Lusitania vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 88-81

18-23 25-14 18-24 27-20

Position#10

Record7-11

FormLWWWL

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game85.6

Lusitania 🏆

Ovarense

Position#8

Record11-8

FormLWLLW

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game81.0

LPBRound 20

Other2022-23

Meetings · Lusitania v Ovarense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ovarense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sangalhos

#12

86-79

H30/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

86-101

101

-15

A04/12

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

87-83

A08/12

LPB

Benfica

77-87

-10

H17/12

LPB

Imortal

66-84

-18

A22/12

LPB

CD Povoa

63-70

-7

A04/01

LPB

Vitoria

90-86 OT

H08/01

LPB

Esgueira

#11

85-73

+12

H14/01

Taca de Portugal

Esgueira

92-84

A21/01

LPB

Sporting CP

96-99

-3

H28/01

LPB

29-17

13-16

27-17

17-29

18-27

30-25

19-23

19-26

24-20

28-20

18-11

17-32

25-15

18-26

17-14

23-21

12-18

16-22

15-23

16-16

19-18

16-20

12-16

23-20

21-23

27-25

12-15

31-17

30-16

6-20

18-20

24-20

27-19

22-27

19-18

21-29

23-24

25-20

27-26

167.4Avg total

82.8Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	80.1	85.6	165.7	-5.5	39%
Season at home (7)	81.1	80.4	161.6	+0.7	57%
Season away (11)	79.5	88.9	168.4	-9.5	27%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	84.6	167.4	-1.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	82.4	167.6	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	76.2	90.5	166.7	-14.2	20%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	83.0	80.0	163.0	+3.0	43%
vs Weaker (2)	86.5	81.0	167.5	+5.5	100%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barreirense

#15

111-69

111

+42

A10/12

Taca de Portugal

CAB Madeira

#11

85-93

-8

H17/12

LPB

Vitoria

76-97

-21

A22/12

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

108-60

108

+48

H28/12

LPB

Esgueira

87-70

+17

A04/01

LPB

Benfica

75-96

-21

H07/01

LPB

Benfica

77-76

A14/01

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

71-79

-8

H15/01

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

71-95

-24

A20/01

LPB

Imortal

71-68

H28/01

LPB

33-18

24-27

29-16

25-8

20-21

21-18

23-26

21-28

21-23

18-30

17-21

20-23

23-15

26-11

34-12

25-22

24-20

25-18

25-14

13-18

15-25

19-21

13-32

28-18

18-17

23-19

22-23

14-17

14-35

16-12

17-20

24-12

15-24

20-32

20-12

16-27

12-21

24-13

20-20

15-14

163.5Avg total

83.2Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	79.8	81.0	160.8	-1.2	58%
Season at home (10)	85.9	81.7	167.6	+4.2	70%
Season away (9)	73.1	80.2	153.3	-7.1	44%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	80.3	163.5	+2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	82.8	155.8	-9.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	73.7	84.6	158.3	-10.9	36%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	86.0	81.0	167.0	+5.0	80%
vs Weaker (9)	89.6	74.9	164.4	+14.7	78%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaOvarense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	23.8	42.8	-4.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.8	25.1	42.9	-7.4	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.9	44.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.4	43.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	17.7	25.4	43.1	-7.7	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.9	21.7	40.6	-2.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	18.5	45.0	+8.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.5	38.9	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.1	40.2	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	24.4	39.2	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.7	22.1	38.8	-5.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.7	16.7	39.3	+6.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.0	44.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.4	15.7	37.1	+5.7	86%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	23.1	42.8	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.6	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.1	67%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sangalhos

#12

42-33

H30/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

48-52

-4

A04/12

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

52-40

+12

A08/12

LPB

Benfica

42-47

-5

H17/12

LPB

Imortal

35-39

-4

A22/12

LPB

CD Povoa

35-34

A04/01

LPB

Vitoria

44-43

H08/01

LPB

Esgueira

#11

61-33

+28

H14/01

Taca de Portugal

Esgueira

51-39

+12

A21/01

LPB

Sporting CP

44-53

-9

H28/01

LPB

86.7Avg total

45.4Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	44.1	83.1	-5.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.9	40.8	81.8	+0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.6	46.5	84.1	-8.9	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	41.3	86.7	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	40.4	87.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	36.7	47.7	84.4	-11.0	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	40.3	37.4	77.7	+2.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.0	36.5	83.5	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barreirense

