PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ginasio vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 81-73
22-16 22-20 13-28 24-9
Position#8
Record6-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game72.4
Ginasio 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#3
Record3-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game71.0
PortugalProligaRound 9· Pavilhão Galamba Marques
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ginasio v Lusitania
30 Nov 2025
GINA81
LUSI73
04 May 2025
GINA92
LUSI95
22 Oct 2011
GINA50
LUSI58
26 Feb 2011
GINA78
LUSI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ginasio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 67
A25/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
92-95
92
95
-3
84avg 67
H04/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-67
85
67
+18
81avg 67
H04/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
81-74
81
74
+7
41avg 67
A11/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
65-50
65
50
+15
15avg 67
H19/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 67
A25/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
63avg 67
H01/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
71avg 67
H08/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
57-83
57
83
-26
41avg 67
A15/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
89-74
89
74
+15
98avg 67
A22/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
18-10
18-28
21-29
30-30
25-21
17-28
20-16
27-11
27-15
8-17
23-24
17-27
25-16
18-18
21-13
17-12
17-10
10-12
21-16
19-19
21-24
17-22
18-22
20-17
14-14
23-22
19-16
17-19
20-18
20-19
27-19
12-26
9-15
18-20
18-22
20-12
35-25
17-16
17-21
154.0Avg total
77.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.572.4148.9+4.175%
Season at home (4)77.565.2142.8+12.2100%
Season away (4)75.579.5155.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)77.876.2154.0+1.660%
Last 5 (5)76.277.6153.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.291.9172.1-11.825%
vs Similar (10)82.681.9164.5+0.740%
vs Weaker (7)76.769.6146.3+7.186%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
W
103-84
103
84
+19
100avg 76
A19/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 76
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
95-92
95
92
+3
88avg 76
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 76
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
46avg 76
A19/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
64avg 76
H25/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
55avg 76
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 76
H15/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
87-46
87
46
+41
89avg 76
H22/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
24-15
34-15
19-29
19-20
16-23
24-15
26-15
30-30
21-25
28-17
16-20
16-20
26-8
11-23
21-29
27-17
16-25
18-18
13-21
18-16
9-28
20-22
16-15
20-16
15-12
10-13
21-15
20-14
15-17
17-15
17-19
17-19
17-20
14-23
25-26
21-8
23-12
22-20
21-6
153.5Avg total
78.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.371.0143.3+1.343%
Season at home (5)73.867.2141.0+6.660%
Season away (2)68.580.5149.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)78.974.6153.5+4.360%
Last 5 (5)71.667.2138.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.088.0161.0-15.00%
vs Similar (9)71.676.9148.4-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.576.0162.4+10.575%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
GinasioLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A25/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H04/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H04/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A11/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H19/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H01/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A15/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A22/11
Proliga
76.9Avg total
40.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.583.2+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.038.881.8+4.250%-
Last 30 away (14)40.344.584.8-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.276.9+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.875.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.147.589.6-5.417%-
vs Similar (10)43.439.582.9+3.960%-
vs Weaker (7)39.432.972.3+6.657%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A19/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A19/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H25/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H22/11
Proliga
76.6Avg total
39.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.077.6+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.836.175.9+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.538.179.6+3.464%-
Last 10 (10)39.637.076.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.467.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (9)33.135.668.7-2.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.337.581.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.2
56.4%
50.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.5
31.0%
30.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.212.2
70.9%
67.4%12.2
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.5
51.2%
50.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.6
30.7%
30.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.7
72.1%
67.4%13.7
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ginasio
WLWWLWWWLL
Lusitania
WLWWLLLWWW
#8
League position
#3
+0.1
Net rating
+7.7
102.9
Offensive rating
104.8
102.7
Defensive rating
97.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
49.3%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
21.5%
Turnover %
20.3%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.0%
3-point %
30.7%
53.2%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 104.8Defence102.7 · 97.1Shooting52.7% · 49.3%3-point %31.0% · 30.7%Ball care21.5% · 20.3%Off. rebounds28.3% · 35.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Ginasio   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ginasio wins
5
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Lusitania v Ginasio74-81
04/05/25Ginasio v Lusitania92-95
08/03/25Lusitania v Ginasio102-106
08/01/12Lusitania v Ginasio85-56
22/10/11Ginasio v Lusitania50-58
26/02/11Ginasio v Lusitania78-80
27/11/10Lusitania v Ginasio63-62
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25AAcademica89-74
15/11/25AIlliabum57-83
08/11/25HMaia84-75
01/11/25HSampaense76-69
25/10/25ACD Povoa75-87
19/10/25HSangalhos65-50
11/10/25ALusitania81-74
04/10/25HAcademica85-67
04/05/25HLusitania92-95
25/04/25AMaia74-88
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HSampaense87-46
15/11/25HCD Povoa73-88
31/10/25HMaia69-65
25/10/25HAcademica66-56
19/10/25AIlliabum63-81
11/10/25HGinasio74-81
04/10/25ASampaense74-80
04/05/25AGinasio95-92
26/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B85-73
19/04/25ASampaense103-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ginasio
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game76.577.575.5
Allowed / game72.465.279.5
Point differential+4.1+12.2-4.0
Avg total148.9142.8155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%60%0%
Points / game72.373.868.5
Allowed / game71.067.280.5
Point differential+1.3+6.6-12.0
Avg total143.3141.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa880100%91.164.4+26.8
2 CAB Madeira98189%89.174.7+14.4
3 Illiabum97278%80.668.0+12.6
4 Portimonense97278%82.975.6+7.3
5 Imortal B97278%84.078.0+6.0
6 Ginasio86275%76.572.4+4.1
7 Galomar96367%86.081.7+4.3
8 Maia84450%79.873.5+6.2
9 Sampaense94544%73.180.0-6.9
10 Lusitania73443%72.371.0+1.3
11 Ginasio Olhanense93633%79.178.7+0.4
12 Benfica Lisboa B93633%69.971.4-1.6
13 Santo Andre92722%75.082.8-7.8
14 Sangalhos81712%65.282.0-16.8
15 CB Queluz9090%68.191.3-23.2
16 Academica9090%57.081.8-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ginasio2222132481
Lusitania162028973
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.