.5+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.773.5161.2+14.286%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
77avg 65
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
74avg 65
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
51avg 65
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
52avg 65
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
48avg 65
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 65
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
70-99
70
99
-29
53avg 65
A24/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
63-68
63
68
-5
53avg 65
H31/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
87-85
87
85
+2
no box
H14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
17-20
20-15
15-16
21-27
23-27
16-17
14-17
15-13
8-21
17-13
20-29
18-22
21-16
20-21
26-16
19-24
10-14
19-11
9-12
14-16
22-18
21-25
18-11
18-26
12-21
20-26
20-26
14-12
8-18
18-14
23-24
20-23
24-15
18-12
20-13
23-26
23-19
23-18
18-22
148.3Avg total
72.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.174.4148.6-0.357%
Season at home (4)77.574.5152.0+3.075%
Season away (3)69.774.3144.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)72.975.4148.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)75.477.0152.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)64.872.8137.6-8.020%
vs Similar (14)69.673.4142.9-3.843%
vs Weaker (11)82.568.1150.6+14.582%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
LusitaniaIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/11
Proliga
81.7Avg total
43.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.180.3+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.675.9+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.241.085.2+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.681.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (6)39.738.878.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.437.580.9+5.968%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A24/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H31/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A07/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H14/11
Proliga
75.0Avg total
35.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.235.873.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.336.576.8+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)34.135.169.2-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.439.675.0-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.874.4-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.033.062.0-4.040%-
vs Similar (14)35.038.273.2-3.236%-
vs Weaker (11)43.734.077.7+9.791%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.4
55.6%
52.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
30.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.5
72.7%
67.3%12.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.4
48.3%
52.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.7
29.5%
30.6%17.1
🏀 Free throws20.513.9
67.8%
67.3%13.9
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
WLLWWWWWWW
Illiabum
WWLLWLWLLW
#5
League position
#7
+13.5
Net rating
-3.7
95.6
Offensive rating
83.3
82.1
Defensive rating
87.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
46.9%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.3%
3-point %
29.5%
67.2%
Assist %
64.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 83.3Defence82.1 · 87.0Shooting53.2% · 46.9%3-point %32.3% · 29.5%Ball care16.2% · 18.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Lusitania   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lusitania wins
4
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
07/12/25Lusitania v Illiabum64-65
19/10/25Illiabum v Lusitania81-63
18/12/21Lusitania v Illiabum80-70
02/10/21Illiabum v Lusitania83-89
15/02/20Illiabum v Lusitania78-83
16/11/19Lusitania v Illiabum106-79
16/02/19Lusitania v Illiabum94-86 OT
17/11/18Illiabum v Lusitania85-78
13/01/18Lusitania v Illiabum92-97
21/10/17Illiabum v Lusitania95-98
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBarreirense93-68
31/10/26HSanto Andre80-85
24/10/26AMaia77-82
17/10/26HGalomar77-75
11/10/26AGinasio Olhanense88-56
05/10/26HBarcelos73-68
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGinasio Olhanense87-85
07/11/26ABarcelos82-63
31/10/26HGalitos Aveiro63-68
24/10/26ASampaense70-99
17/10/26HGalitos Barreiro75-70
10/10/26ACB Queluz57-61
03/10/26HAcademica85-75
16/05/26ACAB Madeira60-76
09/05/26HCAB Madeira74-88
01/05/26HGinasio76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.380.882.5
Allowed / game72.374.069.0
Point differential+9.0+6.8+13.5
Avg total153.7154.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illiabum
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game74.177.569.7
Allowed / game74.474.574.3
Point differential-0.3+3.0-4.7
Avg total148.6152.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
6 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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