#15

57-45

+12

A10/12

Taca de Portugal

CAB Madeira

#11

41-39

H17/12

LPB

Vitoria

39-53

-14

A22/12

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

49-26

+23

H28/12

LPB

Esgueira

49-38

+11

A04/01

LPB

Benfica

34-46

-12

H07/01

LPB

Benfica

41-36

A14/01

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

30-47

-17

H15/01

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

35-56

-21

A20/01

LPB

Imortal

36-34

H28/01

LPB

83.1Avg total

41.1Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	40.6	81.0	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	38.1	78.9	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	43.1	83.0	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	42.0	83.1	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	43.8	79.0	-8.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	35.9	43.9	79.7	-8.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	40.6	39.8	80.4	+0.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.2	36.1	81.3	+9.1	67%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.2	40.2	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.6	38.5	+1.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.1	18.1	40.3	+4.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	14.0	36.5	+8.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.5	41.2	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	22.2	45.3	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	24.0	18.6	42.6	+5.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.2	16.9	40.1	+6.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	23.7	42.3	-5.1	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	21.9	39.2	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.6	24.4	45.0	-3.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	30.5	47.5	-13.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.9	42.7	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.8	22%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	42.4	81.6	-3.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.8	38.8	78.7	+1.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.6	45.2	83.8	-6.6	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	43.0	79.7	-6.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	41.4	78.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	38.6	42.3	80.9	-3.7	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	42.7	42.6	85.3	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	44.5	84.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	39.6	81.2	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	43.1	88.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	36.1	74.3	+2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	38.3	80.4	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	39.0	76.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.9	40.7	78.6	-2.9	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	45.4	41.2	86.6	+4.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	44.3	38.8	83.1	+5.6	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Ovarense wins

Date	Game	Score
19/11/22	Ovarense v Lusitania	84-81
23/01/22	Ovarense v Lusitania	79-66
09/10/21	Lusitania v Ovarense	79-77
27/02/21	Ovarense v Lusitania	87-97
07/11/20	Lusitania v Ovarense	75-69
01/12/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	76-70
16/05/19	Lusitania v Ovarense	77-86
11/05/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	86-69
09/05/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	68-63
05/05/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	82-90

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/23	H	Sporting CP	96-99
21/01/23	A	Esgueira	92-84
14/01/23	H	Esgueira	85-73
08/01/23	H	Vitoria	90-86 OT
04/01/23	A	CD Povoa	63-70
22/12/22	A	Imortal	66-84
17/12/22	H	Benfica	77-87
08/12/22	A	Sangalhos	87-83
04/12/22	A	CAB Madeira	86-101
30/11/22	H	Sangalhos	86-79

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/23	H	Imortal	71-68
20/01/23	A	Sporting CP	71-95
15/01/23	H	Sporting CP	71-79
14/01/23	A	Benfica	77-76
07/01/23	H	Benfica	75-96
04/01/23	A	Esgueira	87-70
28/12/22	H	Sangalhos	108-60
22/12/22	A	Vitoria	76-97
17/12/22	H	CAB Madeira	85-93
10/12/22	A	Barreirense	111-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	39%
Home	LWLWL	57%
Away	LWLLW	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	7	11
Win %	39%	57%	27%
Points / game	80.1	81.1	79.5
Allowed / game	85.6	80.4	88.9
Point differential	-5.5	+0.7	-9.5
Avg total	165.7	161.6	168.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	11%	29%	0%

Ovarense

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	58%
Home	WLWLW	70%
Away	LLLWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	58%	70%	44%
Points / game	79.8	85.9	73.1
Allowed / game	81.0	81.7	80.2
Point differential	-1.2	+4.2	-7.1
Avg total	160.8	167.6	153.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	30%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	19	17	2	89%	88.7	75.0	+13.7
2	Benfica	20	17	3	85%	92.5	76.4	+16.1
3	Sporting CP	20	16	4	80%	91.5	79.4	+12.1
4	Ovarense	19	11	8	58%	79.8	81.0	-1.2
5	Oliveirense	18	10	8	56%	79.1	78.2	+0.9
6	CD Povoa	20	9	11	45%	71.8	73.5	-1.8
7	Vitoria	19	8	11	42%	86.5	88.5	-2.0
8	Lusitania	18	7	11	39%	80.1	85.6	-5.5
9	Imortal	19	7	12	37%	75.3	78.9	-3.6
10	Esgueira	20	7	13	35%	76.8	83.0	-6.2
11	CAB Madeira	20	5	15	25%	78.5	85.5	-7.0
12	Sangalhos	18	1	17	6%	69.0	86.3	-17.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	18	25	18	27	88
Ovarense	23	14	24	20	81

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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