Lusitania vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 20:30

Final 77-68

24-26 15-12 16-17 22-13

Position#4

Record5-8

FormLWLLW

Points / game71.8

Allowed / game75.6

Lusitania 🏆

Ovarense

Position#7

Record6-8

FormWLWLW

Points / game72.4

Allowed / game71.2

LPBRound 16

Other2013-14

Meetings · Lusitania v Ovarense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ovarense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

69-66

A24/11

LPB

Vitoria

77-92 OT

-15

H30/11

LPB

Sampaense

81-89

-8

A08/12

LPB

Maia

#11

67-53

+14

H14/12

LPB

Oliveirense

87-67

+20

A21/12

LPB

Barcelos

#10

70-73

-3

H04/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

81-69

+12

A12/01

LPB

Benfica

66-73

-7

H25/01

LPB

Alges

76-82

-6

A08/02

LPB

Galitos

79-66

+13

H15/02

LPB

18-14

22-13

16-19

13-20

20-17

20-19

13-20

20-17

18-26

20-17

19-20

24-26

18-11

13-11

18-14

18-17

18-12

21-18

23-12

25-25

19-13

12-21

20-16

19-23

20-14

22-18

23-18

16-19

14-21

15-14

19-22

18-16

–

19-14

22-20

20-12

18-20

148.3Avg total

75.3Scored

73.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	71.8	75.6	147.5	-3.8	38%
Season at home (6)	68.7	70.0	138.7	-1.3	33%
Season away (7)	74.6	80.4	155.0	-5.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	75.3	73.0	148.3	+2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	72.6	147.0	+1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	62.5	76.9	139.5	-14.4	15%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	73.7	72.9	146.6	+0.8	58%
vs Weaker (5)	71.2	68.0	139.2	+3.2	60%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

66-69

-3

H24/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

75-88

-13

A01/12

LPB

Vitoria

81-74

H07/12

LPB

Sampaense

70-77

-7

H21/12

LPB

Benfica

75-85

-10

H04/01

LPB

Maia

#11

71-58

+13

A12/01

LPB

Alges

53-63

-10

A18/01

LPB

Oliveirense

86-72

+14

H25/01

LPB

Galitos

60-66

-6

A09/02

LPB

Barcelos

#10

86-58

+28

H15/02

LPB

14-18

13-22

19-16

20-13

16-23

14-23

27-20

18-22

17-26

25-7

22-20

17-21

6-9

32-20

8-30

24-18

11-24

14-23

26-17

24-21

17-13

22-19

17-12

15-14

12-23

17-13

17-16

7-11

17-16

17-13

26-16

26-27

21-16

11-14

19-14

9-22

23-13

19-13

24-12

20-20

143.3Avg total

72.3Scored

71.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	72.4	71.2	143.6	+1.2	43%
Season at home (8)	77.2	73.5	150.8	+3.8	50%
Season away (6)	66.0	68.2	134.2	-2.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	72.3	71.0	143.3	+1.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	63.4	134.6	+7.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	66.7	79.9	146.6	-13.1	14%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	72.6	75.0	147.6	-2.4	46%
vs Weaker (10)	73.7	67.5	141.2	+6.2	60%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaOvarense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	16.8	17.9	34.7	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.5	15.6	32.1	+0.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.2	15.8	34.0	+2.4	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	14.8	32.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	16.8	16.6	33.4	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.6	14.4	32.0	+3.2	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	16.6	18.6	35.2	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.3	18.2	35.5	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.6	19.2	34.8	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	18.1	33.5	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.2	34.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.1	20.6	35.7	-5.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	15.1	17.8	32.9	-2.7	27%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	16.0	17.9	33.9	-1.9	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.1	17.3	33.4	-1.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.9	18.5	34.4	-2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.6	16.8	35.3	+1.8	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	13.3	19.9	33.2	-6.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.4	16.1	34.5	+2.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.6	16.8	34.4	+0.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	16.9	17.4	34.2	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	18.4	36.4	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.3	16.0	31.3	-0.7	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	16.7	35.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	14.4	31.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.7	15.9	31.6	-0.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.5	19.5	38.9	+0.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	14.9	16.1	31.0	-1.2	30%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

40-27

+13

A24/11

LPB

Vitoria

40-36

H30/11

LPB

Sampaense

38-43

-5

A08/12

LPB

Maia

#11

31-22

H14/12

LPB

Oliveirense

39-30

A21/12

LPB

Barcelos

#10

31-34

-3

H04/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

42-32

+10

A12/01

LPB

Benfica

29-35

-6

H25/01

LPB

Galitos

41-34

H15/02

LPB

69.3Avg total

36.8Scored

32.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	32.8	35.9	68.7	-3.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	32.5	32.9	65.5	-0.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.1	38.6	71.6	-5.5	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.8	32.6	69.3	+4.2	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	33.0	69.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	29.8	40.4	70.2	-10.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	35.2	32.7	67.9	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	35.2	31.2	66.4	+4.0	60%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

