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LWD Basket vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-85
22-18 18-23 15-20 16-24
Position#17
Record6-14
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game84.0
LWD Basket
vs
Leuven Bears 🏆
Position#11
Record9-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcentrum Kalverdijkje
Other2023-24
Meetings · LWD Basket v Leuven Bears
29 Mar 2026
LWD 84
LEUV82
16 Nov 2024
LWD 97
LEUV81
30 Mar 2024
LWD 71
LEUV85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LWD Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#15
L
68-82
68
82
-14
65avg 71
H06/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
75-64
75
64
+11
65avg 71
A13/01
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
90-88
90
88
+2
85avg 71
A28/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
84-109
84
109
-25
66avg 71
H03/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
67avg 71
A10/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
W
101-82
101
82
+19
100avg 71
H17/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
92-106 OT
92
106
-14
83avg 71
H02/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
81-104
81
104
-23
67avg 71
A17/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
91-71
91
71
+20
83avg 71
H24/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
92-85
92
85
+7
84avg 71
A27/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
20-17
23-27
15-13
23-18
21-12
17-15
14-19
23-24
22-15
19-26
26-23
25-30
18-31
24-28
17-20
15-21
24-25
17-17
15-16
26-26
25-19
18-17
32-20
21-24
22-27
22-19
22-17
26-30
15-33
22-23
18-18
22-20
27-15
18-17
24-19
22-23
16-25
30-18
24-19
171.5Avg total
84.5Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.384.0162.3-5.830%
Season at home (10)82.486.6169.0-4.230%
Season away (10)74.281.5155.7-7.330%
Last 10 (10)84.587.0171.5-2.550%
Last 5 (5)91.489.6181.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.187.6166.8-8.518%
vs Similar (6)78.582.8161.3-4.333%
vs Weaker (6)81.778.3160.0+3.350%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Limburg
#1
L
47-71
47
71
-24
32avg 66
H21/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
W
85-69
85
69
+16
92avg 66
H25/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
75avg 66
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
56-85
56
85
-29
43avg 66
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 66
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 66
A17/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 66
H08/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 66
H16/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 66
A23/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
71-63
71
63
+8
69avg 66
H27/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-13
15-24
9-18
11-16
17-15
22-17
24-27
22-10
13-28
19-15
21-22
25-17
22-22
2-17
13-26
19-20
24-17
17-20
25-23
7-27
19-14
22-20
24-20
21-22
23-18
18-19
24-21
15-17
24-23
26-12
28-20
20-24
27-24
19-15
15-18
19-18
17-18
22-16
18-20
14-9
151.6Avg total
75.4Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.578.4153.9-2.938%
Season at home (13)75.977.5153.5-1.646%
Season away (11)75.079.4154.4-4.427%
Last 10 (10)75.476.2151.6-0.860%
Last 5 (5)83.073.6156.6+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.083.4149.4-17.40%
vs Similar (16)76.175.5151.6+0.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.873.8157.7+10.083%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
LWD BasketLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#15
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H06/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A13/01
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A28/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H03/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A10/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H17/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H02/03
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A17/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A27/03
BNXT League
88.3Avg total
42.3Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.742.081.7-2.338%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.942.182.0-2.343%-
Last 30 away (15)39.641.981.5-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)42.346.088.3-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.448.492.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.344.183.4-4.824%-
vs Similar (6)36.342.578.8-6.217%-
vs Weaker (6)44.335.579.8+8.8100%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#1
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H21/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H25/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H10/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H14/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/02
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H16/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/03
BNXT League
74.7Avg total
38.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.538.375.8-0.852%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.237.476.7+1.869%-
Last 30 away (13)35.339.374.6-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.774.7+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.435.879.2+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.840.473.1-7.625%-
vs Similar (16)38.237.675.9+0.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.637.079.6+5.680%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.523.6
54.3%
52.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.5
32.8%
33.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
71.4%14.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.0
53.1%
52.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.6
34.0%
33.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.0
70.8%
71.4%15.0
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LWD Basket
WWLLWLLWWL
Leuven Bears
WWWWWLLLWL
#17
League position
#11
-3.1
Net rating
-0.8
104.5
Offensive rating
105.0
107.7
Defensive rating
105.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
19.5%
Turnover %
21.1%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.8%
3-point %
34.0%
58.5%
Assist %
67.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 105.0Defence107.7 · 105.9Shooting52.5% · 52.4%3-point %32.8% · 34.0%Ball care19.5% · 21.1%Off. rebounds28.2% · 31.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ LWD Basket   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
LWD Basket wins
0
Leuven Bears wins
No previous meetings.
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24AKortrijk92-85
24/03/24HMechelen91-71
17/03/24ACircus Brussels81-104
02/03/24HBelfius Mons92-106 OT
17/02/24HLeiden101-82
10/02/24AZwolle71-79
03/02/24HDen Bosch84-109
28/01/24AQSTA Utd90-88
13/01/24ADen Helder75-64
06/01/24HBAL Weert68-82
Leuven Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HOkapi Aalst71-63
23/03/24AFeyenoord80-75
16/03/24HDen Helder98-79
08/03/24HCircus Brussels80-75
17/02/24AOkapi Aalst86-76
14/02/24HLimburg73-87
10/02/24HOostende56-85
02/02/24ASpirou Charleroi78-82
25/01/24HBelfius Mons85-69
21/01/24HLimburg47-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LWD Basket
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW30%
HomeLLWLW30%
AwayWWLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%30%30%
Points / game78.382.474.2
Allowed / game84.086.681.5
Point differential-5.8-4.2-7.3
Avg total162.3169.0155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %15%30%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW38%
HomeLLWWW46%
AwayLLLWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %38%46%27%
Points / game75.575.975.0
Allowed / game78.477.579.4
Point differential-2.9-1.6-4.4
Avg total153.9153.5154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2321291%80.770.8+9.8
2 Den Bosch2017385%81.870.7+11.2
3 Antwerp Giants2317674%82.072.4+9.6
4 Leiden1914574%77.369.1+8.2
5 Limburg2416867%77.072.2+4.7
6 Zwolle1912763%75.969.0+6.9
7 Liege23131057%79.278.4+0.7
8 Donar Groningen1910953%72.069.4+2.6
9 Spirou Charleroi23121152%72.874.8-2.0
10 BAL Weert1991047%71.173.9-2.8
11 Circus Brussels24111346%78.176.9+1.2
12 Mechelen25111444%76.476.8-0.3
13 Kortrijk25101540%78.280.2-1.9
14 Leuven Bears2491538%75.578.4-2.9
15 Feyenoord2071335%72.880.2-7.5
16 Belfius Mons2481633%76.782.2-5.5
17 LWD Basket2061430%78.384.0-5.8
18 QSTA Utd2061430%73.279.2-6.0
19 Okapi Aalst2461825%75.781.2-5.5
20 Den Helder2251723%67.180.5-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LWD Basket2218151671
Leuven Bears1823202485
← all games of the day
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