Lusitania vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 May 2019

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 77-86

25-23 17-22 14-18 21-23

Position#6

Record15-19

FormLLWLL

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game84.2

Lusitania

Ovarense 🏆

Position#4

Record17-17

FormLWLWW

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game77.3

LPBLPB - Quarter-finals

Other2018-19

Meetings · Lusitania v Ovarense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ovarense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

74-98

-24

A31/03

LPB

Benfica

76-91

-15

H04/04

LPB

Ovarense

72-69

H07/04

LPB

FC Porto

79-85 OT

-6

H20/04

LPB

Terceira

#11

84-60

+24

A25/04

LPB

Oliveirense

98-100

100

-2

H27/04

LPB

Benfica

76-113

113

-37

A02/05

LPB

Ovarense

90-82

A05/05

LPB

Ovarense

63-68

-5

A09/05

LPB

Ovarense

69-86

-17

A11/05

LPB

19-34

16-24

25-26

14-14

11-22

26-20

21-26

18-23

22-13

19-21

16-25

15-10

17-26

8-17

27-12

20-17

21-19

22-11

22-18

19-12

24-29

25-25

22-18

27-28

26-29

16-27

19-26

15-31

22-19

25-15

22-20

21-28

12-17

21-17

11-12

19-22

16-20

11-12

15-31

27-23

163.3Avg total

78.1Scored

85.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	80.1	84.2	164.3	-4.1	44%
Season at home (16)	80.7	83.1	163.8	-2.4	50%
Season away (18)	79.6	85.2	164.8	-5.6	39%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	85.2	163.3	-7.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	89.8	169.0	-10.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	75.6	88.1	163.7	-12.5	13%
vs Similar (9)	89.2	84.0	173.2	+5.2	89%
vs Weaker (5)	83.4	80.6	164.0	+2.8	60%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

80-57

+23

H31/03

LPB

Terceira

#11

89-83

A05/04

LPB

Lusitania

69-72

-3

A07/04

LPB

Oliveirense

68-70

-2

H19/04

LPB

FC Porto

73-99

-26

A25/04

LPB

Benfica

61-90

-29

A27/04

LPB

Terceira

#11

98-76

+22

H03/05

LPB

Lusitania

82-90

-8

H05/05

LPB

Lusitania

68-63

H09/05

LPB

Lusitania

86-69

+17

H11/05

LPB

24-15

20-13

19-19

17-10

22-14

22-19

21-27

24-23

13-22

21-19

25-16

10-15

11-18

16-13

20-20

21-19

13-25

16-22

27-30

17-22

9-27

13-24

19-18

20-21

20-18

31-16

25-24

22-18

19-22

15-25

20-22

28-21

17-12

17-21

12-11

22-19

20-16

12-11

31-15

23-27

154.3Avg total

77.4Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	77.6	77.3	155.0	+0.3	50%
Season at home (18)	78.9	74.4	153.3	+4.5	56%
Season away (16)	76.2	80.6	156.9	-4.4	44%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	76.9	154.3	+0.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	77.6	156.6	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	68.2	81.8	149.9	-13.6	17%
vs Similar (1)	82.0	60.0	142.0	+22.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	83.2	76.1	159.2	+7.1	69%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaOvarense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	19.1	37.5	-0.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.7	36.5	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	20.7	38.5	-2.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.9	35.7	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	15.7	21.6	37.2	-5.9	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.1	17.3	37.4	+2.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.1	37.8	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	19.9	37.7	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	20.3	37.8	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.1	21.9	38.9	-4.8	27%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	14.8	32.9	+3.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	12.0	35.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.6	17.4	35.9	+1.2	62%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

35-58

-23

A31/03

LPB

Benfica

37-42

-5

H04/04

LPB

Ovarense

41-34

H07/04

LPB

FC Porto

25-43

-18

H20/04

LPB

Terceira

#11

43-30

+13

A25/04

LPB

Oliveirense

49-54

-5

H27/04

LPB

Benfica

42-56

-14

A02/05

LPB

Ovarense

47-34

+13

A05/05

LPB

Ovarense

33-34

-1

A09/05

LPB

Ovarense

27-32

-5

A11/05

LPB

79.6Avg total

37.9Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	41.0	78.1	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	40.5	77.4	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	41.4	78.8	-4.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	41.7	79.6	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	42.0	81.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	35.1	43.0	78.1	-7.9	13%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.1	41.4	81.6	-1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.8	35.4	74.2	+3.4	60%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