27-40

-13

H24/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

30-46

-16

A01/12

LPB

Vitoria

42-33

H07/12

LPB

Sampaense

38-29

H21/12

LPB

Benfica

25-47

-22

H04/01

LPB

Maia

#11

39-32

A12/01

LPB

Alges

29-36

-7

A18/01

LPB

Oliveirense

34-29

H25/01

LPB

Galitos

32-30

A09/02

LPB

Barcelos

#10

42-26

+16

H15/02

LPB

68.6Avg total

33.8Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	33.5	36.0	69.5	-2.5	36%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.4	36.6	71.9	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	30.9	35.2	66.2	-4.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	34.8	68.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	30.6	65.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	30.9	36.4	67.3	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	34.5	37.3	71.8	-2.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	34.1	34.3	68.4	-0.2	40%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	16.6	18.4	35.0	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.7	16.5	32.2	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.6	21.0	37.6	-4.4	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	16.0	16.6	32.6	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.0	15.6	33.6	+2.4	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.8	16.8	35.5	+2.0	64%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	17.1	35.9	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.6	16.4	35.0	+2.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	17.3	37.8	+3.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	14.0	34.6	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.1	17.7	35.8	+0.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.1	13.5	33.6	+6.6	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.2	18.3	35.5	-1.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	22.7	44.1	-1.3	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.3	20.3	39.7	-1.0	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.8	39%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.4	18.3	33.8	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.8	34.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.0	23.4	41.4	-5.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.5	18.4	35.8	-0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	36.0	39.0	75.0	-3.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	32.8	34.8	67.7	-2.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	42.8	81.7	-3.9	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.0	37.3	75.3	+0.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	36.6	76.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	35.9	41.3	77.2	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	36.1	37.2	73.3	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	36.0	36.8	72.8	-0.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.1	36.9	74.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	38.5	77.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	34.0	34.8	68.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	36.2	74.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	32.8	68.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.9	43.4	79.3	-7.6	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	35.5	36.1	71.6	-0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.6	33.2	72.8	+6.4	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Ovarense wins

Date	Game	Score
24/11/13	Ovarense v Lusitania	66-69
02/02/13	Lusitania v Ovarense	45-55
01/11/12	Ovarense v Lusitania	82-58
21/04/12	Lusitania v Ovarense	67-64
15/04/12	Ovarense v Lusitania	63-65
14/04/12	Ovarense v Lusitania	66-81
04/02/12	Ovarense v Lusitania	74-56
25/11/11	Lusitania v Ovarense	57-88
05/03/11	Ovarense v Lusitania	74-51
04/12/10	Lusitania v Ovarense	63-73

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/14	H	Galitos	79-66
08/02/14	A	Alges	76-82
25/01/14	H	Benfica	66-73
12/01/14	A	CAB Madeira	81-69
04/01/14	H	Barcelos	70-73
21/12/13	A	Oliveirense	87-67
14/12/13	H	Maia	67-53
08/12/13	A	Sampaense	81-89
30/11/13	H	Vitoria	77-92 OT
24/11/13	A	Ovarense	69-66

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/14	H	Barcelos	86-58
09/02/14	A	Galitos	60-66
25/01/14	H	Oliveirense	86-72
18/01/14	A	Alges	53-63
12/01/14	A	Maia	71-58
04/01/14	H	Benfica	75-85
21/12/13	H	Sampaense	70-77
07/12/13	H	Vitoria	81-74
01/12/13	A	CAB Madeira	75-88
24/11/13	H	Lusitania	66-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	38%
Home	LWLLW	33%
Away	WLWWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	38%	33%	43%
Points / game	71.8	68.7	74.6
Allowed / game	75.6	70.0	80.4
Point differential	-3.8	-1.3	-5.9
Avg total	147.5	138.7	155.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	33%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

Ovarense

LPB 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	43%
Home	WLLWW	50%
Away	WLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	43%	50%	33%
Points / game	72.4	77.2	66.0
Allowed / game	71.2	73.5	68.2
Point differential	+1.2	+3.8	-2.2
Avg total	143.6	150.8	134.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	25%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	15	14	1	93%	87.5	67.2	+20.3
2	Vitoria	14	9	5	64%	81.1	75.1	+6.0
3	CAB Madeira	15	9	6	60%	76.6	75.3	+1.3
4	Sampaense	15	8	7	53%	79.2	80.6	-1.4
5	Alges	15	7	8	47%	73.5	73.3	+0.2
6	Barcelos	15	7	8	47%	70.8	71.9	-1.1
7	Oliveirense	15	7	8	47%	67.7	71.5	-3.8
8	Ovarense	14	6	8	43%	72.4	71.2	+1.2
9	Lusitania	13	5	8	38%	71.8	75.6	-3.8
10	Galitos	14	5	9	36%	68.0	77.3	-9.3
11	Maia	15	5	10	33%	64.1	68.9	-4.9
12	Academica	4	0	4	0%	43.5	63.8	-20.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	24	15	16	22	77
Ovarense	26	12	17	13	68

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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