Lusitania vs Ovarense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 16:00

Postponed

Position#10

Record9-13

FormLWLWL

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game84.0

Lusitania

Ovarense

Position#9

Record9-13

FormWLWWL

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game81.2

LPBRound 23

Other2019-20

Meetings · Lusitania v Ovarense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Ovarense win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Esgueira

73-70

A28/12

LPB

Vitoria

79-92

-13

H04/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

75-87

-12

A11/01

LPB

Oliveirense

80-69

+11

H25/01

LPB

FC Porto

64-85

-21

A01/02

LPB

Sporting CP

82-94

-12

H08/02

LPB

Illiabum

#12

83-78

A15/02

LPB

Galitos Barreiro

82-87

-5

A20/02

Taca de Portugal

Terceira

#14

96-71

+25

H29/02

LPB

Galitos

80-90

-10

H07/03

LPB

25-16

19-15

14-14

15-25

18-18

26-24

20-30

15-20

18-31

22-17

22-20

13-19

30-16

14-15

18-20

18-18

13-17

14-27

19-22

18-19

21-26

26-27

17-20

18-21

20-17

22-18

20-21

21-22

30-23

14-14

23-27

15-23

20-16

23-19

27-20

26-16

23-15

17-26

18-27

22-22

161.7Avg total

79.4Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	78.6	84.0	162.5	-5.4	41%
Season at home (12)	81.6	84.7	166.2	-3.1	42%
Season away (10)	75.0	83.1	158.1	-8.1	40%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	82.3	161.7	-2.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	84.0	168.6	+0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	73.6	88.0	161.6	-14.4	21%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	86.2	79.0	165.2	+7.2	75%
vs Weaker (6)	90.3	75.7	166.0	+14.7	67%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

69-87

-18

A29/12

LPB

FC Porto

88-84 OT

H05/01

LPB

Sporting CP

56-108

108

-52

A11/01

LPB

Illiabum

#12

91-87 OT

H25/01

LPB

Terceira

#14

111-79

111

+32

A01/02

LPB

Galitos

74-73

H08/02

LPB

Sporting CP

50-75

-25

A12/02

Taca de Portugal

CAB Madeira

91-73

+18

H15/02

LPB

Maia

#13

90-69

+21

A29/02

LPB

Benfica

81-90

-9

H07/03

LPB

16-18

14-22

18-23

21-24

15-22

14-19

25-21

25-17

7-26

14-27

19-31

16-24

23-13

16-26

14-21

20-13

31-22

31-19

23-12

26-26

13-10

13-15

18-14

30-34

18-24

16-14

7-21

9-16

19-26

27-8

24-22

21-17

22-18

24-17

13-18

31-16

21-26

32-27

18-26

10-11

162.6Avg total

80.1Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	77.2	81.2	158.4	-4.0	41%
Season at home (10)	79.0	77.8	156.8	+1.2	70%
Season away (12)	75.8	84.0	159.8	-8.2	17%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	82.5	162.6	-2.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	76.0	153.2	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	70.1	88.0	158.1	-17.9	14%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	80.2	77.4	157.6	+2.8	60%
vs Weaker (10)	87.1	73.1	160.2	+14.0	80%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaOvarense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.8	41.5	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	20.7	43.6	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	24.8	20.0	44.8	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	19.2	41.3	+3.0	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.1	39.3	-2.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	22.7	40.7	-4.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	15.5	23.5	39.0	-8.0	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	80%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.2	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.3	40.3	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.5	17.7	42.2	+6.8	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	17.9	38.1	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	16.2	38.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.2	16.4	37.6	+4.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.1	17.5	39.6	+4.6	80%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Esgueira

44-31

+13

A28/12

LPB

Vitoria

44-42

H04/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

40-48

-8

A11/01

LPB

Oliveirense

44-31

+13

H25/01

LPB

FC Porto

27-44

-17

A01/02

LPB

Sporting CP

47-53

-6

H08/02

LPB

Illiabum

#12

42-35

A15/02

LPB

Galitos Barreiro

44-37

A20/02

Taca de Portugal

Terceira

#14

43-35

H29/02

LPB

Galitos

40-41

-1

H07/03

LPB

81.2Avg total

41.5Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	41.0	81.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.3	42.4	86.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	39.9	77.7	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	39.7	81.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	40.2	83.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	37.7	42.4	80.2	-4.7	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	46.0	41.8	87.8	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	46.7	36.8	83.5	+9.8	83%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