44-28

+16

H31/03

LPB

Terceira

#11

44-33

+11

A05/04

LPB

Lusitania

34-41

-7

A07/04

LPB

Oliveirense

27-31

-4

H19/04

LPB

FC Porto

29-47

-18

A25/04

LPB

Benfica

22-51

-29

A27/04

LPB

Terceira

#11

51-34

+17

H03/05

LPB

Lusitania

34-47

-13

H05/05

LPB

Lusitania

34-33

H09/05

LPB

Lusitania

32-27

H11/05

LPB

72.3Avg total

35.1Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.7	37.2	73.9	-0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	32.5	69.4	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	42.4	78.7	-6.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	37.2	72.3	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	38.4	73.0	-3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	33.2	41.2	74.4	-7.9	17%	-
vs Similar (1)	45.0	31.0	76.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	38.7	34.7	73.4	+4.0	69%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.1	42.0	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.1	42.1	-2.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.5	22.1	42.6	-1.5	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	20.9	39.4	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.0	21.9	39.9	-3.9	17%	-
vs Similar (1)	18.0	14.0	32.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.8	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.9	42.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	20.2	42.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	26.4	48.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.5	22.2	41.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.9	21.2	45.1	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.5	40.7	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.2	44.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.6	17.1	33.7	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	41.9	84.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	41.5	83.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	42.3	84.6	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	42.2	81.7	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	47.8	87.4	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	40.0	44.3	84.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	47.1	41.4	88.6	+5.7	78%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.8	39.0	78.8	+0.8	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.1	40.0	80.1	+0.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	40.0	81.9	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	39.9	78.1	-1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	39.7	82.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	39.2	83.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	34.6	39.0	73.6	-4.4	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	37.0	29.0	66.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	44.5	41.4	85.9	+3.1	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Ovarense wins

Date	Game	Score
11/05/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	86-69
09/05/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	68-63
05/05/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	82-90
07/04/19	Lusitania v Ovarense	72-69
29/12/18	Ovarense v Lusitania	84-78
06/10/18	Lusitania v Ovarense	67-73
06/05/18	Ovarense v Lusitania	78-97
15/04/18	Lusitania v Ovarense	79-71
10/02/18	Ovarense v Lusitania	73-65
07/10/17	Lusitania v Ovarense	79-75

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/05/19	A	Ovarense	69-86
09/05/19	A	Ovarense	63-68
05/05/19	A	Ovarense	90-82
02/05/19	A	Benfica	76-113
27/04/19	H	Oliveirense	98-100
25/04/19	A	Terceira	84-60
20/04/19	H	FC Porto	79-85 OT
07/04/19	H	Ovarense	72-69
04/04/19	H	Benfica	76-91
31/03/19	A	Oliveirense	74-98

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/05/19	H	Lusitania	86-69
09/05/19	H	Lusitania	68-63
05/05/19	H	Lusitania	82-90
03/05/19	H	Terceira	98-76
27/04/19	A	Benfica	61-90
25/04/19	A	FC Porto	73-99
19/04/19	H	Oliveirense	68-70
07/04/19	A	Lusitania	69-72
05/04/19	A	Terceira	89-83
31/03/19	H	Benfica	80-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	44%
Home	WLWLL	50%
Away	WLWLL	39%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	16	18
Win %	44%	50%	39%
Points / game	80.1	80.7	79.6
Allowed / game	84.2	83.1	85.2
Point differential	-4.1	-2.4	-5.6
Avg total	164.3	163.8	164.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	6%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	83% (6)	40% (5)
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

Ovarense

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	50%
Home	LWLWW	56%
Away	LWLLL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	18	16
Win %	50%	56%	44%
Points / game	77.6	78.9	76.2
Allowed / game	77.3	74.4	80.6
Point differential	+0.3	+4.5	-4.4
Avg total	155.0	153.3	156.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Oliveirense	34	31	3	91%	88.1	72.7	+15.3
2	Benfica	34	29	5	85%	89.6	74.2	+15.4
3	FC Porto	34	26	8	76%	88.9	79.4	+9.4
4	Ovarense	34	17	17	50%	77.6	77.3	+0.3
5	CAB Madeira	34	16	18	47%	77.6	80.7	-3.1
6	Lusitania	34	15	19	44%	80.1	84.2	-4.1
7	Illiabum	34	14	20	41%	79.0	83.1	-4.1
8	Galitos	32	13	19	41%	79.4	83.0	-3.7
9	Esgueira	32	12	20	38%	77.7	82.8	-5.1
10	Vitoria	32	11	21	34%	79.4	82.0	-2.6
11	Terceira	34	10	24	29%	77.5	88.1	-10.5
12	Imortal	32	6	26	19%	77.3	85.9	-8.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	25	17	14	21	77
Ovarense	23	22	18	23	86

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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