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CD Povoa vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-72
23-23 23-16 16-14 20-19
Position#1
Record13-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game65.2
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
vs
Lusitania
Portugal
Position#3
Record6-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game72.8
PortugalProligaRound 14· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2025-26
Meetings · CD Povoa v Lusitania
10 Jan 2026
CD P82
LUSI72
09 Mar 2024
CD P99
LUSI87
04 Jan 2023
CD P70
LUSI63
18 Apr 2022
CD P82
LUSI66
05 Dec 2021
CD P77
LUSI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
85avg 71
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-56
76
56
+20
69avg 71
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
116-44
116
44
+72
120avg 71
H08/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
88avg 71
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
87-68
87
68
+19
78avg 71
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
73-50
73
50
+23
64avg 71
H07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
93avg 71
H08/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 71
A13/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 71
H20/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
89-66
89
66
+23
78avg 71
A03/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
24-21
22-17
22-18
22-12
12-12
21-16
21-16
36-14
32-9
22-10
26-11
19-17
20-17
23-14
26-25
40-15
13-16
19-13
15-24
27-14
21-13
17-11
8-12
20-20
19-21
30-16
26-20
18-15
17-17
24-15
31-22
11-11
25-16
20-25
20-18
21-16
24-21
20-18
24-11
152.5Avg total
87.7Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.665.2153.8+23.5100%
Season at home (6)87.862.0149.8+25.8100%
Season away (7)89.367.9157.1+21.4100%
Last 10 (10)87.764.8152.5+22.9100%
Last 5 (5)84.666.4151.0+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.884.1152.9-15.39%
vs Similar (5)84.687.2171.8-2.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.665.2153.8+23.5100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
64avg 77
H25/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
55avg 77
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 77
H15/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
87-46
87
46
+41
89avg 77
H22/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
73-81
73
81
-8
56avg 77
A30/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
64-65
64
65
-1
59avg 77
H07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 77
A08/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
100-71
100
71
+29
110avg 77
A13/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
67avg 77
A27/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 77
H04/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
15-12
10-13
21-15
20-14
15-17
17-15
17-19
17-19
17-20
14-23
25-26
21-8
23-12
22-20
21-6
16-22
20-22
28-13
9-24
16-22
13-8
18-16
17-19
28-19
25-23
23-20
24-12
22-23
21-18
34-3
23-27
15-24
24-18
25-16
17-27
24-16
25-17
28-22
11-19
150.6Avg total
80.1Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.872.8150.7+5.046%
Season at home (7)74.467.9142.3+6.657%
Season away (6)81.878.7160.5+3.233%
Last 10 (10)80.170.5150.6+9.660%
Last 5 (5)86.673.8160.4+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)73.088.0161.0-15.00%
vs Similar (7)69.074.0143.0-5.029%
vs Weaker (22)87.277.2164.4+10.073%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.0+8.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.0+8.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
CD PovoaLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
68-23
68
23
+45
H08/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H08/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H20/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A03/01
Proliga
75.6Avg total
44.0Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.477.2+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.836.776.5+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.838.177.9+1.856%-
Last 10 (10)44.031.675.6+12.490%-
Last 5 (5)40.632.873.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.540.475.9-4.836%-
vs Similar (5)38.246.684.8-8.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.830.875.5+14.092%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H25/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H22/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A30/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H04/01
Proliga
74.7Avg total
39.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.279.1+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.836.476.2+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.040.182.1+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)39.735.074.7+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.680.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (7)31.735.467.1-3.729%-
vs Weaker (22)44.139.183.2+5.073%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.123.3
56.7%
50.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.4
35.1%
30.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.913.2
63.2%
67.4%13.2
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.323.4
52.8%
50.0%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.0
26.2%
30.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws21.314.5
68.1%
67.4%14.5
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WWWWWWWWWW
Lusitania
WLWWLLWLWW
#1
League position
#3
+30.0
Net rating
+12.7
112.2
Offensive rating
103.0
82.2
Defensive rating
90.2
55.1%
Effective FG%
48.2%
40.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
20.4%
Turnover %
20.7%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
39.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.1%
3-point %
26.2%
59.0%
Assist %
60.5%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 103.0Defence82.2 · 90.2Shooting55.1% · 48.2%3-point %35.1% · 26.2%Ball care20.4% · 20.7%Off. rebounds37.4% · 39.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
CD Povoa wins
4
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Lusitania v CD Povoa73-88
09/03/24CD Povoa v Lusitania99-87
04/11/23Lusitania v CD Povoa73-100
04/01/23CD Povoa v Lusitania70-63
15/10/22Lusitania v CD Povoa73-67
18/04/22CD Povoa v Lusitania82-66
02/04/22Lusitania v CD Povoa96-70
13/03/22Lusitania v CD Povoa71-57
05/12/21CD Povoa v Lusitania77-80
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AAcademica89-66
20/12/25HIlliabum76-70
13/12/25AGinasio90-69
08/12/25HMaia95-77
07/12/25HSampaense73-50
22/11/25ASangalhos87-68
15/11/25ALusitania88-73
08/11/25HAcademica116-44
01/11/25AIlliabum76-56
25/10/25HGinasio87-75
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HSangalhos88-74
27/12/25AMaia81-85
13/12/25AAcademica100-71
08/12/25ASangalhos100-74
07/12/25HIlliabum64-65
30/11/25AGinasio73-81
22/11/25HSampaense87-46
15/11/25HCD Povoa73-88
31/10/25HMaia69-65
25/10/25HAcademica66-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.687.889.3
Allowed / game65.262.067.9
Point differential+23.5+25.8+21.4
Avg total153.8149.8157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+92%83%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW46%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game77.874.481.8
Allowed / game72.867.978.7
Point differential+5.0+6.6+3.2
Avg total150.7142.3160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa13130100%88.665.2+23.5
2 CAB Madeira1312192%87.072.3+14.7
3 Illiabum1310377%79.568.2+11.2
4 Portimonense139469%83.576.0+7.5
5 Imortal B139469%80.779.2+1.5
6 Maia138562%81.873.6+8.2
7 Galomar138562%87.083.2+3.8
8 Ginasio138562%77.077.4-0.4
9 Ginasio Olhanense137654%81.877.4+4.4
10 Lusitania136746%77.872.8+5.0
11 Sampaense135838%71.579.3-7.8
12 Benfica Lisboa B1331023%70.874.7-3.9
13 Santo Andre1331023%76.384.8-8.5
14 Sangalhos1321115%68.884.3-15.5
15 CB Queluz131128%68.988.5-19.6
16 Academica130130%59.583.7-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa2323162082
Lusitania2316141972
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