30-40

-10

A29/12

LPB

FC Porto

29-41

-12

H05/01

LPB

Sporting CP

21-53

-32

A11/01

LPB

Illiabum

#12

39-39

H25/01

LPB

Terceira

#14

62-41

+21

A01/02

LPB

Galitos

26-25

H08/02

LPB

Sporting CP

34-38

-4

A12/02

Taca de Portugal

CAB Madeira

46-34

+12

H15/02

LPB

Maia

#13

46-35

+11

A29/02

LPB

Benfica

53-53

H07/03

LPB

78.5Avg total

38.6Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	39.6	77.2	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.7	37.1	75.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.7	41.8	78.4	-5.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	39.9	78.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	37.0	78.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	32.5	43.9	76.4	-11.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	42.0	34.8	76.8	+7.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.0	36.2	79.2	+6.8	80%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	22.3	40.6	-4.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.3	22.6	39.9	-5.4	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	22.1	41.2	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.3	22.8	40.1	-5.5	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	16.8	18.2	35.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.7	22.8	44.5	-1.2	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.9	38.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.2	36.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.3	16.0	36.3	+4.3	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.9	40.8	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.9	41.7	+0.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	23.5	19.0	42.5	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.9	39.9	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	22.3	41.8	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.8	20.9	44.7	+2.9	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	43.3	81.4	-5.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	43.5	81.6	-5.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	43.1	81.1	-5.0	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	42.6	80.5	-4.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	43.8	85.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	35.9	45.6	81.5	-9.7	5%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	40.2	37.2	77.5	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.7	38.8	82.5	+4.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	40.6	78.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	38.4	78.0	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.0	42.6	79.6	-5.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	40.7	79.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	39.0	75.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	36.9	43.8	80.7	-6.9	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	34.6	39.8	74.4	-5.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.1	36.9	81.0	+7.2	90%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Ovarense wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	76-70
16/05/19	Lusitania v Ovarense	77-86
11/05/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	86-69
09/05/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	68-63
05/05/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	82-90
07/04/19	Lusitania v Ovarense	72-69
29/12/18	Ovarense v Lusitania	84-78
06/10/18	Lusitania v Ovarense	67-73
06/05/18	Ovarense v Lusitania	78-97
15/04/18	Lusitania v Ovarense	79-71

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/20	H	Galitos	80-90
29/02/20	H	Terceira	96-71
20/02/20	A	Galitos Barreiro	82-87
15/02/20	A	Illiabum	83-78
08/02/20	H	Sporting CP	82-94
01/02/20	A	FC Porto	64-85
25/01/20	H	Oliveirense	80-69
11/01/20	A	Barreirense	75-87
04/01/20	H	Vitoria	79-92
28/12/19	A	Esgueira	73-70

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/20	H	Benfica	81-90
29/02/20	A	Maia	90-69
15/02/20	H	CAB Madeira	91-73
12/02/20	A	Sporting CP	50-75
08/02/20	H	Galitos	74-73
01/02/20	A	Terceira	111-79
25/01/20	H	Illiabum	91-87 OT
11/01/20	A	Sporting CP	56-108
05/01/20	H	FC Porto	88-84 OT
29/12/19	A	Oliveirense	69-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	41%
Home	LWLWL	42%
Away	LWLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	41%	42%	40%
Points / game	78.6	81.6	75.0
Allowed / game	84.0	84.7	83.1
Point differential	-5.4	-3.1	-8.1
Avg total	162.5	166.2	158.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	33%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	50% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ovarense

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	41%
Home	WWWWL	70%
Away	LLLWW	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	41%	70%	17%
Points / game	77.2	79.0	75.8
Allowed / game	81.2	77.8	84.0
Point differential	-4.0	+1.2	-8.2
Avg total	158.4	156.8	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	30%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	100% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	9%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	22	21	1	95%	93.4	70.2	+23.2
2	Benfica	22	20	2	91%	89.8	71.0	+18.8
3	FC Porto	22	18	4	82%	86.6	75.0	+11.7
4	Oliveirense	22	14	8	64%	83.9	75.6	+8.3
5	Vitoria	22	14	8	64%	81.6	78.5	+3.2
6	Galitos	22	11	11	50%	82.8	82.0	+0.8
7	CAB Madeira	22	10	12	45%	79.2	83.1	-4.0
8	Esgueira	22	9	13	41%	79.2	76.7	+2.5
9	Ovarense	22	9	13	41%	77.2	81.2	-4.0
10	Lusitania	22	9	13	41%	78.6	84.0	-5.4
11	Barreirense	22	7	15	32%	75.5	85.5	-10.0
12	Illiabum	22	6	16	27%	75.7	79.9	-4.2
13	Maia	22	6	16	27%	77.4	87.1	-9.7
14	Terceira	22	0	22	0%	71.4	102.7	-31.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Ovarense Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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